(07-27-2021 11:38 AM)nole Wrote: (07-27-2021 11:33 AM)XLance Wrote: JR here is where we are going to have to disagree.
I don't think that ESPN keeps any of the Big 12. The mouse has gotten everything out of that conference that they wanted (Texas, Texas A&M, Oklahoma and Missouri). The only value left on the table is Kansas and maybe West Virginia (which I'm sure the ACC would object to), everything else is AAC material.
15 is the perfect size. It gives a pod with enough teams to have a real champion, plus room to grow to 18 if necessary while still keeping the same basic format.
Keeping the Notre Dame contract is paramount.
My pods may be a little off for the ACC, but I really love the way that the SEC divides into 3 X 5.
That all makes a lot of sense.
Do you think the ACC has a lot of "AAC material".....you think ESPN is going to save that AAC material or is it going to extract the value out of the ACC?
I think X is missing the legal and practical reasons for the catch all conference. It's transitional in that it eliminates costly exit fees and damages. ESPN pays just enough to cover damages and includes enough to dissolve conferences eliminating exit fees.
I believe for a streaming world where money is in content high interest brand on brand play nothing is going to stop the consolidation of power. Money is huge because it assuages hurt feelings when the brand school has a bad year.
Here's the issue. There aren't available schools for the ACC to play catch up. ESPN isn't jacking up payouts to land ND and having to pay all of the ACC the same when they can just move them to the SEC at slightly more than pro rata.
You just watched this happen to the B12 and you think ESPN wants to fork out more for Pitt, BC, Wake, Duke football, and schools that should be producing but haven't in years? No.
I fear the SEC is being sculpted as a league which will eventually destroy our culture and alter our identity and I don't see that stopping because we had the best nucleus to build around. Personally I think we wind up with 5 ACC schools fully (ND, FSU, UNC, UVa or Va Tech, and Clemson). I think the ACC will be reformed as 1 of 2 catch all conferences or perhaps the catch all conference and that can't happen until UNC, UVa, and FSU have golden parachutes.
The conference will have value and full inclusion and will be great T2 content superior to the AAC in every way and likely paid about 40 million each to kill fees and damages. You can't win a damage suit if you are making more and you can't charge exit fees if everyone leaves or the result pays everyone more. And ESPN isn't going to sue itself for maximizing brand values.
A potential future ACC:
Boston College, Louisville, Pittsburgh, Syracuse, West Virginia
Georgia Tech, Miami, N.C. State, Virginia Tech, Wake Forest
Baylor, Brigham Young, Houston, TCU, Texas Tech
Cincinnati, Iowa State, Kansas, Kansas State, Oklahoma State
The ACCN covers 2 divisions and the old LHN covers the other two.
SEC:
Kentucky, North Carolina, Notre Dame, Tennessee, Virginia
Clemson, Florida, Florida State, Georgia, South Carolina
Alabama, Auburn, Mississippi, Mississippi State, Texas A&M
Arkansas, Louisiana State, Missouri, Oklahoma, Texas
* Duke and Vanderbilt all but football.
ESPN is going to consolidate branding so they can max out T1 with so many solid match ups that they can lease product to a CBS or NBC increasing school exposure and essentially becoming a broker as well as participant in broadcasting.