I see that Jordan Walker ended up at UAB.

Looks like one of the best CUSA players. Tulane could have really been a force if they held on to him.

He is a ball heavy guard. Tulane already starts TWO of them.

I hope uab gets in. I'll always pull for AK.

(02-06-2022 02:00 PM)oliveandblue Wrote:  He is a ball heavy guard. Tulane already starts TWO of them.

and all 3 are good at catch and shoot...itd be an issue if they were only capable of scoring while being ball-dominant

there are definitely ways that it would have worked...

youd probably comfortably be the best guard core in the conference if walker had stay

Walker would have helped a lot; we really do need another point guard. But he and the coach were always arguing, he graduated, so he moved on. And he's just better with UAB than he was with us. If I can indulge a dream, if we had both Walker and Caleb Daniels (both veterans of Dunleavy 0-18) we'd be cooking.

(02-06-2022 11:39 AM)Cubanbull1 Wrote:  As of February 6th
Houston #3
SMU #60
Memphis #61
UC #67
Wichita State #72
UCF #96
Tulane #106
Temple #113
Tulsa #179
ECU #187
USF #241
Big moves by Memphis and Wichita State. Keep it up and they could be in Top 50

NewComers
UAB #39
North Texas #51
FAU #122
Charlotte #182
Rice #180
UTSA #338
Good job by UAB and North Texas

Right now the AAC has Houston locked in. I think they’ll get a second spot if one of the next four in rankings gets on a winning streak and gets to AAC finals. A win by any of them over Houston would be a big help.

(02-06-2022 05:23 PM)Cubanbull1 Wrote:  

(02-06-2022 11:39 AM)Cubanbull1 Wrote:  As of February 6th
Houston #3
SMU #60
Memphis #61
UC #67
Wichita State #72
UCF #96
Tulane #106
Temple #113
Tulsa #179
ECU #187
USF #241
Big moves by Memphis and Wichita State. Keep it up and they could be in Top 50

NewComers
UAB #39
North Texas #51
FAU #122
Charlotte #182
Rice #180
UTSA #338
Good job by UAB and North Texas

Right now the AAC has Houston locked in. I think they’ll get a second spot if one of the next four in rankings gets on a winning streak and gets to AAC finals. A win by any of them over Houston would be a big help.

Wichita needs to win the conference tourney, or to even be remotely close not lose another game besides the AAC finals. WSU already has 8 losses. A 10+ loss WSU isn't getting an at large.

Memphis is in the same boat but has a little better numbers and a couple extra wins. Still think either one can take 1 additional loss (likely vs Houston) to even remotely stay in it.

Anybody ready to join the reality boat yet?

One-bid league unless Houston stumbles in Ft Worth.

(02-06-2022 11:34 PM)ShockerFever Wrote:  Anybody ready to join the reality boat yet?

One-bid league unless Houston stumbles in Ft Worth.

That might be a virtual reality boat, considering the fact that, since its inception, the AAC has never received less than two NCAA bids.

While the selection committees have kept some deserving AAC teams out of the field (e.g., Temple in 2015, UH in 2016, Memphis in 2021), they appear to have made up for it by setting a lower limit of two AAC bids to the AAC in recognition of their stature as the #7th-ranked D1 conference:

--They gave (22-10) Cincinnati an at-large bid in 2015, ensuring that the AAC had 2 bids.

--They granted an at-large bid to (#70 NET) WSU last season.

Since they were willing to give an AAC team with a NET of #70 an at-large bid last season, they might be equally inclined to provide an at-large bid to (#59) SMU, (#60) Memphis, (#71) Wichita St., or (#72) Cincinnati this season.

Memphis and Wichita State may not be able to win 22+ games, but SMU could win 22 or 23 games before the AAC tourney, and Cincy could win 21 or 22.

.

(02-06-2022 11:34 PM)ShockerFever Wrote:  Anybody ready to join the reality boat yet?

One-bid league unless Houston stumbles in Ft Worth.

I think SMU gets in unless they falter badly in the last month of play. It may be a play-in game (#65-#68).

SMU still has another game against UC.

We are normally like garlic and sunshine to Count Jankula.

There's too much hoops left for anyone to claim we are a one bid league. Very possible two at large plus the conference tourney winner - Memphis or Tulane for example.

NET
2 Houston
59 SMU
60 Memphis

(02-07-2022 06:19 PM)UCGrad1992 Wrote:  There's too much hoops left for anyone to claim we are a one bid league. Very possible two at large plus the conference tourney winner - Memphis or Tulane for example.

NET
2 Houston
59 SMU
60 Memphis

memphis and smu play houston next week if either get a win they'll be on the right side of the bubble

(02-07-2022 06:56 PM)pesik Wrote:  

(02-07-2022 06:19 PM)UCGrad1992 Wrote:  There's too much hoops left for anyone to claim we are a one bid league. Very possible two at large plus the conference tourney winner - Memphis or Tulane for example.

NET
2 Houston
59 SMU
60 Memphis

memphis and smu play houston next week if either get a win they'll be on the right side of the bubble

SMU hosts the Coogs on Wednesday. Memphis visits Houston on Saturday. Props to Houston for being a quality, resume changing win opportunity in the conference.

