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Sun Belt Power Ratings Following Week 1
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Troy_Fan_15 Offline
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Post: #41
RE: Sun Belt Power Ratings Following Week 1
Again these are rankings that are pointless but I'd go:

1. Troy (T-1)

T-2. Southern Miss (T-3)
T-2. Georgia Southern (T-6)

T-4. Coastal Carolina (T-3)
T-4. South Alabama (T-1)
T-4. Texas State (T-10)

T-7: App State (T-6)
T-7: James Madison (T-6)
T-7: Louisiana (T-6)

10. ULM (T-13)
11. ODU (T-10)
12. Georgia State (T-13)
13. Arkansas State (T-10)

Those that are T-7 this week would have remained idle had my categories above them not changed how they did. TXST gets a great reward for a powerful offense and solid Big XII upset but I won't vault them to the top just yet. A win at UTSA will be another strong push upward though. Coastal drops only 1 spot after a tough loss to a fringe Top-25 P5 school on the opposite coast. South drops a few but I think they are still solid. GASO got a nice bump because I thought they looked good in how they handled their game. ASU drops to last just because that defensive performance + lack of offense was just bad. ULM bumps up a little but a close win over Army isn't as impressive as two scores vs Baylor like TXST.
(This post was last modified: 09-05-2023 10:35 AM by Troy_Fan_15.)
09-05-2023 10:35 AM
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Bobcat87 Offline
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Post: #42
RE: Sun Belt Power Ratings Following Week 1
(09-05-2023 10:35 AM)Troy_Fan_15 Wrote:  Again these are rankings that are pointless but I'd go:

1. Troy (T-1)

T-2. Southern Miss (T-3)
T-2. Georgia Southern (T-6)

T-4. Coastal Carolina (T-3)
T-4. South Alabama (T-1)
T-4. Texas State (T-10)

T-7: App State (T-6)
T-7: James Madison (T-6)
T-7: Louisiana (T-6)

10. ULM (T-13)
11. ODU (T-10)
12. Georgia State (T-13)
13. Arkansas State (T-10)

Those that are T-7 this week would have remained idle had my categories above them not changed how they did. TXST gets a great reward for a powerful offense and solid Big XII upset but I won't vault them to the top just yet. A win at UTSA will be another strong push upward though. Coastal drops only 1 spot after a tough loss to a fringe Top-25 P5 school on the opposite coast. South drops a few but I think they are still solid. GASO got a nice bump because I thought they looked good in how they handled their game. ASU drops to last just because that defensive performance + lack of offense was just bad. ULM bumps up a little but a close win over Army isn't as impressive as two scores vs Baylor like TXST.

I agree that these are pointless, But they are “Weekly Rankings,” No?
As in week to week, and subject to change over time.

. . . Just asking for a friend, but who in this conference had a better/bigger Win than TXST in week 1?

EXACTLY.
09-05-2023 10:46 AM
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TroyFootball05 Offline
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Post: #43
RE: Sun Belt Power Ratings Following Week 1
As far as Troy is concerned, Jon Sumrall mentioned in the presser that we ran extremely basic formations, and subbed early and often to get young guys playing time. I understand some having Troy middle of the pack, but I think we'll look better when we're not treating games like NFL preseason. Could be this week, will for sure be in full swing for JMU.
09-05-2023 10:46 AM
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TroyFootball05 Offline
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Post: #44
RE: Sun Belt Power Ratings Following Week 1
(09-05-2023 10:46 AM)Bobcat87 Wrote:  I agree that these are pointless, But they are “Weekly Rankings,” No?
As in week to week, and subject to change over time.

. . . Just asking for a friend, but who in this conference had a better/bigger Win than TXST in week 1?

EXACTLY.

