(10-12-2021 10:38 AM)b0ndsj0ns Wrote: (10-12-2021 10:24 AM)freshtop Wrote: (10-12-2021 09:54 AM)b0ndsj0ns Wrote: (10-12-2021 09:41 AM)b2b Wrote: (10-10-2021 10:39 AM)BirdofParadise Wrote: I don't think this is about geography. This is about finding a way for CUSA schools to get under the ESPN umbrella. CBSSN/Stadium/Facebook is killing CUSA. Reality is, no one talks about this league anymore. Delany isn't an idiot. He's come up with a proposal that would drastically increase exposure for CUSA schools.
But the AAC is too arrogant and the Sun Belt, as stated above, would never go for it because no one wants to be affiliated with the Texas schools (though the SBC does need a travel partner for TxSt and would take UTSA if available.)
How is it arrogant for the AAC? It's financial. Even if the TV deal tanks it will be certainly worth more than the SBC and CUSA deals - probably put together. Also, at least some of the AAC would have to willingly walk away from NCAA tournament revenue (Houston was just in the Final 4) + exit fees. I can't believe CUSA actually paid somebody to slap together an idea ripped from messageboards.
"Arrogance" aside, if this proposal had TV numbers behind it that made the AAC schools more money I'm sure they'd listen. However, even the article says media rights haven't even been priced for this regional proposal, and there's no way you'd add this collection of schools together and it end up paying the AAC schools more money than they'd make just backfilling, collecting exit fees, and NCAA tournament credits.
I guess its a cart before the horse scenario. Media money is an unknown until there is traction from presidents that this thing could actually happen. I don't think it has a prayer though, at least not until the Big XII finishes taking who they want in the next round (once Texas and Oklahoma are actually out of the conference). Once Memphis and either SMU/USF are out the door, then the remainder may drop in media value enough to come to the table.
I mean probably not, since you are talking about another probably 30 million in exit fees plus the probably close to 50 million the departing 3 will be paying that schools would have to be willing to give up a share of, plus of course tournament credits and everything else to be willing to shift around. Even if the TV deal dropped to 1-2 million per school in that scenario all the exit fees and tournament credits would still make it where these proposed regional leagues would probably have to pay 4-5 million per team to get serious consideration form the AAC, and that's not feasible at all. If those numbers were feasible then both the Sun-Belt/C-USA would be making multiple times more than they make now, and the AAC would have countless backfill options available to keep TV money roughly the same or only a minor drop.
I am sure something could be arranged regarding credits and exit fees, if that were the final hurdle. Split them among current members of the AAC (same for any exit fees and credits left to C-USA and SBC), then each league agrees to temporarily suspend all exit and entrance fees and realign based on geography. I still don't think it is even mildly plausible, but it does at least seem possible.
Let's pretend SMU and Memphis are the last two programs to get a life raft to the Big XII. Navy goes back to independence in this scenario. Let's also pretend that with their departure and the backfill to the AAC from C-USA/SBC that the media deal is worth 2 mil per team.
Would a program like ECU want to remain in the AAC playing UTSA, Tulsa, UNT, Rice, Tulane, etc.
Or would a league of ECU, Temple, Marshall, ODU, Charlotte, App State, Coastal, JMU, WKU, and MTSU be better?
Would a league of UAB, Georgia State, Georgia Southern, FAU, FIU, USF, Troy, South Alabama, USM, and Tulane be better for those programs?
Would a league of Arkansas State, LaTech, ULM, UL, Rice, Tulsa, UNT, UTSA, Texas State, and Tulsa be better for those teams?
UTEP and NMSU belong in the MWC if common sense prevail, if not they could squeeze into the New SWC conference above.
One of the bigger hurdles I see (outside of the obvious ego/money problem) if the in between geography teams may favor one direction vs. another but are needed to make the numbers work.
I would really like to see what Delany presented to the C-USA presidents, and hear what their reaction was to it.