RE: Crayton's CRAZY Playoff 2020
Updated for this week. Here is the current bracket:
SOUTH (Sugar A)
4 UAB @ 1 Alabama
3 Miami(FL) @ 2 Cincinnati
WEST (Rose A)
4 USC @ 1 Notre Dame
3 Indiana @ 2 Iowa State
NORTH (Rose B)
4 Buffalo @ 1 Ohio State
3 Oklahoma @ 2 Texas A&M
EAST (Sugar B)
4 MW Champ @ 1 Clemson
3 Florida @ 2 Coastal Carolina
With so few games to be played this week, most teams have locked their spots. Here are the teams that could make a move this final week:
Alabama (vs. Arkansas) and Florida (vs. LSU) are in must-win situations. A loss by either should allow Georgia (vs. Missouri) into the bracket. A loss by both and Alabama stays in the bracket as SEC Champ, but loses their home game. Georgia AND 1 of Alabama/Florida would have to lose for the SEC to send fewer than 3 teams to the playoff; not happening.
The only other at-large spot up for grabs is Miami's. The Hurricanes need to beat UNC to keep it. Waiting in the wings are #14 BYU (vs. SDSU), #15 Northwestern (vs. Illinois), #17 Louisiana (BYE), #18 Tulsa (BYE), #19 Iowa (vs. Wisconsin), and #20 UNC (vs. Miami). Theoretically, #13 Oklahoma (BYE) could have their spot stolen too, if one of these teams wins big.
Coastal Carolina is set to host a playoff game! But, they need to get by Troy this weekend (or have the game cancelled). A loss would give the Sun Belt spot to Louisiana, who is likely to stay behind USC/Colorado in the hopes of getting a home playoff game.
The Pac-12 will be decided by ranking. USC (vs. UCLA) and Colorado (vs. Utah) are both 4-0, but USC holds the edge in the rankings. If both lose, the highest ranked of these two or Washington (who also lost their last game) will be chosen to get, at that point, a 4-seed.
Buffalo is undefeated in MAC play, but they'll need to defeat Akron to complete their season, otherwise the highest ranked of BSU/WMU will take the MAC spot.
In Conference USA, UAB (vs. Rice), is in with a win. UTSA would take the conference's spot, if the Dragons lose. Although Marshall has the best win-percentage, they unfortunately lost their final regular season game, losing all tie-breakers. For all conferences, two teams are tied if the difference in their win-percentage is < 2 / (sum-of-both-teams-games-played + 4). Marshall would be tied with UAB and UTSA; Marshall is out because of their final loss, and UAB trumps UTSA head-to-head.
San Jose State leads the MW in the AP Poll. They face a tough test vs. Nevada this final week. If the Spartans lose, Boise (vs. Wyoming) will take the crown. If the Broncos lose too, Nevada will earn the final playoff spot.
(This post was last modified: 12-11-2020 12:42 AM by Crayton.)
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