For Troy

1. South Alabama
2. Army
3. Louisiana
4. Texas State
5. Louisiana Monroe
6. Southern Miss

To be fair, the top four on my list are all tough outs, and we have to play ULM in Monroe. Only game that should be a layup is Southern Miss.

1 at Georgia St
2 v JMU
3 at South Al
4 at App St
5 v Georgia Southern
6 at Coastal
7 v Ark St

I don’t feel great about any game left. We could lose every one. Grainger scares me with how we let QBs rush for 70 yard TDs. Then we turn around and play JMU on a short week. South Al and App are going to be tough road trips. I expect a shootout in Statesboro. Coastal and Ark St should be wins. Ark St might even be the better team between the two but going to Dirty Myrtle gives Coastal the leg up there.

JMU
GATA
App
GSU
CCU
Liberty

Troy
South
Georgia State
Ark. St.
ULM
USM

This isn't a ranking of teams left on the schedule, just ranking the difficulty of games:

1. @App State (I expect them to be 7-5 at the end of the season but get real, no one has replaced GS as App's arch rival and they'll be ready)
2. @Texas State (you can pretty much move the spread a touchdown in favor of the Bobcats whenever we play them in San Marcos)
3. @Marshall (Earlier in the season this would be #1 but their defense looks to have regressed some)
4. @JMU (If we had a run-first team with identical offensive production we might lose by 17, but this team has issues against the pass)
5. ODU (this team is flying under the radar and this game has "trap game" written all over it)
6. Georgia State (I don't expect us to be a heavy favorite but we will have the psychological edge and our offense will give them problems).
7. ULM (gonna take Bowden longer to make this team competitive)

Ranking based on difficulty:
1. JMU
2. Marshall
3. TXST
4. App State
5. Georgia State
6. ULM
7. ODU

Ranking based on how much I hate them
1. App State
2. Georgia State
3. Marshall
4. JMU
5. ULM
6. TXST
7. ODU

1. Marshall (Because its on the road)
2. South Alabama (See Marshall)
3. Texas State (Home game and their defense is the weakness)
4. ULL (Rivalry game)
5. Coastal Carolina (Down year by their standards)
6. ULM (Because they haven't beaten us since Obama's first year as President.)

Based on difficulty

Georgia Southern (until we break the jinx, they're going to be like an abscessed tooth)
App State
Marshall
Georgia State
Coastal
UConn
Harrisonburg Middle School
Girl Scout Troop 23
ODU

JMU
Liberty
GATA
App
GSU
CCU

I'm very curious to see how the East shakes out because I legit feel anyone out of JMU, Marshall, App, Georgia Southern and even to a degree Georgia State could take the East (even though JMU can't play in the conference championship). Everyone seems to have a very tough gauntlet to run through on the back end of the schedule.

(10-10-2023 12:02 PM)troy4ever Wrote:  I'm very curious to see how the East shakes out because I legit feel anyone out of JMU, Marshall, App, Georgia Southern and even to a degree Georgia State could take the East (even though JMU can't play in the conference championship). Everyone seems to have a very tough gauntlet to run through on the back end of the schedule.

No gimmies in the SBC. Still four teams in the west that could win the division.

(10-10-2023 11:24 AM)2Buck Wrote:  Based on difficulty

Georgia Southern (until we break the jinx, they're going to be like an abscessed tooth)
App State
Marshall
Georgia State
Coastal
UConn
Harrisonburg Middle School
Girl Scout Troop 23
ODU

You forgot one, EMU intramural runners-up, but that's only if Abner Stoltzfus is back at QB from his injury sustained plowing the fields over the weekend. They should fall right between Harrisonburg MS and GS Troop 23, but it appears all of the rest are very accurate.

(10-10-2023 11:24 AM)2Buck Wrote:  Based on difficulty

Georgia Southern (until we break the jinx, they're going to be like an abscessed tooth)
App State
Marshall
Georgia State
Coastal
UConn
Harrisonburg Middle School
Girl Scout Troop 23
ODU

You're out of the CAA, you don't have to play HMS and Troop 23 anymore. Get it together!

