(03-23-2024 07:48 AM)Tiger1983 Wrote: Expanding the NCAA Tourney devalues the regular season and in particular conference tournaments. I do not think it is worth the trade off for more money and opportunity.
I don't think that's really the case though. The actual regular season is not being devalued any from a TV ratings or ticket sales standpoint anymore than what already exists by the emphasis on the conference tourneys we have now.
TV ratings for regular season college basketball aren't suffering from "the regular season is meaningless," it's that people like football more than basketball, and regular season professional basketball more than regular season college basketball. Once there's stakes, the TV ratings for college hoops do fine.
The conference tourneys aren't going to be affected very much by expanding the tournament. You have TV ratings to look at now for these conferences with 14+ teams where "everyone in the semis is an NCAA lock" (well, not really this year outside the Big 12) and they have better TV ratings than conferences where the stakes for dozens of teams are affected (The American for example).
I barely watch the P6 conference tourneys because most the games don't really have stakes: Duke vs UNC, they're both locks, who cares. I'm watching the bid stealing games to see how that affects the bubble, and the "deserve a bid but won't get one, so don't screw this up" games like James Madison. But I'm absolutely in the minority.
The conference tourneys are 1-3 opportunities for resume building in the big conferences, and for bragging rights. They're just fun big parties for people who love college hoops.
The big concern for me with expansion to something other than 128 is that the real star of March Madness is THE BRACKET ITSELF. You had a perfect 64-team bracket, then added the Opening Round where they just listed "16 Howard/Wagner" and only a lunatic was picking the 16. No big deal.
NOW we have the First Four providing two "slashes" on the R64 bracket, and you just pick that slot to advance if you want; but sometimes it's a bummer where you're like "I think Colorado can beat Florida, but I don't think Boise can."
What is going to happen with 16 "slashes" on the R64 bracket? What is THAT going to do to people's interest? Whereas, I think with a 128-team field, doing eight regions of 16 instead of four (with 2 AQs, as much as some go ballistic at the thought) would just be double what captivated people the last 40 years. The casual people would just be like "it feels like this March Madness is longer...." but not notice any difference.
And I think that the diehards would just either already know, or realize that the only difference between a six seed now (like Texas Tech) and a team that is 85 in the NET and only gets an 11 seed if they win their conference tourney (NC State) is just consistency over 30 games and not really talent/skill. So there wouldn't really be any kind of drop off whatsoever. You'd just get double the 64-team bracket perfection we got before, and what we've loved about "the first Thursday/Friday of the tournament" we'd get six days of that instead of two.