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RE: Oklahoma will be left out of the playoff
(12-04-2015 09:47 PM)ClemVegas Wrote: (12-04-2015 08:48 AM)quo vadis Wrote: (12-04-2015 12:10 AM)ClemVegas Wrote: (12-03-2015 08:28 AM)quo vadis Wrote: (12-03-2015 08:17 AM)ClemVegas Wrote: Clemson controlled the SC game, it was really a 12 point win, despite 3 bad fumbles. Most games won't have 3 fumbles, maybe 0.
Watson played unbelievable in the SC game. lol "not their best'. give me a break
Clemson has two top 10 wins, FSU and ND, which should beat out OSU who has 1 top 25 win over an overrated Michigan team
All of what you say is true (except you overstate how much Clemson controlled the SC game), but you omit a big factor:
Optics. There just is no way the committee is going to vote into the playoffs a team that just lost the previous day. It looks bad, and the system remembers the huge criticism that the BCS got in 2001 and 2002 when Nebraska and Oklahoma lost their CCGs and yet made it into the BCS title game.
That simply will not happen. Fair or not, Clemson has to win this Saturday or they are out. Maybe, just maybe, if everyone else loses - Alabama and Stanford - they get in.
But if they lose they will definitely be behind Ohio State and Stanford - and UNC - in the pecking order as to teams moving in.
Clemson was up 28-10 in that game. SC scoring with 1 second left to pull within 5 is meaningless, they should have been doing hail mary into the endzone when they got the ball back to save some time for an onside kick, but they were playing for a moral victory rather to win at that point
Clemson had over 500 yards offense in the game.
you have no idea what is going to happen. if they took Ohio State last year despite a bad loss at home to a bad VA Tech team, they could take Clemson if Clemson loses to UNC especially if it is a close loss and UNC looks good in the game.
the playoff system hasn't changed anything, it is all subjective just as it was with the BCS system.
it would be pretty cool if both Clemson and Bama lose and get to play each other in one of the top games, it will be viewed as the real title game. lol
Bama only beat Tenn by like a point at home and they didn't exact dominate a bad Auburn team. For some reason it seems like Clemson's margin of victories are analyzed more than other teams.
I don't think it is a guarantee they are behind Ohio State or UNC. UNC's schedule is no good and they lost to a 3 win team, the same team people are beating up on Clemson for a 5 point win. So Clemson woudl have done something UNC did not do on a netural field, plus at SC, but UNC gets in? Doesn't make much sense.
The committeee will get a lot of blowback if they take Ohio State given OSU got in last year when many felt they shouldn't have. And OSU just doesn't look that good this year. They didn't win their conference, so they don't have that advantage over Clemson either. CLemson has two top 10 wins, OSU has 1 top 25 win.
Concerning South Carolina: Clemson had 500 yards, SC had 400 yards. When you are only up 28-25 in the 4th quarter and win 37-32, you did not dominate that game, sorry about that.
Concerning UNC: Clemson has no chance of being ranked ahead of UNC if UNC beats them. UNC will be conference champs, Clemson will not, and UNC will have head to head. Together, those factors will absolutely trump Clemson beating FSU and Notre Dame. Take that to the bank.
Concerning Ohio State: There are no parallels. Ohio State got picked because they recovered from their early loss by beating Top 10 MSU, Top 25 Minnesota, then emphatically squashing #11 Wisconsin to win their conference title. Conference titles mean a lot, it says so right in the selection protocol. Plus they were surging, they passed the eye test. Finally, they lucked out in that the Big 12 did not have a single champion last year.
Clemson will have just lost literally 12 hours before the selection. The optics on that are terrible.
As for this year, Ohio State just crushed Michigan, and in doing so, they LOOKED like the team that won the title last year. Same dominant defense, same dominant running game. They look like one of the four best teams. They need help to get in, but if Clemson loses, Clemson will fall behind them, bank on it. No way the committee will get blowback for taking OSU over a Clemson team that just lost! Everyone will say "well, we criticized the committee last year for taking OSU, and they proved us wrong".
And FWIW, I hate Ohio State.
Oklahoma and the B1G champ are 100% in. So that leaves two spots left. Clemson and Bama are in if they win. If either Clemson or Alabama lose, Stanford is first up to take their spot if they win. If both lose, it's Stanford and Ohio State that get in, with some chance for UNC. If both lose and Stanford loses, it's Ohio State and UNC that get in.
Clemson will not make it if they lose, trust me, LOL.
I think many feel that FSU can beat UNC. Cook would run all over UNC. lol Clemson had to do more to get into the ACC title game, I think Lousville could beat UNC too especially at Lville.
I don't see how top 25 win trumps 2-1 against the top 10. UNC's current best win was at Pitt who lost to a bad Miami team at home. Their 2nd best is against a NC State team who didn't have their two top RBs and finished with 5 losses.
I don't believe UNC is going to get in unless they beat Clemson by 21 or more and basically shut down Clemson's offense.
I don't think UNC is going to win anyway. THey can't stop the run which is a problem againt Watson and Gallman and Artavius Scott who we using basically like a running back on passes to the outside.
My opinion is that team that lost to a 3 loss team on a netural field or at home should not make the final 4, especially with only 1 top 25 win.
Don't get me wrong - i don't think UNC is making it either if they win. If UNC beats Clemson, the ACC likely is shut out of the playoffs.
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