(02-18-2015 12:24 PM)cleburneslim Wrote: (02-18-2015 11:59 AM)arkstfan Wrote: (02-18-2015 11:09 AM)cleburneslim Wrote: (02-18-2015 10:06 AM)Miami (Oh) Yeah ! Wrote: I don't think this rumor holds, but would give it a low percentage and wouldn't be shocked either. Lets say 10% chance.
This would send a huge ripple through the G5.
- Who is Big East #12 in that scenario? St. Louis?
- Where does UConn put their football program? MAC? Drop it to FCS?
- AAC loses three, does that tumble all the way down to Sun Belt extinction? Sun Belt has 11, but really only 9 with Idaho and NMSU eventually going elsewhere. AAC grabs three from CUSA, CUSA grabs 2, 3, or 4 (sans UAB) from Sun Belt and they are down to 5 like the WAC.... An AAC without Cincy, UConn, and UCF would just have the original CUSA 2.0 reform.
- What does Temple do in that scenario? Back to A10? What about UMass? Does UMass try to follow UConn's lead into the Big East? Would the Big East want them? What would UMass do with football?
That rumor, if true, would send a lot of G5 pieces in motion...
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Keep in mind the sbc is captained by the same person that guided the wac to the abyss. However if this happened i believe the sbc would add back Jax st. Liberty, and eku easily with the possible additions of mo st. Jmu and perhaps lamar and or shsu.
this also might give nmsu and idaho football an fbs home longer. What the sbc has that the wac lacked is more candidates to choose from and from various conferences rather than just one.
To be fair, not that I have any compelling reason to be fair, CUSA's commissioner is on pace to lose more teams than Benson did at the WAC.
As for what happened in the WAC, it is really easy to pin it on Benson but if you go back and read the articles written at the time, the WAC ignored his advice repeatedly regarding expansion so it wasn't HIS strategy that failed, rather that of the presidents who ignored him.
But even if they had followed his strategy the reality is this.
MWC lost Utah to the Pac-12, TCU to Big East, and BYU to independence and the league gutted the WAC. From start to finish MWC took 15 schools from the WAC. CUSA took another three. When you consider 8 is the minimum for a FBS conference they lost 2 1/2 leagues worth of teams in a short span of time in a region that has very few FCS schools. In a two decade period only two FCS in the Mountain or Pacific time zones moved to FBS and Pacific dropped football at the start of that span.
There never was the replacement field out there to sustain losses.
Id have to agree with all of this. I didnt mean to imply it was all bensons fault only that he lacked the capacity to motivate presidents to do what was necessary to survive. Perhaps they wouldnt have survived anyway, but i feel there was an opportunity to take montana and msu which could have opened up the big sky to further raids, but they allowed pride to refuse the package which led to their downfall.
under benson the sbc seems to be following the same path of not moving because of differences amongst president and an inability of benson to find a way to get presidents to do whats best for the conference.
The WAC had a problem in finding schools willing to accept.
Montana and Montana State turned them down more than once.
Portland State, Sacramento State and Cal Poly SLO toyed with moving but never went all in to get an invite. Cal Davis was discussed but at the time when they came up they were still in the Division I transition and would have had to complete it before starting the two years to FBS so they weren't viable at the relevant time.
The WAC did not want to invite Idaho. They asked North Texas and were rejected, the invited UL Lafayette and were rejected and even talked briefly with Arkansas State and Middle Tennesse.
The only "saving" deal that was viable was to go to 12 and creating a western Division comprised of NMSU, La.Tech, North Texas, UL Lafayette, Arkansas State, and Middle Tennessee State and in the long run the WAC's rejection proved to be the better deal.
Sun Belt would have been left with Idaho, ULM, Troy, and maybe still could have added FIU and FAU but they were clearly going to be three teams short because Georgia Southern and App leadership at the time had no interest in FBS. WKU and USA would not have made the move.
Idaho probably would have sunk beneath the waves and ULM might well have as well. It is debatable whether FIU or FAU would have been able to pursue FBS.
Then when CUSA and MWC got raided, WAC would have been left with NMSU, UL Lafayette, Arkansas State, and if FIU and FAU hadn't moved and WKU hadn't moved the WAC would have closed shop if CUSA went to 14 because no one was left and the Sun Belt would have already closed.