(08-19-2019 08:08 AM)Bogg Wrote: (08-18-2019 11:06 PM)Stugray2 Wrote: An important date to keep in mind June 30, 2023. That is when UConn's lease at Rentschler runs out. At that point they no longer need to write an annual check of $250K to the stadium to help it's losses. That also could be a good date to end FBS Football at UConn.
Maybe! Things aren't good. I just hope everyone's ready to own their predictions over the next few months, because I have a feeling Uconn's going to announce some series that extend past 2022 during the coming academic year and there should be a round of "I was wrong"s in here if so.
I didn't say they would shut it down. I just noted the date. I also said 2023 has a good core set of games. Move Lafayette deep in the season and you have 2 free September dates, which can be on the road since your already hosting Duke and Florida State in September, providing great value for another set of P5 series.
That is definitely not the year I'd want to shut down. That is an opportunity year, where you could see a 5 or 6 P5 schools playing UConn.
I do see the lease terms being very different. UConn off the hook for covering losses, the stadium free to run many more types of events than they do now. But UConn will probably have to pay a higher rent for the games they do play there.
The State of Connecticut made a huge mistake in locating the stadium where they did. It's the same mistake the State of California made when trying to set up the High Speed rail, locating large chunks of it far from anywhere anyone would want to go, rather than running directly from San Jose to Los Angeles (San Francisco connects to San Jose via express already and those are now electrified). But right now the section they wasted all the funding on will go from Merced to Bakersfield. (I guess DavidSt would use this as proof that UC Merced will go D1 and join the Big West). Any sane person would have run the train down 101 straight to Santa Barbara. But Politicians in the Valley had more power and wanted to revitalize the Central Valley. Same thing happened in Connecticut, secondary objectives (revitalizing a declining area far from the primary need for the project) decided the location. So it's a boondoggle (at least it's a lot cheaper than our train)
https://www.sfchronicle.com/politics/art...621347.php
UConn football will forever be handicapped by this. It loses probably more than 50% of the students who would attend otherwise. I am sure the bus ride is fun, but it has way more restrictions on students that the UCLA to Pasadena and you don't have southern California weather. I strongly suspect the location of the stadium was one of the primary reasons UConn football has been bad after the initial start went well. Even bad stadiums wont stop a good launch of a product in demand. But after the first few years of novelty wears off, the first downturn in the program the stadium becomes such a negative nobody wants to go to it.
But since I didn't say I expect the program to shut down after 2022 (but maybe sometime before 2030 it could well happen), you can't put me in that list. If the program doesn't start making money, that is a date to watch. But you don't want to pay Duke and Florida State $1.5M each to cancel the games. So I see June 30, 2023 as more likely a shift to an annual renewal arrangement than a shut down. But with that set up, shutting down is easier after that.