I agree, no one did. And it's a big win for Texas State. I do want to mention that Baylor was nowhere near a Top 25 team last season, and the SBC had three teams ranked during the season. It's a big win, but moving Texas State from the bottom of the conference to middle of the pack seems appropriate. Most of us are in wait and see mode to see if Texas State will challenge for a title.
09-05-2023 10:49 AM
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Troy_Fan_15 Offline
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Post: #45
RE: Sun Belt Power Ratings Following Week 1
(09-05-2023 10:46 AM)Bobcat87 Wrote:  
(09-05-2023 10:35 AM)Troy_Fan_15 Wrote:  Again these are rankings that are pointless but I'd go:

1. Troy (T-1)

T-2. Southern Miss (T-3)
T-2. Georgia Southern (T-6)

T-4. Coastal Carolina (T-3)
T-4. South Alabama (T-1)
T-4. Texas State (T-10)

T-7: App State (T-6)
T-7: James Madison (T-6)
T-7: Louisiana (T-6)

10. ULM (T-13)
11. ODU (T-10)
12. Georgia State (T-13)
13. Arkansas State (T-10)

Those that are T-7 this week would have remained idle had my categories above them not changed how they did. TXST gets a great reward for a powerful offense and solid Big XII upset but I won't vault them to the top just yet. A win at UTSA will be another strong push upward though. Coastal drops only 1 spot after a tough loss to a fringe Top-25 P5 school on the opposite coast. South drops a few but I think they are still solid. GASO got a nice bump because I thought they looked good in how they handled their game. ASU drops to last just because that defensive performance + lack of offense was just bad. ULM bumps up a little but a close win over Army isn't as impressive as two scores vs Baylor like TXST.

I agree that these are pointless, But they are “Weekly Rankings,” No?
As in week to week, and subject to change over time.

. . . Just asking for a friend, but who in this conference had a better/bigger Win than TXST in week 1?

EXACTLY.

Nobody had a better win but I think there are better teams until TXST truly proves otherwise.
09-05-2023 11:14 AM
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Luckyshot Offline
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Post: #46
RE: Sun Belt Power Ratings Following Week 1
(09-04-2023 10:41 AM)DaSaintFan Wrote:  14. Arkansas State - Guys, yes it was a "buy game", but to just show up and take it like that? I remember watching the basketball team kinda quit mid-season for y'all. I HOPE the football squad doesnt do the same?

Looked like they quit mid-1st quarter of the 1st game. If USM gets beat as bad by FSU this weekend I'll have to eat some crow.
09-05-2023 11:30 AM
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Luckyshot Offline
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Post: #47
RE: Sun Belt Power Ratings Following Week 1
(09-05-2023 09:33 AM)Bobcat87 Wrote:  
(09-05-2023 08:34 AM)Johnnychimpo Wrote:  1. Troy
2. JMU
3. GS
4. UL
5. TXST
6. Marshall
7. USM
8. CCU
9. App
10.USA
11.ULM
12.ODU
13.GSU
14.stAte

You put US 5 after that huge win, and claim you Root for US. Come On, Man

And Marshall right below y'all, makes me think he didn't even check scores.
09-05-2023 11:38 AM
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Luckyshot Offline
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Post: #48
RE: Sun Belt Power Ratings Following Week 1
(09-05-2023 10:46 AM)Bobcat87 Wrote:  
(09-05-2023 10:35 AM)Troy_Fan_15 Wrote:  Again these are rankings that are pointless but I'd go:

1. Troy (T-1)

T-2. Southern Miss (T-3)
T-2. Georgia Southern (T-6)

T-4. Coastal Carolina (T-3)
T-4. South Alabama (T-1)
T-4. Texas State (T-10)

T-7: App State (T-6)
T-7: James Madison (T-6)
T-7: Louisiana (T-6)

10. ULM (T-13)
11. ODU (T-10)
12. Georgia State (T-13)
13. Arkansas State (T-10)

Those that are T-7 this week would have remained idle had my categories above them not changed how they did. TXST gets a great reward for a powerful offense and solid Big XII upset but I won't vault them to the top just yet. A win at UTSA will be another strong push upward though. Coastal drops only 1 spot after a tough loss to a fringe Top-25 P5 school on the opposite coast. South drops a few but I think they are still solid. GASO got a nice bump because I thought they looked good in how they handled their game. ASU drops to last just because that defensive performance + lack of offense was just bad. ULM bumps up a little but a close win over Army isn't as impressive as two scores vs Baylor like TXST.

I agree that these are pointless, But they are “Weekly Rankings,” No?
As in week to week, and subject to change over time.

. . . Just asking for a friend, but who in this conference had a better/bigger Win than TXST in week 1?

