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Poll: AT 18 Conference Members Which 4 Do You Prefer From the Big 12 Now:
Texas, Kansas, Oklahoma, Iowa State
Texas, Texas Tech, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State
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At 18 SEC Members Which 4 from the Big 12 Do You Prefer Now:
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chester Offline
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RE: At 18 SEC Members Which 4 from the Big 12 Do You Prefer Now:
(08-30-2018 08:33 PM)JRsec Wrote:  Agree that they are unwieldy. I would be secretly hoping for 3 divisions of 6.

Arkansas, Iowa State, Kansas, Missouri, Oklahoma, Texas

Alabama, Auburn, Louisiana State, Mississippi, Mississippi State, Texas A&M

Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, South Carolina, Tennessee, Vanderbilt


We would play 10 conference games. 5 divisional, 2 each rotation from the other two divisions, and one permanent rival.

I think it would be a mistake for an 18-member SEC to use 3 divisions. With your suggestion of 10 games, the schedules of divisional teams would be, on average, only 66% balanced. That isn't much more than it would be now if the SEC dropped divisions and continued with just 8-game schedules: 62%

A lot of people today don't notice the can-of-worms issue of unbalanced schedules between divisional teams (or they find it easy to ignore) because division champions are usually the teams that finish with the most wins against division foes, or are teams that finished in a tie for most such wins. Of course, that's due to the relatively high ratio of divisional to cross-divisional games.

But in an 18-member conference with 3 divisions of 6 and 10-game schedules, that ratio would be much, much lower, and unless each division has a dominant team year after year and unless there's measure of parity among the other teams in each division, then division champions may often not be the teams with the most division wins. I think that a lot people would notice that and I don't think they would like it at all, especially when their own team loses its division to a team that probably had 3 or 4 different opponents than their own team did -- all of which may have been weaker teams.

So if the SEC did expand to 18, I think it would be best off using 10-game schedules and continuing with two divisions, even if some divisional schools were geographically distant. That would afford divisional teams an average of 8 1⁄4 common games out of 10 for 83% balance, which is somewhat better than the 79% of today.

Now, with 10-game schedules an 18-member SEC could, if it wanted, use impermanent divisions of 9, each consisting of rotated pods of 5 and 4. That would afford each team 4 permanent foes and the ability to play all impermanent opponents at least twice in any six year span.

As to which four Big XII schools to add, I've no opinion. I prefer contraction to expansion. 04-drinky
09-01-2018 04:45 AM
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RE: At 18 SEC Members Which 4 from the Big 12 Do You Prefer Now:
(09-01-2018 04:45 AM)chester Wrote:  
(08-30-2018 08:33 PM)JRsec Wrote:  Agree that they are unwieldy. I would be secretly hoping for 3 divisions of 6.

Arkansas, Iowa State, Kansas, Missouri, Oklahoma, Texas

Alabama, Auburn, Louisiana State, Mississippi, Mississippi State, Texas A&M

Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, South Carolina, Tennessee, Vanderbilt


We would play 10 conference games. 5 divisional, 2 each rotation from the other two divisions, and one permanent rival.

I think it would be a mistake for an 18-member SEC to use 3 divisions. With your suggestion of 10 games, the schedules of divisional teams would be, on average, only 66% balanced. That isn't much more than it would be now if the SEC dropped divisions and continued with just 8-game schedules: 62%

A lot of people today don't notice the can-of-worms issue of unbalanced schedules between divisional teams (or they find it easy to ignore) because division champions are usually the teams that finish with the most wins against division foes, or are teams that finished in a tie for most such wins. Of course, that's due to the relatively high ratio of divisional to cross-divisional games.

But in an 18-member conference with 3 divisions of 6 and 10-game schedules, that ratio would be much, much lower, and unless each division has a dominant team year after year and unless there's measure of parity among the other teams in each division, then division champions may often not be the teams with the most division wins. I think that a lot people would notice that and I don't think they would like it at all, especially when their own team loses its division to a team that probably had 3 or 4 different opponents than their own team did -- all of which may have been weaker teams.

