Instant Analysis of New Conferences
So my original goal was to compile 5 years worth of basketball, baseball, softball, and football RPI type numbers to see what the American, Sun Belt, Mountain West, and MAC would look like in each sport with the updated membership. For sake of comparison, I added WKU and MTSU to the MAC. I compiled the data for one year and it took a while so I decided to do a ONE year instant analysis instead. Basketball numbers are from 2020-2021. Baseball and Softball are from 2021. Football is from the current Massey composite (yes I know it changes weekly so these numbers are soon to be out of date).
Caveat: I know the RPI/NET/Massey Composite isn't necessarily translatable because the conference teams played would have changed. However, this is just an exercise in fun to get a rough idea of what we could expect.
Football (Average current Massey rating):
1. MWC (70.67)
2. AAC (87.43)
3. SBC (91.46)
4. MAC (92.21)
Top 5 SBC contributors: CCU, Louisiana, App State, Marshall, and South Alabama.
Bottom 5: Southern Miss, Arkansas State, Old Dominion, Georgia Southern, and Texas State.
Instant Analysis - the SBC is a little down this year compared to last, but the bottom teams are all ones we expect get better. If the other teams can maintain their level of performance we will get better as a conference. Also, JMU is not figured into these numbers and one would expect quick success in FBS from them.
Basketball (Average NET ranking):
1. AAC (133.79)
2. MWC (163.72)
3. MAC (188.79)
4. SBC (196.64)
Top 5 contributors: Marshall, Georgia State, Old Dominion, JMU, and Texas State
Bottom 5: ULM, Troy, Southern Miss, Georgia Southern, and Arkansas State
Instant Analysis: I am curious how far down the AAC average NET will fall when they replace good games with the departing teams with the newer teams. The Sun Belt obviously needs the most help in basketball. We added some teams that have been good so hopefully that's the shot in the arm we need to get better as a league. Commissioner Gill is a basketball guy, and one of his goals is to improve the sport. We will see where it goes from here.
Baseball (Average RPI):
1. AAC (111.3)
2. MWC (120.0)
3. SBC (132.1)
4. MAC (179.5)
Top 5 contributors: Old Dominion, Southern Miss, South Alabama, Georgia Southern, Coastal Carolina
Bottom 5: Marshall, JMU, Texas State, Arkansas State, App State
Instant Analysis: Baseball is a sport we should excel in. There are many proud programs in this league that can rise up in any given year. JMU and Marshall need to catch up quickly. Without Marshall and JMU our average would have been 113.5.
Softball (Average RPI):
1. SBC (102.3)
2. AAC (108.1)
3. MWC (135.4)
4. MAC (159.4)
Top 5 contributors: JMU, Louisiana, Texas State, South Alabama, and Troy
Bottom 5: Georgia State, Southern Miss, ULM, Marshall, and CCU
Instant Analysis: This is a danged good softball league. The SBC had 4 bids to the NCAA Tournament last year, and had JMU been in the league we could have received 5 (if they actually let a non-P5 have that many).
Welcome new members! We look forward to growing the conference with you!
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