Figured I don't use
this thread for "odds" so I rebooted it. Which teams are still in playoff contention? Any 2-loss teams have a shot? Any conference gunning for 2?
Alabama and LSU look like they want back into the playoff conversation. And the big board shows it. The SEC is now back into the playoff picture. LSU makes new appearances with a Top 4 spot 'possible' with only 10 wins; that Seminole loss is the gift that keeps on giving. And Georgia State isn't a bad OOC victory for the Tigers either; the Panthers even make the playoff 1 time in 10,000 sims.
North Carolina and the ACC fall to #5, with hopes pinned almost exclusively on Florida State running the table. While Clemson and Miami (and Notre Dame) were both in the "Sayin' there's a chance" category last week, the conference as a whole slipped, eliminating them.
The Big Ten West? Eliminated as well. Kansas State claws its way up a Tier to become a Long Shot, should they go 11-2. A 1-loss Pac Champ is still a Contender, but it is a mess trying to discover who that'll be. Air Force and JMU (*if there are 81 or fewer 6-win teams) sneak into the playoff in those collapse-of-civilization type scenarios.
My Gators even clock in at 26% chance of making the playoff at 11-2, but as that has <1% chance of happening, they too are relegated to the bottom tier. Here is to hoping they cause a little playoff chaos in Jacksonville next week. Kansas and Wisconsin won't be easy outs either, but I don't expect much to change between now and next week.