Just want to point out that both Coastal and Louisiana will be on short weeks for their game, something that BOP did not mention.

(10-21-2019 02:51 PM)slycat Wrote:  I think TXST gets to 4 and maybe 5 wins. CCU and USA would be the wins (could easily lose too but I'm biased). And could get one from stAte, APP, or UL. Almost beat App last year, haven't beaten a better stAte team before, and won't beat UL cause they never do.

App and Louisiana are prob guaranteed losses for TXST.

I'd throw Troy in with A-state too though in the maybe we could get a win department.

We need to win: USA
I hope we win but not ultra optimistic: Coastal
Maybe we can pull it off?: A-State, Troy
Gonna get throttled: App, Louisiana

Hopefully we can find at least 2 wins in there, and maybe 3.

(10-21-2019 07:02 PM)appsfan Wrote:  

(10-21-2019 02:51 PM)slycat Wrote:  I think TXST gets to 4 and maybe 5 wins. CCU and USA would be the wins (could easily lose too but I'm biased). And could get one from stAte, APP, or UL. Almost beat App last year, haven't beaten a better stAte team before, and won't beat UL cause they never do.

I think you are thinking about our 20-13 win in 2017 as we won 38-7 last year.

Yes 2017. Shows how much time is an illusion as a Bobcat fan. All those losses blur together.

(10-22-2019 11:16 AM)_x_ Wrote:  

(10-21-2019 02:51 PM)slycat Wrote:  I think TXST gets to 4 and maybe 5 wins. CCU and USA would be the wins (could easily lose too but I'm biased). And could get one from stAte, APP, or UL. Almost beat App last year, haven't beaten a better stAte team before, and won't beat UL cause they never do.

App and Louisiana are prob guaranteed losses for TXST.

I'd throw Troy in with A-state too though in the maybe we could get a win department.

We need to win: USA
I hope we win but not ultra optimistic: Coastal
Maybe we can pull it off?: A-State, Troy
Gonna get throttled: App, Louisiana

Hopefully we can find at least 2 wins in there, and maybe 3.

I agree. USA is the only game we should be favored and I will be upset to lose. The rest I expect to lose. There is a real chance against CCU and then hope some teams forget they are playing us.

(10-20-2019 06:55 PM)Pounce FTW Wrote:  

(10-20-2019 06:37 PM)itsmeagain Wrote:  Meanwhile, every GSU fan is like eh, ”I don’t believe it”

There's definitely some truth to this. I mean, after beating Army, I'll admit I'm starting to believe, but...

I agree. You have a tough App game. GS will be tough. Doesn't matter if they are 1 win or 10. Historically we are 1-5 against Troy. ULM and USA will be the wild cards. Still 7 wins for us entering a bowl would be the best we have done to date. I'd love 9 wins, but we got a long way to go.

Let's revisit this...

Locks:
App State (7-1)
Georgia State (6-2)

Need one win:
Georgia Southern (5-3) (remaining games: @Troy, ULM, @Ark State, Georgia State)
Ark State (5-4) (remaining games: Coastal, Georgia Southern, @South Alabama)

Need two wins:
Coastal Carolina (3-4) (remaining games: UL, @Ark State, @ULM, Texas State)

Need three wins:
Troy (3-5) (remaining games: Georgia Southern, @Texas State, @UL, App)
ULM (3-5) (remaining games: Georgia State, @Georgia Southern, Coastal, @UL)

No Chance:
Texas State
South Alabama

I think we'll get at least 4 teams, and Coastal will be the swing team. Troy is a longshot - the game with Coastal was probably an elimination game. I honestly hope we get 5 eligible teams so Liberty doesn't take one of our bowls (ick).

(11-02-2019 07:42 PM)EigenEagle Wrote:  Let's revisit this...

Locks:
App State (7-1)
Georgia State (6-2)

Need one win:
Georgia Southern (5-3) (remaining games: @Troy, ULM, @Ark State, Georgia State)
Ark State (5-4) (remaining games: Coastal, Georgia Southern, @South Alabama)

Need two wins:
Coastal Carolina (3-4) (remaining games: UL, @Ark State, @ULM, Texas State)

Need three wins:
Troy (3-5) (remaining games: Georgia Southern, @Texas State, @UL, App)
ULM (3-5) (remaining games: Georgia State, @Georgia Southern, Coastal, @UL)

No Chance:
Texas State
South Alabama

I think we'll get at least 4 teams, and Coastal will be the swing team. Troy is a longshot - the game with Coastal was probably an elimination game. I honestly hope we get 5 eligible teams so Liberty doesn't take one of our bowls (ick).

You forgot Louisiana as a lock. I am almost certain we reach 5 eligible, and odds favor getting 6.

Reached 6 wins today: StAte, GS.

Already was at 6 or more wins: App, UL, Georgia State.

Troy needs to win one of @UL and App to get to 6 wins.
Coastal needs to win both @ULM and Texas State to get to 6 wins.
ULM needs to beat Coastal and win @UL to get to get to 6 wins.

Eliminated: South, Texas State.

We could potentially have 7 bowl-eligible teams in the league.

5 may be more likely than 7, I think we get to 6, just hope it isn’t via a Troy win over App.

Coastal has a better shot with TXST and ULM but needs 2 wins and only 33.4% probability of bowl eligibility per team rankings.

Troy is a long shot with APP and @UL 31.5% probability of bowl eligibility per team rankings.

ULM needs to win @ Cajun Field( that ain't happening this year) AND beat CC at home. 3.0% probability of bowl eligibility per team rankings.

https://www.teamrankings.com/ncf/projections/standings/

Is this the first that a Sun Belt team has been listed in the Playoff Poll? Tonight’s release has App St at 24, right in front of SMU.

https://www.espn.com/college-football/st...stays-no-5

Last week App was 25th, but that was the first time.

USC with four losses jumped us...

(11-19-2019 09:02 PM)Saint3333 Wrote:  Last week App was 25th, but that was the first time.

USC with four losses jumped us...

We need a decorative win it seems

(11-19-2019 09:13 PM)TheAppalachianState Wrote:  

(11-19-2019 09:02 PM)Saint3333 Wrote:  Last week App was 25th, but that was the first time.

USC with four losses jumped us...

We need a decorative win it seems

Not going to help us going against one of the worst teams in all of FBS. If beating GSU barely moved the needle, we need to blow out TX. State just to stay where we are. Only way we move up the polls is by teams ahead of us losing. Our schedule is too weak statistically to warrant a move up on its own.


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They may have to try for a shut out and anything less than 40 points will be disappointing I'd say.

SMU is 100% primed to jump App for next week. Which sucks, but that's what happens when you lose to creek drinkers.

(11-20-2019 08:42 AM)Yosef Himself Wrote:  SMU is 100% primed to jump App for next week. Which sucks, but that's what happens when you lose to creek drinkers.

I mean you keep living that unranked life and it'll be okay.

(11-20-2019 09:55 AM)TheEagleWay Wrote:  

(11-20-2019 08:42 AM)Yosef Himself Wrote:  SMU is 100% primed to jump App for next week. Which sucks, but that's what happens when you lose to creek drinkers.

https://csnbbs.com/thread-887199-post-16...id16462891

Yep...

(11-20-2019 10:21 AM)Saint3333 Wrote:  

(11-20-2019 09:55 AM)TheEagleWay Wrote:  

(11-20-2019 08:42 AM)Yosef Himself Wrote:  SMU is 100% primed to jump App for next week. Which sucks, but that's what happens when you lose to creek drinkers.

https://csnbbs.com/thread-887199-post-16...id16462891

Yep...

¯\_(ツ)_/¯