MinerInWisconsin
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I Root For: UTEP, of course
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RE: Lets Talk Expansion Again
(10-31-2023 08:10 PM)EatEmUp11 Wrote: (10-31-2023 07:30 PM)Turtle Power 98 Wrote: (10-31-2023 06:55 PM)TOPSTRAIGHT Wrote: (10-31-2023 02:31 PM)inutech Wrote: (10-31-2023 01:53 PM)TOPSTRAIGHT Wrote: Staying at ten is just not a good long term plan come 2024. There is just too much turnover in conferences.
We fundamentally disagree about this.
Play it out -
No unnecessary additions:
CUSA(10) for however many years, call it 5. Then you lose 2. So you end up with CUSA(10) - 2 + 2028 versions of two of your unready/undesirable except in a pinch schools.
Maybe, what? Tech, SHSU. NMSU, UTEP, WKU, MTSU, LU, KSU, FIU, JSU for 5 years and then Tech, SHSU, NMSU, UTEP, WKU, LU, KSU, JSU + (2 of) UMass/SFA/Tarrleton/Delaware/your preference.
Ok, that's not great. You're probably losing two teams you'd prefer not to (either because on how they've been on the field, or let's not kid ourselves probably just the biggest two markets/fanbases regardless of performance, but that still isn't great for the conference, at least for the next media deal).
And if nobody leaves in 5 years you can continue on with just the ten, or if two teams have become more desirable, there you go.
Tech, SHSU. NMSU, UTEP, WKU, MTSU, LU, KSU, FIU, JSU + UMass/SFA/Del/Tarrleton/whomoever if you want.
Now compare that to the defensive addition approach:
CUSA (10) + 2 unready/undesired teams. Then you lose 2 in 2028 and add 2 more (or not).
Tech, SHSU, NMSU, UTEP, WKU, MTSU, FIU, LU, KSU, JSU + (2 of) UMass/SFA/Tarrleton/Delaware/your preference for five years and then Tech, SHSU. NMSU, UTEP, WKU, LU, KSU, JSU + (2 of) UMass/SFA/Del/Tarrleton/whomoever.
Still not great. Probably just in the same place as losing 2 from CUSA(10), but 2 of those teams have been FBS/in CUSA for 5 more years which might make them better in 2028 than otherwise (but they've also been teams you had to play/split money with before you had to - and just to end up in the same place).
And if you don't lose anyone - well now you've just split your money farther and traveled farther and maybe weakened your overall conference strength, and for what? Just in case you had to end up in the same place anyway? But 2 schools have a few years of CUSA/FBS under their belts?
Tech, SHSU, NMSU, UTEP, WKU, MTSU, FIU, LU, KSU, JSU + (2 of) UMass/SFA/Tarrleton/Delaware/your preference
How are the red groups more preferable to the blue ones?
I think that possibly you missed my main point.
Delaware/ Missouri St./ UMASS>>> Tarleton, SFA, etc. (at this time)
IMO those first three ARE READY enough.
The second two Are UNREADY (today).
You take one or two (yes 11 could work) of that first group--Now.
Then... in five years IF they leave--you add from the second group who have had time to be prepared or even a new stronger candidate who has moved to the top.
EKU is also>>>>Tarleton, SFA, etc..
Tarleton is far more ready than EKU. Why do you say Tarleton is not ready? They average 19,000 fans a game. Their facilties are better than EKU and they are constantly building. They have a soaring enrollment, unlike EKU.
Take Tarleton’s attendance numbers at face value and sure, they look like an appealing candidate immediately. In reality, about half of those fans are actually at the game on weekends. And definitely less than what EKU gets. Their president is known to make outrageous claims…
Tarleton is constantly building, to the point where their fans are complaining about their facilities looking ugly or being rushed. Their new end zone seating, which increased stadium capacity to 24k, is never full and looks hideous quite frankly. EKU will soon upgrade their facilities as well.
EKU has a tradition of success at the D1 level and seems to have re-committed to their athletics. Tarleton doesn’t. EKU>>>TSU
Tarleton claimed 23k at homecoming and crowd pictures looked legit.
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