esayem
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RE: Seminoles versus ACC: the ongoing saga
(02-18-2024 06:00 PM)JRsec Wrote: (02-18-2024 05:29 PM)esayem Wrote: (02-18-2024 12:22 PM)JRsec Wrote: (02-18-2024 12:02 PM)esayem Wrote: (02-18-2024 10:34 AM)JRsec Wrote: This is an observation which needs to be stretched out in application. The conferences, not just a school like Florida State, which chose a configuration to be an easy path are all meeting a demise. And this has been going on since the television rights were opened up to market forces in 1983 by a SCOTUS ruling in favor of Oklahoma and Georgia vs the NCAA.
Prior to that date athletic conferences were fiefdoms where a couple of schools could count on weaker competition to propel them into a head to head match up with the only other brand in their conference of note so that they could go to a major bowl, where they got to dodge somebody else's champion, defeat a good but not stellar team and claim the mythical national championship by beauty contest voting from the Associated Press who were always mindful of how the paper they worked for sold more copy when a local school of interest was crowned champion by the press.
That world gave us the Rose Bowl, the Sugar Bowl, the Cotton Bowl, and the Orange Bowl as the big ones. The Gator, Sun, and a few others were for good but not great teams. Bowling was an honor before there were dozens of them with ever changing names you could not remember.
After WWII the Rose was a special bowl because it matched two conference champs which was a novel concept back then.
The Big 8 was Oklahoma and Nebraska. The SWC was Texas and whoever rose to challenge them and in the 60's that was Arkansas in the 80's SMU, and others smattered in there in between. In the SEC it was Alabama and whoever rose to challenge them usually Tennessee, L.S.U., Auburn or Georgia. Ole Miss had their shots in the early 60's. Archie Manning just made the games loads of fun to watch in the late 60's.
The ACC was an afterthought for football. And the Big 10 while mostly being Michigan or Ohio State had more contenders than it does today. The PAC 10 was USC, UCLA, Stanford (remember Jim Plunkett and Randy Vataha) and others which would rise from the group particularly Washington.
Notre Dame and Penn State, outside of the Service Academies were the most notable independents until Bobby Bowden put the Noles on the screen by the late 70's and made them a household name in the 80's. The Canes glory years were in the 80's as well. Why? Florida exploded in growth, and both had some truly solid coaches.
Well, that was great for the years between the 50's and 80's. But by the mid 80's TV networks could compete openly for the games and network execs despised all of these 1 or 2 team fiefdoms where the only interesting game of the year was between maybe 2 contenders and the usual champ. Worse was the fact that to get those rights they had to pay for all of the cruddy matchups nobody really wanted to see, and that was in all conferences, including the SEC where 6 or 7 conference games were played and some of the better schools didn't even play each other. And when I say 6 or 7 conference games, I mean in the 60's there wasn't really a set number, just a minimum requirement. Bear used to schedule an extra one against a cellar dweller so if Georgia, which seldom played Bama, was 6-0 in the conference Bama could claim the title at 7-0.
After 1983 the issue became market expansion for TV and preferably with brands which would command more audience attention when playing other brands. Consolidation had begun and joining a conference that was weak to have an easy path to a New Year's bowl and possibly the AP beauty contest was a concept which suddenly became very antiquated.
When conferences like the Big 10 and SEC added what had been contenders in other conferences, or as independents, and got more money for it, the race was on.
Florida State joined a conference which when Miami was added to it should have exploded in value. It didn't. The reason was the core schools were still not football first schools. The Big East schools helped a good bit, but then faded due in part to some demographic shifts and the loss of interest to local pro franchises in all revenue sports. Bowden had an easier path, and the ACC gained recognition and revenue from their addition and that of Miami, and at the time Pitt and Syracuse. Flutie and Phelan had put B.C. on the map but that faded by the 90's.
Now I raise this overview for 2 reasons, both of which have gone unmentioned in the recent FSU vs ACC kerfuffle.
FSU is where they are because at the time they joined the ACC the ACC paid 2 million more than the SEC and that was because tournament revenue was stronger for the ACC as was basketball revenue. Bowden took the path of least resistance for football and the record bore that out. But the ACC took FSU precisely because the balance tilted in favor of basketball tipped when football was suddenly able to air in many places because of the 1983 SCOTUS decision which ended the limited NCAA Game of the Week deal with ABC for just a couple of televised games for all conferences. It was obvious to the ACC leadership that football was about to explode in value and that the only reason basketball had been better rewarded prior to the '83 decision is because it was played on more days of the week than just Saturday. The ACC took Florida State and Miami to exploit their value in anticipation of the growth of football as a revenue sport. The issue for the ACC is they never abandoned their Basketball first mentality which remained intact with their core association. By adding Pitt and Syracuse they actually augmented hoops more than football, though both schools were very credible in football at the time.
The ACC's inability to keep pace was a direct result of not being proactive in seeking other football brands in the 90's while some were still available and by not assisting ESPN in attempting to land them more football branding in 2011.
It is for these reasons that FSU and Miami should particularly be granted some latitude in desiring a move. If the ACC failed to grow a viable football product around two football stalwarts at the time they were added, then I think clearly the actions of the conference have impinged those two schools and their potential and has done so to keep a focus alien to that which these two schools thought they were getting at the time they joined.
Will that matter in court? Who knows, but I doubt it. Where it does matter is in the fan base attitudes which are roundly criticized by many here, but wholly misunderstood. They were sold on the ACC's claims to maximize football revenue for the conference during a period of financial seed change from hoops to pigskin. That promise was not fulfilled. If the milieu is to be understood, the court of public opinion should be much more open to sympathizing with both.