EXACTLY.
I guess they need to be defined. I use each week's games to tell me which teams are strongest (Power) and rate them as such, so the current week is most important, but past week's are still part of the equation. Given this is Week 1, I did have TX ST #1 and my ratings reflect this week only, but nect week that won't be so.
09-05-2023 11:45 AM
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TroyFootball05 Offline
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Post: #49
RE: Sun Belt Power Ratings Following Week 1
(09-05-2023 11:45 AM)Luckyshot Wrote:  
(09-05-2023 10:46 AM)Bobcat87 Wrote:  
(09-05-2023 10:35 AM)Troy_Fan_15 Wrote:  Again these are rankings that are pointless but I'd go:

1. Troy (T-1)

T-2. Southern Miss (T-3)
T-2. Georgia Southern (T-6)

T-4. Coastal Carolina (T-3)
T-4. South Alabama (T-1)
T-4. Texas State (T-10)

T-7: App State (T-6)
T-7: James Madison (T-6)
T-7: Louisiana (T-6)

10. ULM (T-13)
11. ODU (T-10)
12. Georgia State (T-13)
13. Arkansas State (T-10)

Those that are T-7 this week would have remained idle had my categories above them not changed how they did. TXST gets a great reward for a powerful offense and solid Big XII upset but I won't vault them to the top just yet. A win at UTSA will be another strong push upward though. Coastal drops only 1 spot after a tough loss to a fringe Top-25 P5 school on the opposite coast. South drops a few but I think they are still solid. GASO got a nice bump because I thought they looked good in how they handled their game. ASU drops to last just because that defensive performance + lack of offense was just bad. ULM bumps up a little but a close win over Army isn't as impressive as two scores vs Baylor like TXST.

I agree that these are pointless, But they are “Weekly Rankings,” No?
As in week to week, and subject to change over time.

. . . Just asking for a friend, but who in this conference had a better/bigger Win than TXST in week 1?

EXACTLY.
I guess they need to be defined. I use each week's games to tell me which teams are strongest (Power) and rate them as such, so the current week is most important, but past week's are still part of the equation. Given this is Week 1, I did have TX ST #1 and my ratings reflect this week only, but nect week that won't be so.

Same. My ratings are a mixture of a performance rating and a power rating. As the season goes on, they will setting into being true power ratings.

I'm more confident in tiers at this point, so here's what I have:

Top Tier

Troy
James Madison
Georgia Southern
Appalachian State
Southern Miss
Coastal Carolina

Mid Tier

South Alabama
Louisiana
Texas State
Marshall
Georgia State
Louisiana Monroe

Bottom Tier

Old Dominion
Arkansas State

Lots of change to this list will happen in the coming weeks.
09-05-2023 12:48 PM
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KickItToScotty Offline
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Post: #50
RE: Sun Belt Power Ratings Following Week 1
1. Troy
2. JMU

I forgot to do last week's, but Troy or JMU would've been my preseason #1... Both struggled more than they should have with a weak opponent, but in the end did enough that I'll keep them where they are until if/when they give more reason not to. I'm giving the nod to the defending champs for now.

3. Southern Miss
4. TXST

Here's where there's some serious shake up for me. I would've had USA and Marshall in the 3/4 spots before week 1, but USA had a very disappointing game against Tulane and Marshall squeaked out a four point win after trailing the first three quarters against Albany. Hopefully just a bit of a flukey bad start, overlooking the opponent, etc just like we're hoping things were for Troy and JMU... But it dragged on too long and with too close of a final for me to just dismiss it for them, one slip or bad bounce could've meant a loss to Albany. Southern Miss looked great and was a team I expected might break through as a championship contender this year. Then TXST, do I even need to say anything? You could obviously even make an argument for putting them at #1. I'll wait to see what they do for a little longer before a bigger leap than this though.

5. Georgia Southern
6. Louisiana
7. Coastal Carolina
8. South Alabama
9. Marshall
10. ULM
11. App State

This group was tough to rank and I could easily reshuffle them all over the place. Just not really seeing much reason to think they're particularly good or particularly bad yet. Marshall's performance is worrying of course, but that's just one game and from a team I expected to be good so I could easily see them quickly climbing back up. I'm hoping that App State isn't in the midst of a steady decline under Clark, but their struggles with Gardner-Webb aren't reassuring. They get a chance right away to prove it if they should be much higher though.

