https://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story/...-predictor

Alabama
Georgia
Michigan
Notre Dame

(12-02-2021 12:05 AM)willhclark Wrote:  https://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story/...-predictor

Alabama
Georgia
Michigan
Notre Dame

Congrats on winning the AAC title game along with every other title game underdog winning.

<1% chance it happens according to the thingy!

UC only has an 83% chance of beating Houston according to that. Lol

As of today, UC has beaten the highest ranked opponent(ND) and that is likely to be the case after the championship games. UC beating Houston on Saturday guarantees that, unless Alabama beats Georgia (Which I think is extremely highly unlikely).

(12-02-2021 12:05 AM)willhclark Wrote:  https://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story/...-predictor

Alabama
Georgia
Michigan
Notre Dame

Hell, no one predicted UC at #4. We are playing with house money with a coach who just wins and 10 nfl prospects.

UC wins, all 3 underdogs have to win to get UC to a coin flip for the playoffs. I'll take that.

(12-02-2021 09:43 AM)bearcat29 Wrote:  

(12-02-2021 12:05 AM)willhclark Wrote:  https://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story/...-predictor

Alabama
Georgia
Michigan
Notre Dame

Hell, no one predicted UC at #4. We are playing with house money with a coach who just wins and 10 nfl prospects.

UC wins, all 3 underdogs have to win to get UC to a coin flip for the playoffs. I'll take that.

FWIW
IF all the favorites win their championship games
including a Bama loss
CFP committee to decide between
an undefeated G5 vs an 1 loss P5 team

Cincy
will have beaten 1 Top 10 team
5 teams w/ winning records
2 teams that finished .500
0 teams that finished 5-7

Ok St
will have beaten 2 Top 10 teams
6 teams (Baylor twice) w/ winning records
3 teams w/ .500 records
2 teams that finished 5-7
Lost to one team (Iw St 7-5) w/ winning record

(12-02-2021 10:18 AM)HHOOTter Wrote:  

(12-02-2021 09:43 AM)bearcat29 Wrote:  

(12-02-2021 12:05 AM)willhclark Wrote:  https://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story/...-predictor

Alabama
Georgia
Michigan
Notre Dame

Hell, no one predicted UC at #4. We are playing with house money with a coach who just wins and 10 nfl prospects.

UC wins, all 3 underdogs have to win to get UC to a coin flip for the playoffs. I'll take that.

FWIW
IF all the favorites win their championship games
including a Bama loss
CFP committee to decide between
an undefeated G5 vs an 1 loss P5 team

Cincy
will have beaten 1 Top 10 team
5 teams w/ winning records
2 teams that finished .500
0 teams that finished 5-7

Ok St
will have beaten 2 Top 10 teams
6 teams (Baylor twice) w/ winning records
3 teams w/ .500 records
2 teams that finished 5-7
Lost to one team (Iw St 7-5) w/ winning record

Won't have to decide. Both would be in at that point. Decision would just be who is 3 and who is 4.

All we need is for Georgia to take care of business. If that doesn't happen, then we need Baylor or Iowa to pull the upset. I'm guessing Georgia, Oklahoma State, and Michigan will win, leaving us with:

1. Georgia
2. Michigan
3. Oklahoma State
4. Cincinnati

We can debate if it's fair for Cincinnati to be stuck in the 4 spot playing Georgia, but I'm just happy to have a shot. I won't expect to win that game, but I could see us giving them a better game than whoever advances to the championship game.

(12-02-2021 10:18 AM)HHOOTter Wrote:  

(12-02-2021 09:43 AM)bearcat29 Wrote:  

(12-02-2021 12:05 AM)willhclark Wrote:  https://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story/...-predictor

Alabama
Georgia
Michigan
Notre Dame

Hell, no one predicted UC at #4. We are playing with house money with a coach who just wins and 10 nfl prospects.

UC wins, all 3 underdogs have to win to get UC to a coin flip for the playoffs. I'll take that.

FWIW
IF all the favorites win their championship games
including a Bama loss
CFP committee to decide between
an undefeated G5 vs an 1 loss P5 team

Cincy
will have beaten 1 Top 10 team
5 teams w/ winning records
2 teams that finished .500
0 teams that finished 5-7

Ok St
will have beaten 2 Top 10 teams
6 teams (Baylor twice) w/ winning records
3 teams w/ .500 records
2 teams that finished 5-7
Lost to one team (Iw St 7-5) w/ winning record

Baylor won't stay in the top 10 with 3 losses. 2 loss Oregon (assuming that they beat Utah) and 2 loss Michigan State would jump ahead of them. Even 2 loss Pitt/Wake Forest winner could jump ahead of them.

Assuming UC wins the championship game and Georgia wins their game, it would be a travesty if they are left out.. particularly if Notre Dame somehow gets in ahead of them.

I think that it'll be Georgia, Michigan, Cincinnati and Oklahoma State in that order.

(12-02-2021 04:03 PM)Ned Low Wrote:  Assuming UC wins the championship game and Georgia wins their game, it would be a travesty if they are left out.. particularly if Notre Dame somehow gets in ahead of them.

I think that it'll be Georgia, Michigan, Cincinnati and Oklahoma State in that order.

UC isn't getting left out if UC wins and Georgia wins. If UC wins there is only one scenario UC MIGHT get left out and even then I'm not certain they would.