(02-07-2022 06:19 PM)UCGrad1992 Wrote:  There's too much hoops left for anyone to claim we are a one bid league. Very possible two at large plus the conference tourney winner - Memphis or Tulane for example.

NET
2 Houston
59 SMU
60 Memphis

True. In addition, (15-7) Cincinnati may still have a shot at an at-large bid if they finish strong.

Torvik lists the Bearcats as favorites to win 6 games and projects the game @ UCF to be very close. Although predicting Cincy to finish 20-11, it might be possible for them to enter the AAC tourney with a 22-9 record (https://barttorvik.com/team.php?team=Cincinnati).

Two AAC tourney wins could, then, make them a likely at-large team with 24 wins.

The Bearcats might even be able to earn a bid with 23 wins., noting that NCAA selection committees have tended to view Cincinnati teams favorably, granting them at-large bids with 22 regular season wins in 2015 & 2016. Also of note, two 23-win AAC teams earned at-large bids in 2019.

.

(02-07-2022 07:56 PM)Milwaukee Wrote:  

(02-07-2022 06:19 PM)UCGrad1992 Wrote:  There's too much hoops left for anyone to claim we are a one bid league. Very possible two at large plus the conference tourney winner - Memphis or Tulane for example.

NET
2 Houston
59 SMU
60 Memphis

True. In addition, (15-7) Cincinnati may still have a shot at an at-large bid if they finish strong.

Torvik lists the Bearcats as favorites to win 6 games and projects the game @ UCF to be very close. Although predicting Cincy to finish 20-11, it might be possible for them to enter the AAC tourney with a 22-9 record (https://barttorvik.com/team.php?team=Cincinnati).

Two AAC tourney wins could, then, make them a likely at-large team with 24 wins.

The Bearcats might even be able to earn a bid with 23 wins., noting that NCAA selection committees have tended to view Cincinnati teams favorably, granting them at-large bids with 22 regular season wins in 2015 & 2016. Also of note, two 23-win AAC teams earned at-large bids in 2019.

I wish I shared your optimism for my alma mater.

(02-07-2022 08:27 PM)UCGrad1992 Wrote:  

(02-07-2022 07:56 PM)Milwaukee Wrote:  

(02-07-2022 06:19 PM)UCGrad1992 Wrote:  There's too much hoops left for anyone to claim we are a one bid league. Very possible two at large plus the conference tourney winner - Memphis or Tulane for example.

NET
2 Houston
59 SMU
60 Memphis

True. In addition, (15-7) Cincinnati may still have a shot at an at-large bid if they finish strong.

Torvik lists the Bearcats as favorites to win 6 games and projects the game @ UCF to be very close. Although predicting Cincy to finish 20-11, it might be possible for them to enter the AAC tourney with a 22-9 record (https://barttorvik.com/team.php?team=Cincinnati).

Two AAC tourney wins could, then, make them a likely at-large team with 24 wins.

The Bearcats might even be able to earn a bid with 23 wins., noting that NCAA selection committees have tended to view Cincinnati teams favorably, granting them at-large bids with 22 regular season wins in 2015 & 2016. Also of note, two 23-win AAC teams earned at-large bids in 2019.

I wish I shared your optimism for my alma mater.

Those were the calculations based on Torvik's game-by-game predictions, which would have Cincy finishing with 6 wins (although Torvik's "projected record" for Cincy is 20-11 before the AAC tourney).

Cincinnati's chances of winning their last 9 reg. season games (Torvik):

@South Florida 75%
@Tulsa 61%
Memphis 57%
Wichita St 59%
Temple 79%
@UCF 43% - - might be winnable
South Florida 91%
@Houston 5%
@SMU 32%

https://barttorvik.com/team.php?team=Cincinnati

.

Massey isn't quite as optimistic, however:

.

Cincinnati's chances of winning their last 9 reg. season games (Massey):

@South Florida 75%
@Tulsa 56%
Memphis 46 % - - might be winnable
Wichita St 61 %
Temple 65 %
@UCF 43% - - might be winnable
South Florida 89 %
@Houston 7%
@SMU 33%

https://masseyratings.com/379387/1529

(02-07-2022 08:49 PM)Milwaukee Wrote:  Those calculations were pure mathematics, based on Torvik's projections, so if anyone is optimistic about Cincy's chances, it's Bart Torvik - - or, rather, his prediction model.

I meant it as a figure of speech but ok, I don't share Bart's optimism. I'd rather be in SMU's shoes. They still host Houston, Memphis, Cincinnati and Tulane. Defend home court...

virginia upsets duke at duke...

knocks off a team in from of us, and also making virginia now a bubble team

(02-07-2022 08:59 PM)UCGrad1992 Wrote:  

(02-07-2022 08:49 PM)Milwaukee Wrote:  Those calculations were pure mathematics, based on Torvik's projections, so if anyone is optimistic about Cincy's chances, it's Bart Torvik - - or, rather, his prediction model.

I meant it as a figure of speech but ok, I don't share Bart's optimism. I'd rather be in SMU's shoes. They still host Houston, Memphis, Cincinnati and Tulane. Defend home court...

You've got a point there. Good luck, anyways.