(03-12-2019 07:37 AM)UCbball21 Wrote: I'd be curious to see how this same analysis of NET vs RPI compares to Kenpom as well. I would think that Kenpom is probably considered to be the most objective and transparent ranking metric, and therefore, the least bias.
I would like to see that before I subscribe to the whole anti-mid-major conspiracy theory.
For the most part, NET and KenPom are pretty closely aligned, as are NET and Massey Composite. Where they tend to differ seems to be that the NET ranking is more favorable to mid-major teams than the other two.
Of the teams in KenPom's Top 50, five are
not also in NET Top 50. They are: Indiana (51 NET), Nebraska (52), Creighton (54), Ohio State (55) and Minnesota (56).
The five schools in the NET Top 50 but in KenPom's are: Furman (41NET/55KP), Belmont (45/53), New Mexico St (46/57), Lipscomb (48/52) and Temple (50/69).
The differences are largely bubble teams.
By conference, the KenPom Top 50 includes (highest rank in parentheses):
B1G...11 (4)
ACC....9 (1)
B12....8 (8)
SEC....7 (7)
AAC....3 (13)
BE......3 (26)
WCC...2 (2)
MWC..2 (22)
SOU...1 (18)
MAC...1 (25)
A10....1 (32)
PAC....1 (47)
OVC...1 (50)
.
Of the 11 mid-major schools in the KP Top50, all but one are higher in the NET ranking. St Mary's is listed at #33 by KP and #37 by NET.
The others, with the number of spots higher in the NET in parentheses, are:
Gonzaga (1)
Houston (8)
Wofford (4)
Nevada (3)
Buffalo (5)
VCU (1)
Cincinnati (7)
UCF (8)
Utah State (10)
Murray State (7)
These are listed in order of highest KP rank, so except for Houston, the teams with the greatest disparity are nearer to the bubble, as you might expect.
So IMO, the idea that NET hurts mid-majors is pretty much debunked. I think if we went back in time, what we would find is that the RPI was never taken seriously by the selection committee. We'll soon find out if the NET is.