12. ODU
13. Georgia State
14. Arkansas State
09-05-2023 12:49 PM
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Johnnychimpo Offline
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Post: #51
RE: Sun Belt Power Ratings Following Week 1
FPI

4 OU
8 FSU
21 UNC
25 KST
39 UCLA
49 Baylor
50 Tulane
56 UTSA
58 Memphis
72 UAB
74 Marshall
75 ECU
78 CCU
79 TXST
80 GS
81 Troy
84 JMU
86 UL
88 USA
91 App
92 UVA
94 USM
101 GSU
102 Army
104 J’ville St
107 UCONN
121 Nevada
122 ODU
123 ULM
125 stAte
09-05-2023 02:15 PM
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warhawk09 Offline
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Post: #52
RE: Sun Belt Power Ratings Following Week 1
(09-03-2023 08:22 AM)rileylives Wrote:  
(09-03-2023 08:17 AM)Georgia_Power_Company Wrote:  Only one week of data so it's hard to really rank everyone.

Week 1
1. Troy - took care of business (LW 1)
2. JMU - looked like they are still trying to figure things out and still won easily (LW 4)
3. GS - Controlled the game over an overmatched SoCon team (LW t5)
4. Louisiana - took care of business (LW t5)
t5. App St - pulled away in the 4th, defense needs time (LW 8)
t5. USM - solid performance for season opener (LW 9)
t7. Marshall - struggled more than they should have (LW 4)
t7. Texas St - Biggest win of the week. That D looks vicious (LW12)
t7. GSU - after other teams struggled that Rhode Island win now looks solid (LW 8)
10. Coastal - McCall with more INT than TD, not convinced they are tops in the East. (LW t5)
11. ULM - won a close game against a struggling Army team (LW 13)
12. USA - Tulane may be for real like last year but USA didn't look like a top 2 SBC (LW 2)
13. ODU - making strides (LW 14)
14. stAte - what did I just watch? (LW 11)

If you don't have Texas State number one then this is kind of ridiculous don't you think?

It's the first week of actual data. The prior week shouldn't really take any consideration in my opinion.

It's one week ... ODU beat Va. Tech in week one last year and won one game the rest of the year.
09-06-2023 02:02 PM
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ODUMONARCHZ1 Offline
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Post: #53
RE: Sun Belt Power Ratings Following Week 1
(09-06-2023 02:02 PM)warhawk09 Wrote:  
(09-03-2023 08:22 AM)rileylives Wrote:  
(09-03-2023 08:17 AM)Georgia_Power_Company Wrote:  Only one week of data so it's hard to really rank everyone.

Week 1
1. Troy - took care of business (LW 1)
2. JMU - looked like they are still trying to figure things out and still won easily (LW 4)
3. GS - Controlled the game over an overmatched SoCon team (LW t5)
4. Louisiana - took care of business (LW t5)
t5. App St - pulled away in the 4th, defense needs time (LW 8)
t5. USM - solid performance for season opener (LW 9)
t7. Marshall - struggled more than they should have (LW 4)
t7. Texas St - Biggest win of the week. That D looks vicious (LW12)
t7. GSU - after other teams struggled that Rhode Island win now looks solid (LW 8)
10. Coastal - McCall with more INT than TD, not convinced they are tops in the East. (LW t5)
11. ULM - won a close game against a struggling Army team (LW 13)
12. USA - Tulane may be for real like last year but USA didn't look like a top 2 SBC (LW 2)
13. ODU - making strides (LW 14)
14. stAte - what did I just watch? (LW 11)

If you don't have Texas State number one then this is kind of ridiculous don't you think?

It's the first week of actual data. The prior week shouldn't really take any consideration in my opinion.

It's one week ... ODU beat Va. Tech in week one last year and won one game the rest of the year.

We won two more. Don't sell us short. lmao We barely beat Ark State but beat the brakes off Coastal last year. Football is weird.
09-06-2023 02:15 PM
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TroyFootball05 Offline
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Post: #54
RE: Sun Belt Power Ratings Following Week 1
(09-06-2023 02:02 PM)warhawk09 Wrote:  
(09-03-2023 08:22 AM)rileylives Wrote:  
(09-03-2023 08:17 AM)Georgia_Power_Company Wrote:  Only one week of data so it's hard to really rank everyone.