Football unchained was naturally going to lead to brand on brand for the biggest payouts. It will continue to do so to a point. They need their usual cadre of occasional challengers for the major brands to keep their lofty status, and a plethora of networks with 3 sometimes 4 game slots a day are going to need enough games to meet their inventory requirements. Contained within those two points resides the number of schools that will be needed. If Tony Altimore says 18 schools garner 50% of the viewership, then twice that is how many other solid schools, but not top brands are needed to keep the top of the pyramid intact. That means around 54. FSU and Miami and possibly UNC want to be in that number and have a legitimate shot to do so. Virginia Tech is your sleeper out of the ACC. I'd say Louisville because of their sports success, but the Big 10 would be the obvious place if the academic standing was right. And as much as many do not wish to hear it, Kansas brings the most value in synergy as measured by the WSJ and is second only to Notre Dame of the remaining schools unaffiliated with the SEC or Big 10.
To understand how Florida State and Miami got into this position is relevant IMO to their case to get out. They have value and add value in the right conference.
Upon the league’s inception, the ACC champ played the Big 8 champ in the Orange Bowl, and the ACC was definitely NOT an afterthought with national powerhouses like Maryland and Duke, plus post-WWII/pre-ACC SoCon programs like Carolina and W&M (the flagship SoCon program in VA).
The conference effectively de-emphasized football with an SAT rule circa 1960 and the rest is history. So let’s not rewrite it, shall we?
And Miami? It seems you might be thinking of 1980’s Miami. They prioritized their institution over their football program (as they should) the moment they joined the conference, which had been their goal since the 80’s when they restarted basketball. They are totally different from SEC-lite FSU.
What were my timeline parameters? Mostly 60's to 80's until the time of the OU/UGa lawsuits ruling. As to Miami I clearly stated the 80's. There football profile was intended to enhance the ACC value. You sure didn't add them for basketball in the 90's. I agree they are more of an ACC fit post 80's, but that wasn't the focus of my post but it does indicate for reasons of their own they adopted a mindset more in line with the core ACC schools. The history is accurate.
Note I didn't raise Clemson's intermittent rises and falls simply because they are core ACC.
And Esayem, a 4 year span of great success under 1 coach is not a Maryland dynasty, it had never happened previously and really didn't happen since.
And Duke? You have to go back to the old Southern Conference to find anything of relevance in terms of the national scope.
And now for the thing I had to dig to determine. The 1946-7 Rose Bowl was the first to pair the PAC champion against the Big 10. It wasn't until the 1954 Orange bowl that the ACC was paired with the Big 8. I said the Rose Bowl pairing was novel. It was. The Orange Bowl pairing between the Big 8 and ACC came 8 years later and only lasted six seasons. The Rose bowl started sooner and lasted much much longer.
From 1943 to ‘57, Dook was ranked at some point every season and won two NYD bowls.
From ‘49 to ‘56, Maryland was ranked at some point every season, went 2-2 in NYD bowls and won a natty.
The Heels were ranked every season from ‘46 to ‘50, and if it weren’t for a tie vs W&M in ‘48 very well would have won a natty.
Clemson was a solid program and even UVa cracked the top 10 a few times post WWII.
So the notion that the ACC was a post WWII afterthought just isn’t true. In fact, it was widely speculated as a super power conference going forward. Unfortunately, the same thing was expected when Miami and VaTech joined the ranks. Of course, Miami immediately tanked and FSU limped along for a decade. Both could leave and I don’t think a lot of Tar Heels would find their eyes wet
1 Natty at Maryland and 5 good seasons under one coach.
Do you not think I researched your claims? Duke may have been ranked but they weren't top 5. In the world of college football when Bud Wilkinson is sweeping the awards, Woody Hayes, John McKay and Bear are jockeying for them every year, while Ara and the Dan are keeping the Irish up, and Nebraska gets it rolling under Osborne, the ACC was an afterthought. After Maryland's run in the early 50's you had a whole lot of mediocrity until Georgia Tech in 1990. Charlie Pell had a good season or two at Clemson, but he was crooked, and crooked again at Florida and got nailed. Frank Orgel was dirty with him at Clemson and problem at Auburn. During that same time Ole Miss, LSU, and Auburn won nattys. Texas was in there for at least one that I can remember.
I'm sure those accomplishments were important in the ACC, but not elsewhere. Not throwing shade here, just being accurate. Until Bobby Bowden you had no legit annual contender in football. Having FSU elevated Clemson. Now you have two. But as I noted two contenders does not a football media contract make without a strong supporting cast.
Post WWII until the SAT rule, the ACC was NOT an afterthought. Being ranked by national media—at any given time during the season—proves this. I’ve ready plenty of articles from the time regarding the conference’s inception and its national perception. I don’t need anything else except the sources of the time.
As far as the Rose Bowl, it was always East vs West. It wasn’t until the Ivy de-emphasized that the Big Ten swooped in for the auto-birth. Bowl games didn’t decide the national champion so the news wasn’t as groundbreaking as some might believe. I’ve read extensively about this as well. Bowls were exhibition games and programs like Notre Dame didn’t even accept an invitation for decades. They really don’t paint the entire picture.
Bottom line, one shouldn’t pontificate about the state of ACC football without mentioning the SAT rule. It’s that important to the history of the conference. Despite that, and as I’ve written about here previously, the ACC scheduled national powers home-and-home across all decades.
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