(12-14-2017 01:27 PM)Topkat Wrote: (12-14-2017 01:19 PM)bearcatmark Wrote: (12-14-2017 01:10 PM)Topkat Wrote: I see what you are getting at with Kenpom, but I don't see the utility in it due to the November scheduling, even though they try to adjust every teams off and def ratings.
At least with this site I can view the past 1 game or past 3 games defensive efficiency ratings in addition to the whole year.
For instance, if I sort by the last 3 games on defensive efficiency, UC drops down to the 90's in the ratings (even though they are at #2 for the year). Or, set the calendar to begin whatever date you choose (useful when league play starts).
Tells me a lot more when the schedule toughens up, and what to look for when the tourney starts and you filter out the Coppin State games on the schedule.
https://www.teamrankings.com/ncaa-basket...2017-12-14
That's not helpful though unless you compare other teams defensive efficiency when they play Mississippi State, Xavier and Florida. Your taking 3 difficult games and comparing them to other teams in their last 3. Do you really think Duquense and NC-Greensboro are the first and second best defenses because of the last 3 games? You are adjusting UC for competition but not adjusting anyone else. Kenpom's numbers adjust everyone.
Obviously not, but I would bet you most power conference school schedules are more closely related than what occurs in November.
It's not hard to omit the Wis-Green Bays of the world from that 3 game stretch.
The schedules only correlate more for the power conferences once league play starts.
I've started clicking on teams going down the list and I don't agree at all.
Rutgers played: 12/07 NJIT W 73-64 Home 7-3 0-2
12/09 F Dickinson W 92-54 Home 8-3 0-2
12/12 Fordham W 75-63
Michigan State played:
12/03 Nebraska W 86-57 Home 7-1 1-0
12/05 Rutgers W 62-52 Away 8-1 2-0
12/09 S Utah W 88-63 Home
Texas A&M played
12/05 Arizona L 64-67 Neutral 7-1 0-0
12/09 Prairie View W 73-53 Home 8-1 0-0
12/13 Savannah St W 113-66 Home 9-1 0-0
Louisville played
12/06 Siena W 86-60 Home 5-2 0-0
12/09 Indiana W 71-62 Home 6-2 0-0
12/11 Bryant W 102-59 Home 7-2 0-0
Illinois played:
12/06 Austin Peay W 64-57 Home 7-3 0-2
12/09 UNLV L 82-89 Away 7-4 0-2
12/13 Longwood W 92-45 Home 8-4 0-2
Purdue played:
12/03 Northwestern W 74-69 Home 8-2 2-0
12/07 Valparaiso W 80-50 Home 9-2 2-0
12/10 IUPUI W 86-61 Home 10-2 2-0
Virginia played:
11/27 Wisconsin W 49-37 Home 7-0 0-0
12/02 Lehigh W 75-54 Home 8-0 0-0
12/05 W Virginia L 61-68 Away 8-1 0-0
Mississippi State played:
12/03 Dayton W 61-59 Home 7-0 0-0
12/09 North Georgia W 95-62 Home 8-0 0-0
12/12 Cincinnati L 50-65 Away 8-1 0-0
And that's just the top. Go down the list. You won't find a comparable last 3. Taking those 3 games in isolation and not comparing them to 3 similar games for the other teams in the list, tells you next to nothing. It's why you need adjusted efficiency numbers to get a better picture.