Week 1
1. Troy - took care of business (LW 1)
2. JMU - looked like they are still trying to figure things out and still won easily (LW 4)
3. GS - Controlled the game over an overmatched SoCon team (LW t5)
4. Louisiana - took care of business (LW t5)
t5. App St - pulled away in the 4th, defense needs time (LW 8)
t5. USM - solid performance for season opener (LW 9)
t7. Marshall - struggled more than they should have (LW 4)
t7. Texas St - Biggest win of the week. That D looks vicious (LW12)
t7. GSU - after other teams struggled that Rhode Island win now looks solid (LW 8)
10. Coastal - McCall with more INT than TD, not convinced they are tops in the East. (LW t5)
11. ULM - won a close game against a struggling Army team (LW 13)
12. USA - Tulane may be for real like last year but USA didn't look like a top 2 SBC (LW 2)
13. ODU - making strides (LW 14)
14. stAte - what did I just watch? (LW 11)

If you don't have Texas State number one then this is kind of ridiculous don't you think?

It's the first week of actual data. The prior week shouldn't really take any consideration in my opinion.

It's one week ... ODU beat Va. Tech in week one last year and won one game the rest of the year.

App State also beat #6 Texas A&M. App State did not go bowling.
09-06-2023 02:45 PM
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warhawk09 Offline
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Post: #55
RE: Sun Belt Power Ratings Following Week 1
(09-06-2023 02:15 PM)ODUMONARCHZ1 Wrote:  
(09-06-2023 02:02 PM)warhawk09 Wrote:  
(09-03-2023 08:22 AM)rileylives Wrote:  
(09-03-2023 08:17 AM)Georgia_Power_Company Wrote:  Only one week of data so it's hard to really rank everyone.

Week 1
1. Troy - took care of business (LW 1)
2. JMU - looked like they are still trying to figure things out and still won easily (LW 4)
3. GS - Controlled the game over an overmatched SoCon team (LW t5)
4. Louisiana - took care of business (LW t5)
t5. App St - pulled away in the 4th, defense needs time (LW 8)
t5. USM - solid performance for season opener (LW 9)
t7. Marshall - struggled more than they should have (LW 4)
t7. Texas St - Biggest win of the week. That D looks vicious (LW12)
t7. GSU - after other teams struggled that Rhode Island win now looks solid (LW 8)
10. Coastal - McCall with more INT than TD, not convinced they are tops in the East. (LW t5)
11. ULM - won a close game against a struggling Army team (LW 13)
12. USA - Tulane may be for real like last year but USA didn't look like a top 2 SBC (LW 2)
13. ODU - making strides (LW 14)
14. stAte - what did I just watch? (LW 11)

If you don't have Texas State number one then this is kind of ridiculous don't you think?

It's the first week of actual data. The prior week shouldn't really take any consideration in my opinion.

It's one week ... ODU beat Va. Tech in week one last year and won one game the rest of the year.

We won two more. Don't sell us short. lmao We barely beat Ark State but beat the brakes off Coastal last year. Football is weird.

04-bow
09-06-2023 03:28 PM
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CajunFan97 Offline
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Post: #56
At RE: Sun Belt Power Ratings Following Week 1
(09-04-2023 10:41 AM)DaSaintFan Wrote:  
(09-03-2023 07:36 AM)SkullyMaroo Wrote:  Now that week 1 is in the books, what are you power ratings?

