RE: Week 13 Open Thread
I think there are just 4 programs who consistently recruit at the top 5 level -
Bama, Ohio State, Georgia, and Michigan has returned to this level.
About 8 or so schools are at the next level - the 5-10 level and can occasionally pop into the top 5 or fall into the just the top 15 - Clemson, Texas, ND, Florida, TAMU, USC, LSU, USC, and Oklahoma. Some consistently do more with the talent they get. Some almost always seem to do less.
Penn State, Florida State, and Oregon float between 12-20.
All things being equal the top 4 should not lose to anyone except each other. The next batch should only lose to each other and the top 4. Below these 16 or so an innovative or dynamic coach, a future NFL HOF QB or a run of good luck and no injuries can propel those between 17 and about 32 to compete in a single game, but really can't win out over a season's worth of games. This is where Auburn, Tennessee, Ole Miss, Miami, Wisconsin, UCLA, Utah, Washington, UNC, NC State, Pitt, Michigan State, VT, TCU, Baylor, Ok State, Wake Forest, Kentucky, etc., find themselves now - the middle of the P-5, but outside the small group of real movers and shakers.
Big conferences and the end of being able to win a weak division is going to make life harder for these in the middle - even those stuck in a currently near-unwinnable division like Auburn, Ole Miss, NC State, Michigan State, and Wake face the prospect of three to four games annually where they are a decided underdog with no room for error.
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