So if the SEC did expand to 18, I think it would be best off using 10-game schedules and continuing with two divisions, even if some divisional schools were geographically distant. That would afford divisional teams an average of 8 1⁄4 common games out of 10 for 83% balance, which is somewhat better than the 79% of today.

Now, with 10-game schedules an 18-member SEC could, if it wanted, use impermanent divisions of 9, each consisting of rotated pods of 5 and 4. That would afford each team 4 permanent foes and the ability to play all impermanent opponents at least twice in any six year span.

As to which four Big XII schools to add, I've no opinion. I prefer contraction to expansion. 04-drinky

That's a solid argument against 3 divisions and certainly worth consideration. I had considered the rotating 4/5 pod system but thought it too confusing for the fans.

Playing two straight up 9 team divisions with a 10 game schedule you would almost get through all 17 of the other schools in 4 years. You'd be 1 school short. But still that's a better rate of play than we have now.

As to being old school and wanting contraction, while I understand the sentiment and can sympathize with it, I'm afraid the drumbeat of more cash is going to be too strong, and the idea of having more contractual leverage too strong for us to return to what was a purer time for our conference.
09-01-2018 11:42 AM
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RE: At 18 SEC Members Which 4 from the Big 12 Do You Prefer Now:
(08-30-2018 05:10 PM)JRsec Wrote:  
(08-30-2018 02:25 PM)Win5002 Wrote:  I think we are past distance mattering in realignment in large part.

I don't think ISU will ever get a B1G invite unless it is brokered with several teams with already having Iowa, even though they are a great geographical and academic fit for them. Keep in mind the geographical fit of ISU gets better with teams like Missouri which you already have, Kansas and OU with a history of playing.

The other selling point for ISU in the SEC is while the ISU vs Iowa rivalry is big in state, there are still a fair amount of fans that while they have a favorite still watch/follow both teams. On a given Saturday in Iowa with that population you can have 125K to 128K filling up two stadiums which I don't think is too bad in a roughly 3M population state. So it would seem there is more viewers to gain by the SEC adding ISU than the B1G adding ISU. IMO for ISU to go to the B1G it would need a block of 4 schools and more than likely a overall joint effort of realignment by the conferences, probably strongly encouraged by the networks.

With expanded conferences distance really only matters to your division mates. In this scenario nothing will have changed distance wise from the Big 12 except that trips to Morgantown would be off the board for conference play. So I agree distance doesn't matter that much.

But on another note, it's true the North / South thing doesn't fit for Iowa State, but...Iowa State is an ag science school with veterinary medicine and in that regard they are very compatible with Texas A&M, Mississippi State, Auburn, Florida, Kentucky, Missouri, Georgia, and L.S.U.. Some of those schools are more diverse and some are not, but all would be an educational fit for Iowa State.

If the new West is a 9 team division Iowa State is a tough road trip for the Mississippi and Louisiana Fans.

If we move to 3 divisions of 6 it would be like playing in a small version of the Big 12.

As you stated JR, if ISU were closer to the 36⁰ 30' line they would be no different than VT or NCSU in terms appeal. If I thought Cyclones fans would be interested in trips to Columbia (SC), Lexington and Starkville then maybe adding ISU would be worth it. But I just don't see it.
09-01-2018 09:44 PM
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RE: At 18 SEC Members Which 4 from the Big 12 Do You Prefer Now:
I know ISU is not a huge brand but the instate football game with Iowa only drew about 10% less viewers than USC vs Stanford in prime time on the same network. Its not a huge market but there are a lot of college football fans, and the ISU brand could possibly continue to cut into the Iowa market share in the state.
09-13-2018 02:56 PM
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RE: At 18 SEC Members Which 4 from the Big 12 Do You Prefer Now:
(09-13-2018 02:56 PM)Win5002 Wrote:  I know ISU is not a huge brand but the instate football game with Iowa only drew about 10% less viewers than USC vs Stanford in prime time on the same network. Its not a huge market but there are a lot of college football fans, and the ISU brand could possibly continue to cut into the Iowa market share in the state.

People from Iowa would be right at home in Kentucky, Tennessee, Mississippi and Alabama. We are all still states that are predominantly rural and agricultural. Vet Med and Ag Science in a addition to the other disciplines would actually blend quite well. And culturally, other than the lack of a Southern drawl, Iowans are still conservative church going folks.

