(08-01-2015 06:10 PM)Dawgxas Wrote:  

(08-01-2015 05:24 PM)ODUgradstudent Wrote:  

(07-27-2015 05:10 PM)FIUFan Wrote:  If you want to have some fun, here's last year's O' Sentinel's countdown. Compare their ranking to each team's final rpi so that we can determine a standard deviation of their pick to the final result. Do this for a few years and we can see what kind of prognosticators they really are.

http://csnbbs.com/thread-687368.html

Just because I'm doing nothing today.











OS predictions from here

RPIs from here

The number at the bottom is the mean of obs-calc. So as if we didn't know before, OS preseason conference rankings tell us nothing because the differences between the conferences is way smaller than the error of the predictions.

Interesting chart, thanks for putting that together. Tech by far had the biggest difference between the OS and final RPI (74). Only other team that finished ahead of Marshall and Tech was Boise. Maybe we can make up some ground this year too!

Very interesting. Looks like there was a bias toward the AAC and against CUSA. Naw, never could happen.

(08-04-2015 12:08 PM)NueDaeEagle Wrote:  Very interesting. Looks like there was a bias toward the AAC and against CUSA. Naw, never could happen.

Looking at the predictions I think ECU, Tulsa and UConn were pretty fair. I'd probably have predicted Memphis 80-100 too, and that is way off the final RPI. The predictions for UCF, Cinci and Houston were ridiculous.

The CUSA rankings were clearly based only on the 2013 season results, with no attention paid to recruiting and player attrition/retention.

The OS ranked CUSA as follows with the previous season's conference record in parentheses.

Marshall (7-1)
Rice (7-1)
UTSA (6-2)
UNT (6-2)
MTSU (6-2)
WKU (4-3)*
ODU (8-4)**
FAU (4-4)
LT (3-5)
UTEP (1-7)
Southern Miss (1-7)
UAB (1-7)
FIU (1-7)

*Sun Belt record
** Transition year record

Except for ODU their preseason ranking follows the previous season's conference record exactly.

Wow, I had already forgotten just how bad the AAC was last year. Had Memphis not turned it around it would have been down right atrocious.

The avg RPI for the AAC was 90 vs. 75 for C-USA.

(08-04-2015 12:58 PM)ThreeifbyLightning Wrote:  Wow, I had already forgotten just how bad the AAC was last year. Had Memphis not turned it around it would have been down right atrocious.

The avg RPI for the AAC was 90 vs. 75 for C-USA.

and just how many P5 schools did you beat?

Typical AAC response. So enamored with the P5 that the only stat that could possibly matter would involve P5 games. RPI takes the whole universe of college football into account. So, you were saying?

(08-04-2015 05:57 PM)goodknightfl Wrote:  

(08-04-2015 12:58 PM)ThreeifbyLightning Wrote:  Wow, I had already forgotten just how bad the AAC was last year. Had Memphis not turned it around it would have been down right atrocious.

The avg RPI for the AAC was 90 vs. 75 for C-USA.

and just how many P5 schools did you beat?

I'm not sure what your point is or what that has to do with my statement.

Clearly, the couple you beat weren't enough to help your RPI.

(08-04-2015 05:57 PM)goodknightfl Wrote:  

(08-04-2015 12:58 PM)ThreeifbyLightning Wrote:  Wow, I had already forgotten just how bad the AAC was last year. Had Memphis not turned it around it would have been down right atrocious.

The avg RPI for the AAC was 90 vs. 75 for C-USA.

and just how many P5 schools did you beat?

How many CUSA schools did the AAC beat? How many did they get beat by?

For those who still at least semi-care, the SEC is on a top-of the-Top 25-roll with Tennessee in at 23, and here are the updated projected/final rankings.

SEC 37.54
PAC-12 44.96
IND 50.17
ACC 54.68
BIG-12 57.25
B1G 58.07
MWC 77.55
C-USA 77.92
MAC 78.46
AAC 82.67
SBC 84.91

As Of: 08/05/15

Includes Tennessee at 23

http://interactive.orlandosentinel.com/c...index.html

P. S. I think I see Boise coming into view!

(08-05-2015 05:41 AM)ODU AGGIE Wrote:  For those who still at least semi-care, the SEC is on a top-of the-Top 25-roll with Tennessee in at 23, and here are the updated projected/final rankings.

SEC 37.54
PAC-12 44.96
IND 50.17
ACC 54.68
BIG-12 57.25
B1G 58.07
MWC 77.55
C-USA 77.92
MAC 78.46
AAC 82.67
SBC 84.91

As Of: 08/05/15

Includes Tennessee at 23

http://interactive.orlandosentinel.com/c...index.html

P. S. I think I see Boise coming into view!

Ive really enjoyed you doing this thread!

