(04-04-2014 11:49 AM)panama Wrote:  

(04-03-2014 08:31 PM)Georgia_Power_Company Wrote:  

(04-03-2014 08:30 PM)GaSoEagle Wrote:  GSU-- Georgia St. top 5??

I sense uneasiness in your laughter.

You guys got better as the year progressed. Here's why few are seeing that translate into y'all moving into the top half of the standings

1) Its not reasonable to assume that the arc of progression is a straight line and you will continue to improve at the same rate as you were towards the end of the season.

2) You still got smoked in your last game last year, at home, against a 6-6 team. Getting to the top 5 would mean that you would have a winning or tying conference record. So lets just say 4 conference wins is what it will take to get to 5th place

Where are your 4 wins? I'm not saying you couldn't get 4 wins. But it would be a surprise. It would involve upsetting at least one of @USA, @ULL, Arkansas State, Texas State, or @Troy. That would also assume that you would win over Georgia Southern, NMSU, and @App.

I think you guys will be better. But I see 3-5 (4-8) in the conference as your likely baseline goal as the marker of a successful season next year. I think you will end up with 3 wins next year (2-6 in the conference). You could surprise, but it not likely that you will. It happens. No one thought that USA was going to make any waves until we beat WKU (which was shocking at the time).

There's a difference between playing better than expected in a loss and actually winning the game. We, at USA, know that all too well.