Zorch
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RE: Dane Fischer is CAA Coach of the Year
(03-08-2020 08:25 AM)Marshall Wythe Wrote: (03-07-2020 09:03 PM)Zorch Wrote: (03-07-2020 10:18 AM)Marshall Wythe Wrote: (03-07-2020 08:49 AM)Zorch Wrote: I think folks might be going a little overboard here.
Dane Fischer deserved to win CAA Coach of the Year because of the results on the court. However, I am reserving judgment on just how good of a coach he is until next year. You know, the year when he doesn’t inherit the POY, the Defensive POY, a second First Team Defensive player, and a 7 ft 3rd team All-CAA player.
Next year will show us how good of a coach he is.
Zorch, I'd love to hear which of my or the other comments were inaccurate or "overboard." I don't think anyone (certainly not me) seriously thought we'd have a record this good at the end of the season, even with Nate. If you predicted this success for Coach Fischer at the beginning of the season, please point me to the post and I will tip my hat.
A challenge? Okay. First off, though, notice that I said in the original post that he deserved the award (I bolded it this time to make it easier to find). Moreover, before the award was even announced, I was on record as saying that he deserved the award over Schrage or Mihalich (see post below, from 2/28/2020, 10:38, from the "Nate - CAA POW for 4th time" thread).
(02-28-2020 10:38 PM)Zorch Wrote: It was disappointing that he tabbed Joe Mihalic for Coach of the Year, with Schrage of Elon being his second choice. Obviously, I think Fischer would be the best and obvious choice. He is a first-time coach like Schrage but his team finished considerably better than Schrage's did. Re Mihalic: Joe is an experienced coach whose team won the CAA regular season last year and was preseason tabbed to win it again this year -- so he did what he was expected to do. Meanwhile (as of this writing), Fischer's team (who was expected to finish, what, 10 or 11) is in second place with a chance for a first place tie. So Fischer greatly exceeded the expectations of all the prognosticators (and almost all W&M fans) and, to me, seems like a more deserving choice than Mihalic. (I just deleted a crack against Joe because I didn't want to violate my own dictum about not providing bulletin board material).
Okay, so Fischer deserved the COY. But how/why did he deserve it? Was it because he "coached them up" as ColonelEbirt said? Was it because he improved the "chemistry" of the team, as many have said? I'm sure he did indeed do those things -- but were those the reasons why W&M went 21-10? Or was it because of Nathan Knight? That is what I think - and Fischer was smart/competent enough to not screw it up. Below are two posts from the "2019-2020 MBB Season" thread, from 10/8/19 and 10/9/19 (more than a month before the season even started)(I have bolded the pertinent parts). First, kudos to LeadBolt who also predicted the Tribe would finish higher than projected. In the first post I make it clear what I thought of Nathan Knight. In the second post I commented that since the Tribe was projected so low that they would have to prove it on the court. Besides Knight, I also mentioned how Andy Van Vliet should have been mentioned among the top newcomers (which proved true since he was selected to the CAA Third Team):
(10-08-2019 11:05 AM)Zorch Wrote: That writeup is BS. First off, I give ZERO respect to anyone who claims to know anything about COLONIAL league basketball. If they knew anything at all then they would at least know that the league calls itself the CAA. Secondly, they give a list of top five newcomers but it doesn't contain Van Vliet. They say that Nathan Knight is the best all around player in the league but are quick to project Grant Riller as player of the year.
Here's my projection: Nathan Knight wins POY in a landslide.
(10-09-2019 01:13 PM)Zorch Wrote: (10-08-2019 02:44 PM)LeadBolt Wrote: I understand why they might project us at the bottom with all of the turnover and turmoil of unexpected regime change. I really think that this team will surpass expectations that outsiders will have handily.
(10-09-2019 07:05 AM)wmmii Wrote: Our success will be based first on key players remaining healthy and then on the team embracing Dane’s new system and 5 core values. Expectations of ourselves is vastly more important than the perception of others.
I agree with both of these sentiments. I have included the link to the CAA article about the Media Day projections. What surprised me is how high JMU was projected. I assume that it is because they have some returning studs. But they also have Louis Rowe returning and I can't see giving them any love until they prove it and earn it. I'm also surprised at Hofstra being first -- has anyone told them that Wright-Foreman has graduated? Buie is a good defender but can he carry the team offensively? Pemberton has never impressed me as being that good -- certainly not good enough to carry a team to the top ranking. I guess CofC and NE would deserve high rankings and I think that it looks like Delaware should be even better this year.
W&M will have to prove it on the court. Barring injuries, I think the Tribe will finish much higher than projected.
https://caasports.com/news/2019/10/7/hof...-year.aspx
(03-07-2020 10:18 AM)Marshall Wythe Wrote: ....He may be a one year wonder. But, with the challenges facing him next year, I don't think we can seriously expect the same result.
That was exactly my point. If he falls to earth next year then does that mean that this year's success was because of Knight (yes!). Is he suddenly any less of a coach or an inspiration next year? No, of course not -- but next year he won't have Nathan Knight (and several other important pieces). Now, on the other hand, if he leads the team to 20 wins next year then I will absolutely be saying he is a great coach. So that is all that was said and that is all that was meant.
Lastly, I want to comment on this post:
(03-07-2020 11:03 AM)3xTribe Wrote: ... It's unknowable, of course, but I wonder whether Nate is defensive POY under the previous regime.
You are right, it is unknowable. But such a guess would not have been much of a reach --- considering that Nate made the CAA All-Defensive team last year, too!
1 - Thanks for agreeing that, like the rest of us, you did not predict this level of success for Coach Fischer at the beginning of the season.
2 - I disagree that, if next year's results are worse, then this year's results are "because of Nate." Sure, Nate played probably the most important role in this year's results. But to act like Coach Fischer's coaching job also didn't play a significant role is ridiculous.
3 - You failed to point out any comments that were over the top.
Seriously?
1. No, I didn't use the words "first place" or "second place" but I did say " Barring injuries, I think the Tribe will finish much higher than projected.". They did finish "much higher" than projected - so I think that qualifies as " If you predicted this success for Coach Fischer at the beginning of the season, please point me to the post and I will tip my hat".
3. Since I used the word "folks" in my original post, it was clear that I was not referring to you or any poster specifically but rather to how many posters were all giving all the credit to Fischer. I made it clear that other people (mainly Nate) were involved too. You took my post to mean you just because your post was the one immediately above it. Anyway, it was the sheer "piling on" of it's-all-Fischer that I thought was going "overboard". My bad on that account -- I should have just let folks feel good about congratulating the Tribe.
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