1. Texas State - Enjoy the P5 win bump, Bobcats, but just remember this is a Baylor team that i don't expect to be over .500 by the end of the year, so make the momentum count
2. ULM - I'm gonna give the edge to ULM at the moment, just cause it's Army and yes it was a 4th quarter comeback. But like Texas State, up to you guys to keep it up.
3. Troy - I mean this Stephen F. Austin ran up 40 points in a few games last year, (Including 98 in a game that they should be ashamed of), so holding them to 30 means they get the slight ratings bump (just over teams 4 through 8 - whom all you could shufffle and wouldnt' be wrong).
4. USM - Other than a 75 yard run, it really did look like the Nasty Bunch were back for the most part, now to work on that OL quick.. cause FSU looked impressive.
5. ULL - Watched most of it, when I didn't fall asleep. Why so late of a game ULL?!?!? So I'm penalizing you guys for ruining my sleep pattern for one weekend, no reason other than that.
6. James Madison - I was going to give them a bump overall, but I hit one statistic snag.. Bucknell had 4 of their 11 games last year where they were held to less than 10 points, so some of the luster kind of fell off this win (not much though).
7. Appalachian State - I'm going to JUST give them an edge, beating a FCS playoff team, and they just NARROWLY beat out the next one on the list based on last year's results
8. Georgia Southern - I only base this on last year when App state beat Citadel by 40, while Ga Southern only got 30, so they fall behind AppSt but could see them climbing up quickly if the offense starts to click
9. Georgia State - Closer than it should have been IMO, as Rhode Island matched punch for punch with GaState. Georgia needs a killer instinct on Defense somewhere...
10. Marshall - Really Marshall? I thought you guys should have just run over a 3-8 FCS team from last year... But no.. you had to play "nice guys"?
11. Old Dominion - I WAS SO HOPING for a repeat from last year, but I should have known Va Tech had revenge on their mind, but I was expecitng something a little closer than what I saw.
12. South Alabama - I haven't decided yet how I feel about Tulane (as I constantly think they get overrated...) but I will say their quarterback did make mincemeat of the Jaguars secondary, and a lot of SunBelt teams took note.
13. Coastal Carolina - The PAC is a mess, and you just decide this is the game to lay down on? I mean South Alabama took 'em to the wire last year, this year the CC? Not so much...
14. Arkansas State - Guys, yes it was a "buy game", but to just show up and take it like that? I remember watching the basketball team kinda quit mid-season for y'all. I HOPE the football squad doesnt do the same?

Cajuns pushed the game start from 6:30 to 7:30 central to help out with the 100 degree heat. Then there was a lightning delay that pushed the start back to around 8. That and the Qbs being a combined 26/60 just dragged the game along
09-07-2023 09:20 AM
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SOT1977 Offline
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Post: #57
RE: Sun Belt Power Ratings Following Week 1
(09-05-2023 10:46 AM)Bobcat87 Wrote:  
(09-05-2023 10:35 AM)Troy_Fan_15 Wrote:  Again these are rankings that are pointless but I'd go:

1. Troy (T-1)

T-2. Southern Miss (T-3)
T-2. Georgia Southern (T-6)

T-4. Coastal Carolina (T-3)
T-4. South Alabama (T-1)
T-4. Texas State (T-10)

T-7: App State (T-6)
T-7: James Madison (T-6)
T-7: Louisiana (T-6)

10. ULM (T-13)
11. ODU (T-10)
12. Georgia State (T-13)
13. Arkansas State (T-10)

Those that are T-7 this week would have remained idle had my categories above them not changed how they did. TXST gets a great reward for a powerful offense and solid Big XII upset but I won't vault them to the top just yet. A win at UTSA will be another strong push upward though. Coastal drops only 1 spot after a tough loss to a fringe Top-25 P5 school on the opposite coast. South drops a few but I think they are still solid. GASO got a nice bump because I thought they looked good in how they handled their game. ASU drops to last just because that defensive performance + lack of offense was just bad. ULM bumps up a little but a close win over Army isn't as impressive as two scores vs Baylor like TXST.

I agree that these are pointless, But they are “Weekly Rankings,” No?
As in week to week, and subject to change over time.

. . . Just asking for a friend, but who in this conference had a better/bigger Win than TXST in week 1?

EXACTLY.

I would definitely rate the Texas State win as the biggest OOC win of the week. After that I go with ULM's comeback over the Black Knights. Both were over teams that are highly regarded on the national scene although Baylor and Army are not going to be at their best this season. Thing is, this is more positive pub for the conference.
09-07-2023 09:55 AM
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ericsaid Offline
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Post: #58
RE: Sun Belt Power Ratings Following Week 1
1. Texas State - GJ Kinne is the real deal which I'd mentioned several times before this game

2. App State - If you watch this game from around 2:30 in the 2nd quarter to the end, you see what I believe App will be this year. Pretty much domination by the defensive front with the entire three deep as well as the depth at OLB, corner, and safety

3. Georgia Southern - Offense is wild again and I wouldn't want to play them. Definite shot at winning the East

4. JMU - Redshirt Freshman QB really, really struggled bad which means that Cignetti is not a miracle worker after all and yes, Centeio was that good

5. Coastal Carolina - McCall was flustered against UCLA which isn't really a surprise given the fact that UCLA has 1st round draft pick at DE who was just massacring both sides of the Coastal line late. Defense is much, much better without Chad Staggs presence.

