b0ndsj0ns
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RE: Thamel: Sun Belt considering expanding by 4
(10-25-2021 09:35 AM)ballantyneapp Wrote: (10-25-2021 09:27 AM)b0ndsj0ns Wrote: (10-25-2021 09:10 AM)b2b Wrote: (10-25-2021 08:50 AM)b0ndsj0ns Wrote: (10-24-2021 01:11 PM)ericsaid Wrote: I've also seen where SMU reached out to the MWC following the AAC's addition of North Texas. That was on the SMU board but I'm not sure exactly what came of it. If SMU and Tulsa were to leave, I imagine Wichita State would explore movement as well?
Realignment won't end here as the AAC reverts back to C-USA and former C-USA members who were left behind want upward mobility.
The Sun Belt has grown a lot stronger in brand, viewership, and performance since 2013 when Georgia Southern and App State were added. Then it exploded in 2020 which ended in a new contract with an increased payout and 40% increase in linear channel games was announced in May of 2021, I believe. The media deal was then again revised with the addition of Marshall, ODU, USM, and JMU. The reason being that App - Marshall alone generated around 1.1 million viewers in their Thursday night game. Their game on CBS the year before had well north of 1 million viewers. Marshall always had strong numbers on ESPN channels as well so I'd imagine ESPN is hedging that the following USM and Marshall once had still exists.
Then you add the Hampton Roads DMA and JMU's reach into the huge markets in Northern Virginia and it all begins to paint a picture that may help it make sense for you.
You just so badly want to invent scenarios where ECU is forced to beg to join the league App resides in. You do this garbage on every single board. App fans are trying to make me respect Charlotte more than App. Charlotte also really wanted to be in a league with ECU football, but you never saw their fans trying to come up with hair brain scenarios where ECU has to crawl back to C-USA, they were like we'd like to get to the point where we can join the AAC. You guys want to recreate the SOCON at the FBS level, and that's fine stop stalking ECU and leave us out of it. We left it 40 years ago for a reason.
Long term I think the SBC could end up being the better football conference. That said ECU needs to stay here until the end of the TV deal and hope to catch the last helicopter out of Saigon into whatever becomes of the B12. That's going to be our ceiling - reunited with WVU (yes we shared a conf), TCU, UCF, Houston, Cincy and whatever's left of the B12. If that doesn't happen for ECU I think it would make sense to join the SBC at that point.
No it wouldn't. I feel like you are imagining the Sun-Belt is filled with schools like App that are football first schools that draw fans. Sure if there were 9-10 App's that drew close to 30k per game I wouldn't mind being involved with that. Problem is most of the rest of the league draws less than 20k per game.
SBC
So Miss- 24,765
App St- 23,806
Troy- 23,499
Marshall- 23,190
Ark St- 20,670
ODU- 18,234
Louisiana- 18,203
JMU- 18,108
Ga St- 17,186
TX St- 17,140
ULM- 16,728
USA- 16,322
Coastal- 15,019
Ga So- 13,964
2019 SBC Average: 19,060
App is averaging +30k this year with 2 midweek games. The SBC west will be good for 20k+ going forward with their rivales -TXST who unfortunately is on an island.
JMU averages 18k in FCS against Elon and Duquesne and whoever else is in CAA. its going to be 25k+
The SBC East is basically a rivalry division. I'm pumped. This is a business model war. SBC betting fan engagement=better football= more eyeballs. We'll see how that stacks up to proximity to more people=????=more eyeballs.
I think by 2027 we'll have a good idea of which business model works best in the streaming era.
20k is garbage attendance. Like there's no "people" showing up to SBC games. The west already has a bunch of regional rivalries, why aren't fans already showing up? ULL/ULM/Ark State/USA/Troy are already all very regional and been playing each other for years and draw nothing. Adding USM isn't going to make schools that already play each other all the time draw more.
AAC
Memphis- 38,816
ECU- 33,134
Navy- 31,970
USF- 31,823
Temple- 29,460
UAB- 24,726
SMU- 23,633
Rice- 22,212
NTSU- 21,358
Tulane- 20,271
UTSA- 19,904
Tulsa- 18,741
FAU- 17,607
Charlotte- 12,319
2019 AAC Average: 24,712
New AAC attendance is still garbage, but hell if I want to paint rosy pictures Charlotte will expand their stadium and just playing ECU every other year will ensure 1 sellout for that season so that makes their numbers look better. UTSA having 3 other Texas schools in the league and improved play will get back to drawing where they were when they first joined C-USA. The rest will look basically how they look, with hopefully ECU getting good and getting our number back around 40k per game.
(This post was last modified: 10-25-2021 09:46 AM by b0ndsj0ns.)
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