(11-01-2023 06:07 PM)Frenchinflorida Wrote: I think JSU (as well as JMU) will go bowling this year in spite of the rule … I read that expectations are there will be insufficient 6-win teams to fill out all the bowl slots. If so, then JMU and JSU take precedence over 5-7 teams to fill out the available slots. Note: if there is only one non 6-win slot available it would go to JMU based on RPI (or NET or whatever criteria they use). Also notice I used the phrase 6-win teams… a 6-7 team would take precedence over JMU and JSU if there is only one team needed to fill all the bowl games. However, I think there will only be 81 6-win or better teams and there are 42 bowls requiring teams (the 43rd bowl is the National Championship game).
Point of fact: A 6-7 team would actually be on the same tier as JMU and JSU. If only one slot remained, it would be up to the bowl game's committee to decide whether to invite the team with the "losing" record or one of the FCS transitional teams.
Moreover, a rule change a little over a decade ago prevents the NCAA from requiring a bowl to invite a higher ranked team over one that would potentially draw a bigger crowd. This means JMU does not (necessarily) have the edge over JSU merely because of their ranking.
For example...
Let's say NMSU finishes 6-7, JMU finishes 12-0 and ranked #20, and Jax State finishes 10-2, including a stunning 90-0 blowout win over South Carolina. (Shhh... it's my dream.)
Only one bowl has an opening, and it's located out west. NMSU would probably get the bid, since they have more of an alumni presence out there.
If instead that bowl is in the midwest, northeast, or almost anywhere along the Atlantic coast, JMU would almost certainly get the invitation instead. They'd bring the prestige of being ranked along with the promise of a big crowd.
Finally, if the bowl is located somewhere on or near the Gulf coast, there's a chance they could invite Jax State instead (with the important caveat that the farther away from Jacksonville you go, the more heavily they'll weigh JMU's ranking).
At the end of the day, bowls are all about making money. If a bowl committee feels they can make more money with an unranked 2nd year transitional team like JSU than an established FBS team like NMSU or a ranked transitional team like JMU, then they'll make a decision based entirely on that, and far be it for the NCAA to stand between a bowl game and their money.