6. Troy - Offense was average last year while the defense was excellent. Appears we may be in for a defensive regression while the offense remains the same which may result in some issues later down the line

7. South Alabama - Tulane is good, but South Alabama looked unprepared and they've now dropped two games in a row where they were just dominated. Kane is going to have to figure something out because it would appear that he has been figured out.

8. Louisiana - QB play is going to limit them. Louisiana fans couldn't wait until Levi Lewis graduated and they are now in what I'd consider QB purgatory. Everything else is good but they will only go as far as the QB can take them (not far)

9. Southern Miss - Not convinced they've resolved their QB issues or that their overall talent level is as high as people think. Good, not great, team. Will undoubtedly be blown out by Florida State this weekend. Your only hope is to bring the Super Back back and run clock the entire game while scoring on almost every drive.

10. ULM - ULM is going to ULM. Good, but not great

11. Marshall - Lance Guidry is gone yet the defense still seems to be good. Is Cam Fancher the guy? Hard to say but my guess is no. Marshall played like a .500 in conference team last Saturday. Ali is still the best running back in the Sun Belt and it's not particularly close.

12. Georgia State - They hired Chad Staggs...morons

13. ODU - Expected more against Virginia Tech. Biggest opportunity for movement here considering they are breaking in a new OC.

14. stAte - Either Oklahoma is going to be scary good this year or Arkansas State is just putrid. It would be a huge break from the norm with Butch Jones if there isn't improvement this year but 73-0 is just insane, especially with the new clock rules
09-07-2023 11:43 AM
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ericsaid Offline
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Post: #59
RE: Sun Belt Power Ratings Following Week 1
(09-06-2023 02:45 PM)TroyFootball05 Wrote:  
(09-06-2023 02:02 PM)warhawk09 Wrote:  
(09-03-2023 08:22 AM)rileylives Wrote:  
(09-03-2023 08:17 AM)Georgia_Power_Company Wrote:  Only one week of data so it's hard to really rank everyone.

Week 1
1. Troy - took care of business (LW 1)
2. JMU - looked like they are still trying to figure things out and still won easily (LW 4)
3. GS - Controlled the game over an overmatched SoCon team (LW t5)
4. Louisiana - took care of business (LW t5)
t5. App St - pulled away in the 4th, defense needs time (LW 8)
t5. USM - solid performance for season opener (LW 9)
t7. Marshall - struggled more than they should have (LW 4)
t7. Texas St - Biggest win of the week. That D looks vicious (LW12)
t7. GSU - after other teams struggled that Rhode Island win now looks solid (LW 8)
10. Coastal - McCall with more INT than TD, not convinced they are tops in the East. (LW t5)
11. ULM - won a close game against a struggling Army team (LW 13)
12. USA - Tulane may be for real like last year but USA didn't look like a top 2 SBC (LW 2)
13. ODU - making strides (LW 14)
14. stAte - what did I just watch? (LW 11)

If you don't have Texas State number one then this is kind of ridiculous don't you think?

It's the first week of actual data. The prior week shouldn't really take any consideration in my opinion.

It's one week ... ODU beat Va. Tech in week one last year and won one game the rest of the year.

App State also beat #6 Texas A&M. App State did not go bowling.

App got the College Gameday curse.

I know a lot of people are selling App right now but the fact of the matter is that App has "struggled" against any decent FCS team going back to 2019. In 2019 App played ETSU and was up 14-7 at halftime, the next week they played UNCC and gave up 41 points, then they went an beat UNC and USC later on, going 13-1. In 2021 App played Elon and that game was a struggle with App carrying a small lead into halftime. This year they played Gardner-Webb pretty close.

But it was Week 1 against an FCS team with three All-Americans on defense, an All-American candidate on offense at running back, and a coach who knows App's offense and defense pretty well. When Aguilar went in the game with 2:30 left in the 2nd quarter, App scored on 5 of 6 drives, had more touchdown passes than incompletions, forced three turnovers, hit the QB probably more than 5 times, and just dominated save for one play where tackles were missed (week one issue).

People can look at the box score and draw conclusions but I'd recommend going back and watching the game.

