(01-03-2011 11:04 AM)BJUnklFkr Wrote: Pretty good summary. Keep one thing in mind though: didn't both 'Cuse and UL both have a lot of seniors this year (and in UL's case, its entire OL, I think)? Teams lose that many seniors, they tend not to figure into the conference title.
Louisville is a wild card for sure next year. On the one hand, they lose a lot of seniors including the top two QB's, the leading rusher, the leading receiver, the top tight end, four starting senior offensive linemen and a couple more off the two deep, and their best corner, best linebacker, and best D lineman. Needless to say it looks like a rebuilding year.
However, while that should spell doom, the improvement of the players from last year to this year was mindboggling it is nearly beyond comprehension. And quite a few players came from out of nowhere to be serious contributors, inluding some from deep off the bench (Bilal Powell anyone).
However, the defense was pretty good this year, and actually much better than their stats indicated, as they generally played good in the second third, and fourth quarters (they just gave up big plays in the first quarter every game). It will be much improved next year based on returning players, maturing players, further mastery of the defensive philosophies, and new influx of talent. The offense will be a mystery since it is likely to be run by a true freshman, but there will be some serious upgrading at receiver, the biggest achillies heel last year. Combine actual player development, with the best recruiting they have had in years, and there is no telling what will happen.
That said, if I were handicapping the race, I would pick Louisville to come in fifth or sixth, simply because they finished sixth this year, and lose 25 seniors. However, I would not be surprised to see them win the conference.