IMO the biggest obstacle to adding the Cyclones is distance.
09-13-2018 04:22 PM
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RE: At 18 SEC Members Which 4 from the Big 12 Do You Prefer Now:
(09-13-2018 04:22 PM)JRsec Wrote:  
(09-13-2018 02:56 PM)Win5002 Wrote:  I know ISU is not a huge brand but the instate football game with Iowa only drew about 10% less viewers than USC vs Stanford in prime time on the same network. Its not a huge market but there are a lot of college football fans, and the ISU brand could possibly continue to cut into the Iowa market share in the state.

People from Iowa would be right at home in Kentucky, Tennessee, Mississippi and Alabama. We are all still states that are predominantly rural and agricultural. Vet Med and Ag Science in a addition to the other disciplines would actually blend quite well. And culturally, other than the lack of a Southern drawl, Iowans are still conservative church going folks.

IMO the biggest obstacle to adding the Cyclones is distance.

Maybe there is something to what you said. I'm an Iowan and I married a woman from Tennessee! And we even go to church together. 04-bow
09-13-2018 08:34 PM
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RE: At 18 SEC Members Which 4 from the Big 12 Do You Prefer Now:
(09-13-2018 04:22 PM)JRsec Wrote:  
(09-13-2018 02:56 PM)Win5002 Wrote:  I know ISU is not a huge brand but the instate football game with Iowa only drew about 10% less viewers than USC vs Stanford in prime time on the same network. Its not a huge market but there are a lot of college football fans, and the ISU brand could possibly continue to cut into the Iowa market share in the state.

People from Iowa would be right at home in Kentucky, Tennessee, Mississippi and Alabama. We are all still states that are predominantly rural and agricultural. Vet Med and Ag Science in a addition to the other disciplines would actually blend quite well. And culturally, other than the lack of a Southern drawl, Iowans are still conservative church going folks.

IMO the biggest obstacle to adding the Cyclones is distance.
They finished the 2017 season 3rd in Big XII attendance and 30th in the nation at 58.000. They have spent a lot of money on upgrades. Travel may not be a problem, as the fans have to travel to Austin, Lubbock, Waco, and Dallas anyway. My thinking is a road trip to the south might be a bit more exciting for a weekend. Their fans will have to run the culture gauntlet which is no fun.
09-13-2018 11:50 PM
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RE: At 18 SEC Members Which 4 from the Big 12 Do You Prefer Now:
(09-13-2018 11:50 PM)USAFMEDIC Wrote:  
(09-13-2018 04:22 PM)JRsec Wrote:  
(09-13-2018 02:56 PM)Win5002 Wrote:  I know ISU is not a huge brand but the instate football game with Iowa only drew about 10% less viewers than USC vs Stanford in prime time on the same network. Its not a huge market but there are a lot of college football fans, and the ISU brand could possibly continue to cut into the Iowa market share in the state.

People from Iowa would be right at home in Kentucky, Tennessee, Mississippi and Alabama. We are all still states that are predominantly rural and agricultural. Vet Med and Ag Science in a addition to the other disciplines would actually blend quite well. And culturally, other than the lack of a Southern drawl, Iowans are still conservative church going folks.

IMO the biggest obstacle to adding the Cyclones is distance.
They finished the 2017 season 3rd in Big XII attendance and 30th in the nation at 58.000. They have spent a lot of money on upgrades. Travel may not be a problem, as the fans have to travel to Austin, Lubbock, Waco, and Dallas anyway. My thinking is a road trip to the south might be a bit more exciting for a weekend. Their fans will have to run the culture gauntlet which is no fun.

Explain the culture gauntlet.
09-13-2018 11:56 PM
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Post: #69
RE: At 18 SEC Members Which 4 from the Big 12 Do You Prefer Now:
(09-13-2018 11:56 PM)JRsec Wrote:  
(09-13-2018 11:50 PM)USAFMEDIC Wrote:  
(09-13-2018 04:22 PM)JRsec Wrote:  
(09-13-2018 02:56 PM)Win5002 Wrote:  I know ISU is not a huge brand but the instate football game with Iowa only drew about 10% less viewers than USC vs Stanford in prime time on the same network. Its not a huge market but there are a lot of college football fans, and the ISU brand could possibly continue to cut into the Iowa market share in the state.

