(01-01-2024 10:10 PM)Lester Wrote: Ohio, with its long-time coach, is awful.
Northern Illinois, with its long-time coach, is very bad.
Eastern Michigan was so pathetic with its long-time coach that he was fired in December.
Buffalo, with its second-year coach, is worse than it was in her first year.
Western Michigan, with its long-time coach, is pretty bad.
Oesterle (CMU) and Hendrix (Miami) were proven losers. (Oesterle won her first year with Guevara's players before driving a proud program into the ground.). Under Hendrix, Miami somehow managed to be bad last year with a roster that was arguably as good as Toledo's. They would have been bad this year with a still talented but less talented roster. (Wolf announced her transfer before Hendrix was fired.). Jackson (Akron) reached a ceiling of mediocre in her tenure at Akron, which is why she was fired.
I agree with you that the conference would be somewhat better this year if all four coaches had stayed. Bowling Green, especially, would be much better. But to me that's not the biggest issue. As noted above, most of the teams with long-time coaches are bad, as well. (Bowling Green and Akron are 4th and 5th in the conference, respectively, in NET rankings.) During the transfer season, kazoorocket and I kept screaming that the sky was falling on MAC women's basketball, and you told us to relax. Now the results are in, and the sky actually fell. Even Chicken Little is right now and then. We can't blame the MAC's nosedive on the new transfer rules, either, as the teams that leapt ahead of us are other mid-majors. Can you believe that the Horizon League is now better than the MAC?
Let's hope that some of the new hires are able to build quality programs and get the conference back where it was a few years ago. If Sallee and Cullop stick around, we at least will have two consistently good programs.
What I had tried to say previously is that there was not a mass exodus of top MAC players to the portal, like some have been insinuating. Of course when you bring in new coaches, there is going to be a period (unless the team was already good, and kept its players) where performance is going to fall for a year or 2. That's a given. But players were not abandoning the MAC in droves, at least until the coaching changes were announced.
I went and checked, and here are the 15 highest impact transfer losses from the MAC this season. Of those, 9 were either directly due to coaching changes, or influenced by coaching changes. Another was a 5th year player who had already announced she would turn pro, unless the right transfer spot opened up. So, by my count, that's only 5 players who left for supposedly greener pastures (Felder, Harris, Santoro, Williams, Wolf), which is not a huge number these days for a 12 team league. Other than Santoro, all of those left poor teams.
Interestingly, in checking how those players are doing, 3 have suffered season ending injuries already. A 4th has not played yet, reportedly due to injury, but I can't find info as to whether it was season-ending or not.
Elissa Brett, BGSU->Mich (coach chg/5th yr). 8p / 4r, 5 starts.
Dominique Camp, Akr->Syracuse (coach chg, 5th yr). Knee injury in exhibition game, out for season.
Maddi Cluse, Mia->Clemson (coach chg). 7p / 4r, 13 starts.
A'Jah Davis, NIU->Seton Hall (5th yr). 6p / 6r, 13 starts.
Yaya Felder, Ohio->Baylor. 9p / 3r / 3a, 1 start.
Layne Ferrell, Akr->Wright St (coach chg). 13p / 4r, 15 starts.
Amani Freeman, Mia->Clemson (coach chg). 5p / 2r.
Sydney Harris, CMU->TCU. Has not played due to injury.
Lauren Ross, WMU->MSU (ast coach chg). 4p / 1r.
Casey Santoro, Kent->FGCU. Achilles injury during practice, out for season.
Peyton Scott, Mia->Oregon (coach chg). Knee injury in opening game, out for season.
Jocelyn Tate, BGSU->MSU (coach chg). 7p / 4r, 13 starts.
Bridget Utberg, CMU->Marquette (coach chg). 2p
Taylor Williams, WMU->Mich. 6p / 5r, 6 starts.
Ivy Wolf, MIA-Dayton. 11p / 3r / 3a, 12 starts.
So again, this supports my view that Akron, Miami, BG and CMU would all be much better
this year, if not for the coaching changes. The new coaches will (hopefully) make them better in the long run, but it will take a couple years at least. Buffalo is also still reeling from a coaching change 2 seasons ago, but is likely on the rise, if there is no more drama. EMU, although was already very bad with the old coach, will be in a transition period for a couple years more now.