(09-26-2023 03:47 PM)ODURallyFox Wrote: (09-26-2023 03:42 PM)Chillie Willie Wrote: (09-26-2023 02:27 PM)ODURallyFox Wrote: (09-26-2023 02:22 PM)benny_t Wrote: (09-26-2023 02:06 PM)ODU local Wrote: I hope we pull a turn the tide moment like the coastal game last year and go crazy on Marshall. I’ll remain optimistic
We may have won that game at Coastal but there was no tide turned, we lost the final 6 games of last year immediately after beating Coastal.
People are so goofy talking about that Coastal game last year too. Lets not forget we had 2 weeks to prepare for that game too. People seem to forget that factoid. We didnt turn any tides after that random anamoly game.
What you said is correct and it was definitely an anomaly that I have no explanation for other than Coastal was looking past us. But I doubt the two weeks of preparation had much to do with it. If I remember correclty he gave the team a couple of days off so it was more like 1.5 weeks.
Generally, when a team has ~2 weeks to prepare for an opponent, its a competitive edge for preparation that they get. I firmly believe that is the only reason we won that game last year. The record afterward validates that too. Coastal had no reason to look past us because they were rolling. If we didn't have two weeks to prepare, I believe the result would have been different.
You make statements based upon how you feel and not based on facts. This is one example. Check out some facts on win percentages following bye weeks. Don’t let facts get in the way of a good argument though.
https://www.reddit.com/r/CFB/comments/31...ing_a_bye/
Here’s an excerpt:
“There are two aspects I’m looking at here. How teams do when coming off a bye and how good the opponent they played were. Because I’ve limited the analysis to conference games, by looking at the opponents’ conference record, the win/loss records will reflect basically opponents from the same level and you’d expect the numbers to in total to figure out to each team winning 50% of their games against opponents who win 50% of their games. The period I am looking at is from 2000-2014. The win/loss record broken down by conference is as follows:
Big West (1-0-0)--1.00000
MWC (66-48-0)--0.57895
CUSA (67-61-0)--0.52344
PAC-12 (61-57-0)--0.51695
Big 12 (48-45-0)--0.51613
SEC (90-86-0)--0.51136
Big Ten (61-68-0)--0.47287
ACC (60-70-0)--0.46154
Sun Belt (46-54-0)--0.46000
WAC (43-55-0)--0.43878
Big East (33-43-0)--0.43421
AAC (13-17-0)--0.43333
MAC (53-73-0)--0.42063
Total: (642-677-0)--0.48673
As you can see, the total win/loss record in these games gives a winning percentage below .500. From 2000-2014, FBS teams actually have a losing record in conference games when coming off a bye week.”
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GAME THREAD: ODU @ Marshall - September 30 - 3:30PM ESPN+