People from Iowa would be right at home in Kentucky, Tennessee, Mississippi and Alabama. We are all still states that are predominantly rural and agricultural. Vet Med and Ag Science in a addition to the other disciplines would actually blend quite well. And culturally, other than the lack of a Southern drawl, Iowans are still conservative church going folks.

IMO the biggest obstacle to adding the Cyclones is distance.
They finished the 2017 season 3rd in Big XII attendance and 30th in the nation at 58.000. They have spent a lot of money on upgrades. Travel may not be a problem, as the fans have to travel to Austin, Lubbock, Waco, and Dallas anyway. My thinking is a road trip to the south might be a bit more exciting for a weekend. Their fans will have to run the culture gauntlet which is no fun.

Explain the culture gauntlet.
They will be probably labeled by many as a non-SEC fit, just as Missouri was. I know Iowa is similar to the SEC states in many ways, but there are always some who will constantly make the ISU fans defend the right to be a part of the SEC. Kansas will face the same music. Not sure about how the ISU and KU alumni feel about this option either. I hope everyone can overcome cultural stereotypes and keep an open mind. Simple geography is not that important. Example: Liberal minded UT Austin is a west coast school in every way except location. That was my point.04-cheers
09-16-2018 03:57 PM
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RE: At 18 SEC Members Which 4 from the Big 12 Do You Prefer Now:
(09-16-2018 03:57 PM)USAFMEDIC Wrote:  
(09-13-2018 11:56 PM)JRsec Wrote:  
(09-13-2018 11:50 PM)USAFMEDIC Wrote:  
(09-13-2018 04:22 PM)JRsec Wrote:  
(09-13-2018 02:56 PM)Win5002 Wrote:  I know ISU is not a huge brand but the instate football game with Iowa only drew about 10% less viewers than USC vs Stanford in prime time on the same network. Its not a huge market but there are a lot of college football fans, and the ISU brand could possibly continue to cut into the Iowa market share in the state.

People from Iowa would be right at home in Kentucky, Tennessee, Mississippi and Alabama. We are all still states that are predominantly rural and agricultural. Vet Med and Ag Science in a addition to the other disciplines would actually blend quite well. And culturally, other than the lack of a Southern drawl, Iowans are still conservative church going folks.

IMO the biggest obstacle to adding the Cyclones is distance.
They finished the 2017 season 3rd in Big XII attendance and 30th in the nation at 58.000. They have spent a lot of money on upgrades. Travel may not be a problem, as the fans have to travel to Austin, Lubbock, Waco, and Dallas anyway. My thinking is a road trip to the south might be a bit more exciting for a weekend. Their fans will have to run the culture gauntlet which is no fun.

Explain the culture gauntlet.
They will be probably labeled by many as a non-SEC fit, just as Missouri was. I know Iowa is similar to the SEC states in many ways, but there are always some who will constantly make the ISU fans defend the right to be a part of the SEC. Kansas will face the same music. Not sure about how the ISU and KU alumni feel about this option either. I hope everyone can overcome cultural stereotypes and keep an open mind. Simple geography is not that important. Example: Liberal minded UT Austin is a west coast school in every way except location. That was my point.04-cheers

Couldn't agree more, Medic. I think we see more of the ignorant sort of regionalism pop up among fans who may have never explored opportunities outside of their particular sub-culture, and the more vocal ones tend to be what we call the T-shirt fans who pull for SEC schools like pro sports. In other words, they have no academic or alumni relations to the schools they root for, so they just hate on other schools like what happens in pro sports.