(08-04-2015 08:47 PM)banker Wrote:  

(08-04-2015 05:57 PM)goodknightfl Wrote:  

(08-04-2015 12:58 PM)ThreeifbyLightning Wrote:  Wow, I had already forgotten just how bad the AAC was last year. Had Memphis not turned it around it would have been down right atrocious.

The avg RPI for the AAC was 90 vs. 75 for C-USA.

and just how many P5 schools did you beat?

How many CUSA schools did the AAC beat? How many did they get beat by?

We will fix that this year.

(08-05-2015 08:01 AM)wkuhilltopperfan Wrote:  

(08-05-2015 05:41 AM)ODU AGGIE Wrote:  For those who still at least semi-care, the SEC is on a top-of the-Top 25-roll with Tennessee in at 23, and here are the updated projected/final rankings.

SEC 37.54
PAC-12 44.96
IND 50.17
ACC 54.68
BIG-12 57.25
B1G 58.07
MWC 77.55
C-USA 77.92
MAC 78.46
AAC 82.67
SBC 84.91

As Of: 08/05/15

Includes Tennessee at 23

http://interactive.orlandosentinel.com/c...index.html

P. S. I think I see Boise coming into view!

Ive really enjoyed you doing this thread!

Agree, it has been a lot of fun over what amounts to nothing. Should be renamed the Seinfeld Thread. Glad real game is almost here.

GT is #22.

Georgia Tech is in at 22, and the suspense grows as we work down the list towards the magic No. 16 spot. Will Boise be ranked in the next five days? Can the Mountain West hold on to its No. One ranking? Will C-USA claim its rightful spot as the leading G5 conference? Stay tuned sports fans!

Here are the rankings. You know the drill.

SEC 37.36
PAC-12 44.75
IND 50.00
ACC 55.29
BIG-12 57.10
B1G 58.00
MWC 77.50
C-USA 77.92
MAC 78.46
AAC 82.67
SBC 84.91

As Of: 08/06/15

Includes Georgia Tech at 22

http://interactive.orlandosentinel.com/c...index.html

(08-05-2015 08:03 AM)goodknightfl Wrote:  

(08-04-2015 08:47 PM)banker Wrote:  

(08-04-2015 05:57 PM)goodknightfl Wrote:  

(08-04-2015 12:58 PM)ThreeifbyLightning Wrote:  Wow, I had already forgotten just how bad the AAC was last year. Had Memphis not turned it around it would have been down right atrocious.

The avg RPI for the AAC was 90 vs. 75 for C-USA.

and just how many P5 schools did you beat?

How many CUSA schools did the AAC beat? How many did they get beat by?

We will fix that this year.

Looking at the schedule, you probably will.
And we'll be fixing the "beat the P5" tally.

The dress is in the bag! Boise State is in at 21, and C-USA sits on top in the final G5 average conference rankings -- as it should be! Woo Hoo!

Here you go.

SEC 37.18
PAC-12 44.54
IND 49.83
ACC 55.14
BIG-12 56.95
B1G 57.93
C-USA 77.92
MWC 78.33
MAC 78.46
AAC 82.67
SBC 84.91

As Of: 08/07/15

Includes Boise State at 21

http://interactive.orlandosentinel.com/c...index.html

Very nice

(08-06-2015 11:54 PM)ODU AGGIE Wrote:  The dress is in the bag! Boise State is in at 21, and C-USA sits on top in the final G5 average conference rankings -- as it should be! Woo Hoo!

Here you go.

SEC 37.18
PAC-12 44.54
IND 49.83
ACC 55.14
BIG-12 56.95
B1G 57.93
C-USA 77.92
MWC 78.33
MAC 78.46
AAC 82.67
SBC 84.91

As Of: 08/07/15

Includes Boise State at 21

http://interactive.orlandosentinel.com/c...index.html

my name is dahbeed and i agree with this message.

paid for by the 'citizens to promote c-usa superiority'

Lets just hope it looks like this after the season...

Nice to see WKU picked first in my Sports Illustrated today, Marshall was picked 3rd, yes very shocking indeed...

(08-07-2015 07:47 AM)WKUFan518 Wrote:  Lets just hope it looks like this after the season...

Nice to see WKU picked first in my Sports Illustrated today, Marshall was picked 3rd, yes very shocking indeed...

Cool.

All I can see is the gargantuan gap between one half of that list and the other half.

And then when I look closer I see the SEC and then two clusters.