As for who will win the conference this year, or divisions. I think Texas State has to be considered the front runner in the West so long as Finley stays healthy. Texas State looked like the P5 team against Baylor and that's saying something. They dominated from beginning to end, very much like App did against Texas A&M last year.

For the East, I think there are five realistic options but QB play is an issue throughout the division aside from Coastal. I think Coastal has to be considered the favorite followed by App, JMU, Marshall, and Georgia Southern in no particular order.

That said, my personal power rankings are not based on how a team did last week. It's based on what I see the end of the year looking like.
09-07-2023 11:49 AM
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TroyFootball05 Offline
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Post: #60
RE: Sun Belt Power Ratings Following Week 1
(09-07-2023 11:49 AM)ericsaid Wrote:  
(09-06-2023 02:45 PM)TroyFootball05 Wrote:  
(09-06-2023 02:02 PM)warhawk09 Wrote:  
(09-03-2023 08:22 AM)rileylives Wrote:  
(09-03-2023 08:17 AM)Georgia_Power_Company Wrote:  Only one week of data so it's hard to really rank everyone.

Week 1
1. Troy - took care of business (LW 1)
2. JMU - looked like they are still trying to figure things out and still won easily (LW 4)
3. GS - Controlled the game over an overmatched SoCon team (LW t5)
4. Louisiana - took care of business (LW t5)
t5. App St - pulled away in the 4th, defense needs time (LW 8)
t5. USM - solid performance for season opener (LW 9)
t7. Marshall - struggled more than they should have (LW 4)
t7. Texas St - Biggest win of the week. That D looks vicious (LW12)
t7. GSU - after other teams struggled that Rhode Island win now looks solid (LW 8)
10. Coastal - McCall with more INT than TD, not convinced they are tops in the East. (LW t5)
11. ULM - won a close game against a struggling Army team (LW 13)
12. USA - Tulane may be for real like last year but USA didn't look like a top 2 SBC (LW 2)
13. ODU - making strides (LW 14)
14. stAte - what did I just watch? (LW 11)

If you don't have Texas State number one then this is kind of ridiculous don't you think?

It's the first week of actual data. The prior week shouldn't really take any consideration in my opinion.

It's one week ... ODU beat Va. Tech in week one last year and won one game the rest of the year.

App State also beat #6 Texas A&M. App State did not go bowling.

App got the College Gameday curse.

I know a lot of people are selling App right now but the fact of the matter is that App has "struggled" against any decent FCS team going back to 2019. In 2019 App played ETSU and was up 14-7 at halftime, the next week they played UNCC and gave up 41 points, then they went an beat UNC and USC later on, going 13-1. In 2021 App played Elon and that game was a struggle with App carrying a small lead into halftime. This year they played Gardner-Webb pretty close.

But it was Week 1 against an FCS team with three All-Americans on defense, an All-American candidate on offense at running back, and a coach who knows App's offense and defense pretty well. When Aguilar went in the game with 2:30 left in the 2nd quarter, App scored on 5 of 6 drives, had more touchdown passes than incompletions, forced three turnovers, hit the QB probably more than 5 times, and just dominated save for one play where tackles were missed (week one issue).

People can look at the box score and draw conclusions but I'd recommend going back and watching the game.

As for who will win the conference this year, or divisions. I think Texas State has to be considered the front runner in the West so long as Finley stays healthy. Texas State looked like the P5 team against Baylor and that's saying something. They dominated from beginning to end, very much like App did against Texas A&M last year.

For the East, I think there are five realistic options but QB play is an issue throughout the division aside from Coastal. I think Coastal has to be considered the favorite followed by App, JMU, Marshall, and Georgia Southern in no particular order.

That said, my personal power rankings are not based on how a team did last week. It's based on what I see the end of the year looking like.

My comment was directed toward those who are overvaluing a win over a sub .500 Baylor. My feelings toward App have always been that this year will be a bounce back year.

The Baylor win was great for Texas State and the SBC, and I do think their offense is the real deal. I do wonder though if Colorado and Texas State operated with the element of surprise, having so many transfers. We'll see if they can keep performing like that after more game tape comes out. I'm in wait and see mode for the time being.
(This post was last modified: 09-07-2023 12:12 PM by TroyFootball05.)
09-07-2023 12:08 PM
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