(08-19-2020 03:50 PM)quo vadis Wrote: (08-19-2020 12:00 PM)SoCalBobcat78 Wrote: (08-18-2020 06:03 PM)quo vadis Wrote: Yes, it's obvious these guys are safer - or at least no less safe - on the field than in class, and if they are safer than their risk to the community is lower too.
The cancel-football side is engaged in voodoo fear-mongering, IMO.
The reason the NFL can make it work is that they are basically in a bubble with daily testing. All media interviews are done through Zoom. Players go home to their families or girlfriends. Going out into the student population is a lot different and the cost of testing is significant for a university.
As a country, we had six months to contain this virus and we just have not done it. The Surgeon General is applauding all the steps Alabama has taken but he is not exactly saying that football players back on campus with other students is a great idea. I want college football as much as anybody and I thought the Big 10 and PAC-12 gave up too soon. But I can also see that things are not trending well with the virus and I don’t care how well a school does to protect their players from the virus, it will never work with students if their is not a commitment in our country to contain the virus.
What do you mean by "it will never work"? Do you mean that some college athletes will get infected? That will likely happen to whether they are playing football or not.
I agree that the pros have far greater control over the virus via the "bubbles". But the issue isn't whether college athletics can be made as virus-free as the NBA bubble is. It's whether shutting down football (a) reduces the spread of the virus compared to not shutting down football, and (b) even if it does spread the virus more than shutting down football, are the benefits of football in terms of revenues and quality of life for players, fans, students etc. greater than the costs of that greater spread? And don't tell me the latter factors (revenue and QoL) shouldn't count, because they are the reasons the same B1G schools that have canceled football have their campuses open to the general student population.
I have not seen any justification by those that have canceled Fall football in either of those terms. Even if you think that even one additional case of covid is worth shutting down Fall football, there's no evidence that shutting down Fall football will create that extra case.
The dilemma is that football IS objectively higher risk compared to the "reasonable person" standard of wearing masks, social distancing, not gathering in large groups and avoiding non-essential travel:
(1) The entire object of the game is to use your hands to tackle/block/physically push other people (unlike, say, baseball) with constant high energy sprints and bursts of energy.
(2) A football game, even without fans in the stands, inherently requires a large group gathering of over 100 people for each team (or over 200 people on the field at any given time). Even if the game itself is outdoors, how teams handle a locker room for that large of a group of people is a vexing problem. This is also a difference compared to basketball (which can involve a lot of indoor physical contact, but doesn't require huge group gatherings).
(3) That large group of people by simple math is going to have exponentially more contacts with a lot more people and, from a practical on-the-ground perspective, will be a lot more difficult to control. This is another difference compared to basketball (where the smaller team and staff can be monitored much more easily). The universe of potential virus exposures is many times more with a football team even under the best of circumstances.
(4) That large group of people will also need to travel together. This will create a challenge for them to socially distance themselves on a plane, bus or other mode of transportation. This large group of people will then come into contact with another large group of people as opponents, bringing all of their own exposures with them. They will all then travel back to their own respective campuses and intermingle with their student populations.
Whatever safety standards that are considered to be reasonable right now (e.g. social distancing, wearing masks, no large groups, no travel, etc.), playing football clearly falls outside of those standards. So, the risk of transmission of COVID-19 is increased by playing football compared to the standards that have been publicized by public health officials.
Now, is playing football safer than going to a campus party where everyone is drinking out of the same keg? Probably. However, the college isn't sponsoring that party, whereas it IS sponsoring football and all of the associated responsibilities and liabilities that come with it.
Is all of that risk acceptable compared to the revenue and other jobs that football would otherwise generate? Well, that's for each school to decide. While it's certainly comparable to the notion of colleges bringing back students on-campus overall (as I've noted myself that there's a lot of room and board revenue at stake), the point is that the colleges are at least superficially imposing guidelines on those students comparable to public health recommendations. Those colleges might be completely awful at enforcing those guidelines in reality, but they would at least have the colorable argument that they can't control the activities of those students once they step outside of their dorm rooms or go to a location that's off-campus.
In contrast, the sponsorship of football and the enforcement of guidelines during practices and games are 100% under the control of the university. That's the huge difference that I see here compared to the lack of control that a school has over whether their students will go to parties. From a liability standpoint, a college can explain away that a student living in a dorm got COVID-19 because he/she didn't follow the guidelines when he/she went to an off-campus party, whereas it can't explain away an outbreak on a football team when it's a sponsored activity that inherently involves physically tackling each other in a large group while traveling to different campuses.