Missouri is such a historically rich and interesting part of our nation. A book called American Nations written several years ago by Colin Woodard suggests that America is truly 11 rival nations that does its best to continually become the United States of America. I do not agree with all of his conclusions, but it is a fascinating read nonetheless. Missouri's ability to gel with what Woodard would call the Deep South, Greater Appalachia, The Midlands, and Yankeedom is a rare gift.
09-16-2018 06:19 PM
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RE: At 18 SEC Members Which 4 from the Big 12 Do You Prefer Now:
(09-16-2018 06:19 PM)bigblueblindness Wrote:  
(09-16-2018 03:57 PM)USAFMEDIC Wrote:  
(09-13-2018 11:56 PM)JRsec Wrote:  
(09-13-2018 11:50 PM)USAFMEDIC Wrote:  
(09-13-2018 04:22 PM)JRsec Wrote:  People from Iowa would be right at home in Kentucky, Tennessee, Mississippi and Alabama. We are all still states that are predominantly rural and agricultural. Vet Med and Ag Science in a addition to the other disciplines would actually blend quite well. And culturally, other than the lack of a Southern drawl, Iowans are still conservative church going folks.

IMO the biggest obstacle to adding the Cyclones is distance.
They finished the 2017 season 3rd in Big XII attendance and 30th in the nation at 58.000. They have spent a lot of money on upgrades. Travel may not be a problem, as the fans have to travel to Austin, Lubbock, Waco, and Dallas anyway. My thinking is a road trip to the south might be a bit more exciting for a weekend. Their fans will have to run the culture gauntlet which is no fun.

Explain the culture gauntlet.
They will be probably labeled by many as a non-SEC fit, just as Missouri was. I know Iowa is similar to the SEC states in many ways, but there are always some who will constantly make the ISU fans defend the right to be a part of the SEC. Kansas will face the same music. Not sure about how the ISU and KU alumni feel about this option either. I hope everyone can overcome cultural stereotypes and keep an open mind. Simple geography is not that important. Example: Liberal minded UT Austin is a west coast school in every way except location. That was my point.04-cheers

Couldn't agree more, Medic. I think we see more of the ignorant sort of regionalism pop up among fans who may have never explored opportunities outside of their particular sub-culture, and the more vocal ones tend to be what we call the T-shirt fans who pull for SEC schools like pro sports. In other words, they have no academic or alumni relations to the schools they root for, so they just hate on other schools like what happens in pro sports.

Missouri is such a historically rich and interesting part of our nation. A book called American Nations written several years ago by Colin Woodard suggests that America is truly 11 rival nations that does its best to continually become the United States of America. I do not agree with all of his conclusions, but it is a fascinating read nonetheless. Missouri's ability to gel with what Woodard would call the Deep South, Greater Appalachia, The Midlands, and Yankeedom is a rare gift.

I've been to 47 of the 48 contiguous, lived in Washington, Michigan, Georgia, Florida, Texas, Canada, and Alabama. I've learned to appreciate the differences and find things irritating about all of them. For the most part people are still pretty good wherever you go. The problem with our culture today is that there is way too much tolerance for the intolerant on the fringes be they left or right. Ignorance is now called culture and celebrated as surely as participation trophies are handed out at little league and Pee Wee football. What we have lost by trying to acquiesce to everyone are our norming norms that once identified what it meant to be an American regardless of subculture and the lack of those norms are tearing us apart and bullying has replaced healthy debate. That recipe has inevitably led to violence in every society that has permitted that kind of dissipation.

There's nothing wrong with regionalism. But the issue with conference realignment is that we have not been permitted to grow regionally. Our organization is what appeals to those who pay us, the networks are the ones who want growth by market demographic, instead of region, and whose objective is the blurring of regional boundaries which is an intentional ploy to try to generate interest for a regional product in two or more historically different regions than the core product identifies with naturally.

With that regard, Iowa State, Kansas, Oklahoma and Texas not only accomplish that objective, but help to maximize its effect.

As to what Medic has identified my reply is that Missouri has suffered inordinately because they essentially are the only old Big 8 school who came along. In that regard Arkansas took a long time to integrate after being the only SWC member here until A&M arrived.

To understand my interest in Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, and possibly Iowa State is to understand what it will take to essentially merge three distinct historical regions into one super interest generating conference.

The old SWC has the second highest viewer saturation numbers. That market is dominated by essentially two P5 schools Texas and A&M and it actually takes both to dominate it in a way where the highest ad rates are assured. Texas Tech would give you a monopoly on State schools in Texas but they aren't necessary to dominate the advertising rates.

