RE: Pat Narduzzi and Pitt
So, if you look at it just in that light, I absolutely understand why so many people are bearish on the Panthers and expecting them to take a step...or two...or more back this year. Who knows, those people may very well be right? Would any outcome in the Coastal really surprise anyone? Personally, I think you could throw everyone in that division’s name in a hat and draw them at random and you would come up with a prediction just as good as anything anyone else can make.
However, the more I’ve looked at Pitt’s roster and studied what everyone else is returning, the more optimistic I’ve become. I legitimately believe people are likely sleeping on Pitt this year. Further, I think the Panthers have a great chance to be a better team this year than they were last year.
Reasons for optimism:
+ Talented QB
+ Experienced, well regarded QB friendly OC
+ RB depth
+ Talented secondary
+ Deep DL - especially on the interior
They say that the quarterback improves the most between his first and second year. I think we will see that with Pickett — who definitely flashed at times last year, but could not consistently do it. He was also awful at times last year. If he can get the pass protection, I think he’s going to be pretty good.
He’s listed as a junior, but that’s very misleading. He’s really a redshirt sophomore. I don’t think a lot of people realize that during his true freshman year, he was the fourth string quarterback all year long, but he was thrust into action because of injuries and poor play by all the guys ahead of him. He was put in for the final play of our third to last game of the season against Syracuse – which burned his red shirt. Then, he went down to Blacksburg in his first ever start and almost beat a pretty good Virginia Tech team. However, he had no idea what he was doing. He didn’t know more than 5-10 plays — max. Then, he led an upset of previously undefeated Miami at home.
Also, I cannot possibly overstate what a big problem former OC Shawn Watson was for Pitt. I’m not into scapegoating coaches, but literally nothing he did ever made any sense. It was at times surreal.
Pitt ran the third slowest offense in the country. Let me ask you something: In this day and age, who runs a slow down offense? Who doesn’t play with any tempo ever? I would say nobody, but somehow we were the third slowest offense in the country, so clearly at least two other teams who also chose to play with one arm tied behind their back.
Also, he had these two big running backs who were both pretty good and effective and he complemented them with a short passing game. Again, who does that?
If you’re gouging people on the ground, as we did to most of the teams we faced, that’s naturally going to draw safeties and linebackers up towards line of scrimmage. It’s just common sense.
Anyone would do that.
So, if you’ve got a bunch of defensive backs and linebackers crowding the line of scrimmage to try to limit the ground game, who then complements that with bubble screens and quick outs?
Now, the $64,000 question is did Watson run such a slow and predictable offense because he simply did not have any faith in the quarterback or the line’s ability to protect him, or did he do that because the game had passed him by?
We’re about to find out because we now have a coordinator who has run a lot of tempo and who has had a lot of success with quarterbacks pushing the football down the field.
That’s what has me tossing and turning at night – those unanswerable questions until the season starts.
I will say this much: I have seen predictions of them going 5-7, 4-8, etc. As I said earlier, anything can happen with this team. However, I do not think that’s very likely at all. I think it is more likely that they will go 8-4 or 7-5. That’s pretty much where I have landed on how I expect the season to go. If they go .500 again or below that mark, he would definitely be in trouble heading into next year.
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