(04-26-2017 01:58 PM)RutgersGuy Wrote: (04-26-2017 01:37 PM)stever20 Wrote: (04-26-2017 01:35 PM)RutgersGuy Wrote: (04-26-2017 12:06 PM)solohawks Wrote: (04-26-2017 12:00 PM)MissouriStateBears Wrote: MNF is their #1 property and best ratings.
Maybe...but you would have to do a what if. What if ESPN had allowed NBCSN OR Fox to have MNF, a package the NFL doesn't really place any emphasis on anymore.
They would still be the #1 go to sports channel by a country mile. They would be watching their rivals saddled with a massive bill for tier 3 games. I think ultimately they could have adjusted and something would have presented itself in the future, like a Thursday night simulcast. IMO overpaying for tier 3 games will ultimately be viewed as a bad call
MNF is not even close to T3 games. They are looked at as the premier games of the week. Yes, obviously they don't always play out that way but they are scheduled to be important.
No way it's tier 3 games- but it's definitely not tier 1 either. Tier 1 is SNF and the 4:25pm games. Tier 2 is MNF and some of the TNF games.
No way, MNF is tier 1. SNF and MNF have comparable schedules.
I personally don't think that MNF has anywhere near the quality of games of SNF.
However, the big item that many people are missing is that Monday Night Football is *required* in ESPN's contracts with cable/satellite providers in order to charge the top line subscriber rate (which is over $7 per sub now). If ESPN loses NFL games, then that cable sub rate *automatically* goes down by contract.
As a result, there is no such thing as ESPN "overpaying" for the NFL. The MNF package *alone* contractually allows ESPN to charge the highest cable sub rate(by an order of magnitudes over the next-most-expensive cable network. Frankly, ESPN doesn't really "overpay" for any of its marquee sports like the NBA, MLB and P5 conferences. Once again, those sports are what allow for ESPN to charge $7 per cable sub in the first place... and what will allow ESPN to shift to whatever becomes the dominant distribution model going forward. It's painful now, but sports are still the one type of programming that is both live AND exclusive, so ESPN still has the most valuable trove of content in the media marketplace by far. Virtually every other type of programming is non-exclusive, can be time-shifted to be watched on-demand and/or commoditized.
I can't say it enough: ESPN is STILL the single most valuable ENTERTAINMENT company (not just cable network or sports network) in the entire world BY FAR. The revenue that they generate is INSANELY high. A month of ESPN cable sub revenue is still more than the domestic gross of Star Wars: The Force Awakens... which happens to be the highest grossing movie domestically of all-time.
REPEAT: 1 month of ESPN cable sub revenue is more than the biggest domestic grossing movie in history. Those are the heights from where ESPN is coming down from - this is FAR from a "normal" company. That seems to continue to be really hard for a lot of sports fans to understand when they see the alarmist headlines of layoffs and lower cable subs. The money that ESPN generates is INSANE to the point that it is absolutely unparalleled in the history of the entire entertainment industry. The fact that it's going to take a step back from those INSANE revenue levels and go to more of a normalized place on the landscape needs to be put into context.