1) Troy
2) South
3) Georgia State
4) stAte
5) Southern Miss.
6) ULM

(10-10-2023 12:02 PM)troy4ever Wrote:  I'm very curious to see how the East shakes out because I legit feel anyone out of JMU, Marshall, App, Georgia Southern and even to a degree Georgia State could take the East (even though JMU can't play in the conference championship). Everyone seems to have a very tough gauntlet to run through on the back end of the schedule.

App isn't consistent enough to win the east this year, but we get three weeks to improve before the really tough ones.

The next three games on paper are the easier ones (CCU, ODU, USM), but I would bet we drop one of those. Then we finish with Marshall, GA St., JMU, and GS. Our ceiling is likely 8-4 with that schedule.

(10-10-2023 01:16 PM)Saint3333 Wrote:  

(10-10-2023 12:02 PM)troy4ever Wrote:  I'm very curious to see how the East shakes out because I legit feel anyone out of JMU, Marshall, App, Georgia Southern and even to a degree Georgia State could take the East (even though JMU can't play in the conference championship). Everyone seems to have a very tough gauntlet to run through on the back end of the schedule.

App isn't consistent enough to win the east this year, but we get three weeks to improve before the really tough ones.

The next three games on paper are the easier ones (CCU, ODU, USM), but I would bet we drop one of those. Then we finish with Marshall, GA St., JMU, and GS. Our ceiling is likely 8-4 with that schedule.

If you do make it there that rematch would be sweet

(10-10-2023 01:20 PM)TroyFootball05 Wrote:  

(10-10-2023 01:16 PM)Saint3333 Wrote:  

(10-10-2023 12:02 PM)troy4ever Wrote:  I'm very curious to see how the East shakes out because I legit feel anyone out of JMU, Marshall, App, Georgia Southern and even to a degree Georgia State could take the East (even though JMU can't play in the conference championship). Everyone seems to have a very tough gauntlet to run through on the back end of the schedule.

App isn't consistent enough to win the east this year, but we get three weeks to improve before the really tough ones.

The next three games on paper are the easier ones (CCU, ODU, USM), but I would bet we drop one of those. Then we finish with Marshall, GA St., JMU, and GS. Our ceiling is likely 8-4 with that schedule.

If you do make it there that rematch would be sweet

If I'm in Vegas I'm putting our odds at 1:15, would be worse if JMU were eligible.

ODU has 5 fairly tough games remaining. I'd rank them in this order.

1) App State (H) - The mountaineers are always a tough matchup.
2) GA Southern (A) - Long history of exciting games between the schools.
3) GA State (H) - Having a good year so far and should be a tough game.
4) Liberty (A) - Unbeaten and will be a tough in-state rivalry game.
5) Coastal Carolina (H) - They're looking for revenge and have a dangerous QB.

JMCC (A) - Trap game scheduled in between our home matchups with App State and Coastal. Hope ODU doesn't overlook them.

(10-10-2023 01:55 PM)ODU BBALL Wrote:  ODU has 5 fairly tough games remaining. I'd rank them in this order.

1) App State (H) - The mountaineers are always a tough matchup.
2) GA Southern (A) - Long history of exciting games between the schools.
3) GA State (H) - Having a good year so far and should be a tough game.
4) Liberty (A) - Unbeaten and will be a tough in-state rivalry game.
5) Coastal Carolina (H) - They're looking for revenge and have a dangerous QB.

JMCC (A) - Trap game scheduled in between our home matchups with App State and Coastal. Hope ODU doesn't overlook them.

LOL, if JMU is a community college, ODU is a third world daycare located in the basement of a sewage treatment plant. Which actually isn't too far off.

Troy - never can beat them
GS - they look really good this year
USA - home teams has always won and USA is hit or miss this season
Coastal - new coach has them playing their worst in years but McCall is still there
stAte - only ahead of ULM cause it's a raid game and their team can sometimes put up points
ULM - not a bad team at all but home game and Cats want revenge for late loss versus UL