Oklahoma, Kansas, and Missouri give you the heart of the Old Big 8 minus Nebraska. Outside of Oklahoma the viewing saturation numbers drop off significantly. Part of that decline however was due to Colorado heading West, Nebraska heading North, and Missouri heading Southeast.

Assemble the core of the flagships minus Nebraska and you recapture the bulk of the viewership from the Old Big 8 without having to have but 4 of the schools. It's enough familiarity to become a division sub region when coupled with the old SWC schools.

Having several familiar faces on the schedule will help any school assimilate. In 30 years the fan base of each will only remember the SEC.

It's true that taking Clemson and Florida State would require very little assimilation because they are Southeastern schools already. But it's also true that their impact upon the SEC outside of obvious content value and in the case of F.S.U. giving us the highest ad rate in Florida in perpetuity, is partially limited because they already share much of our market with us. Kansas and Iowa State only add 7.2 million between them, but tie them into Oklahoma and Missouri and the synergy will drive much greater interest in the region. That's where we can add some value.

If we moved to 18 with those additions then one day moving to 20 with Clemson and Florida State, or North Carolina and Virginia Tech would make sense not only geographically but also in terms of market saturation and content.

So while I'm a purist and would rather see the SEC simply take F.S.U. and Clemson and quit, I'm also aware that expanding our markets to pull in what had been two distinct regions by acquiring schools they historically identify with creates a much broader financial vista.

So if we ever move to 18 and can do so by adding flagships and AAU schools with Texas, Kansas, Oklahoma, and Iowa State, I'm open to it.

If we are to limit it to just 18 then we would be wise to add Texas and Oklahoma to maximize the regional interest in Arkansas and A&M and to a lesser extent Missouri.

Should Vanderbilt seek to be with other private peers in the ACC then IMO, Texas, Kansas, and Oklahoma accomplish the majority of what the 4 would have given us, and do so without dividing the pie further, but while accomplishing the sub regional interest goals. I think that would be the greatest win win of all considerations.
09-16-2018 07:30 PM
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RE: At 18 SEC Members Which 4 from the Big 12 Do You Prefer Now:
I do agree that in this day and age the networks would rather stretch us out and they would rather conferences share markets rather than dominate them.

If we were to take the 4 mentioned...Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, and Iowa State then we would be about as far stretched as we could handle. A couple of additions from the East in the future would be positive as well, but I'm not sure how likely that is as long as ESPN has the reins on the ACC. I think they'd rather keep that league together and get the content at a lower price.

I think the only problem with adding 4 is coming up with a reasonable division structure should other leagues not vote our way.
09-17-2018 04:03 PM
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RE: At 18 SEC Members Which 4 from the Big 12 Do You Prefer Now:
(09-17-2018 04:03 PM)AllTideUp Wrote:  I do agree that in this day and age the networks would rather stretch us out and they would rather conferences share markets rather than dominate them.

If we were to take the 4 mentioned...Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, and Iowa State then we would be about as far stretched as we could handle. A couple of additions from the East in the future would be positive as well, but I'm not sure how likely that is as long as ESPN has the reins on the ACC. I think they'd rather keep that league together and get the content at a lower price.

I think the only problem with adding 4 is coming up with a reasonable division structure should other leagues not vote our way.

Two divisions of 9. Play 10 conference games and you rotate through everyone every 5 years (you rotate through 8 of the 9 in 4 years).
(This post was last modified: 09-17-2018 04:16 PM by JRsec.)
09-17-2018 04:15 PM
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RE: At 18 SEC Members Which 4 from the Big 12 Do You Prefer Now:
I guess I look at it like this...

Try out an 18 school version with the 4 mentioned, assuming we can get them all, and then if a school like Vanderbilt decides they would be better off competing elsewhere then they'll have just as much freedom to move in the future and that would give us 3 spots to add from the East.

I hate to lose a founding member under these circumstances so I would err on the side of getting whatever is viable to the West. Then we can take some time and re-evaluate. It would be Vandy's decision obviously, but I would think they'd prefer to remain closer to traditional rivals.

If we did divisions of 9 with 10 conference games then that should work pretty well.
09-19-2018 12:20 AM
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