(12-27-2018 06:02 PM)EigenEagle Wrote:  I'm pretty sure we've got 4 teams in our conference that could play Duke better than that, if not win.
Power 6 indeed.

Based on...what exactly? Which P5 teams has the Sunbelt beaten this year that actually had a winning record?

(12-29-2018 05:33 PM)AlwaysSunny Wrote:  

(12-27-2018 06:02 PM)EigenEagle Wrote:  I'm pretty sure we've got 4 teams in our conference that could play Duke better than that, if not win.
Power 6 indeed.

Based on...what exactly? Which P5 teams has the Sunbelt beaten this year that actually had a winning record?

What Power 5 loss can you point to that shows that's not the case? App's OT loss to Penn State or losses to Alabama and Clemson?

We're not the AAC and get lots of cream puff P5s.

On the other hand, the ACC is super weak other than Clemson.

(12-29-2018 06:11 PM)EigenEagle Wrote:  

(12-29-2018 05:33 PM)AlwaysSunny Wrote:  

(12-27-2018 06:02 PM)EigenEagle Wrote:  I'm pretty sure we've got 4 teams in our conference that could play Duke better than that, if not win.
Power 6 indeed.

Based on...what exactly? Which P5 teams has the Sunbelt beaten this year that actually had a winning record?

What Power 5 loss can you point to that shows that's not the case? App's OT loss to Penn State or losses to Alabama and Clemson?

We're not the AAC and get lots of cream puff P5s.

On the other hand, the ACC is super weak other than Clemson.

Tell that to Memphis.

(12-29-2018 06:41 PM)BRtransplant Wrote:  

(12-29-2018 06:11 PM)EigenEagle Wrote:  

(12-29-2018 05:33 PM)AlwaysSunny Wrote:  

(12-27-2018 06:02 PM)EigenEagle Wrote:  I'm pretty sure we've got 4 teams in our conference that could play Duke better than that, if not win.
Power 6 indeed.

Based on...what exactly? Which P5 teams has the Sunbelt beaten this year that actually had a winning record?

What Power 5 loss can you point to that shows that's not the case? App's OT loss to Penn State or losses to Alabama and Clemson?

We're not the AAC and get lots of cream puff P5s.

On the other hand, the ACC is super weak other than Clemson.

Tell that to Memphis.

That was a something had to give game...AAC's bowl ineptness vs general weakness of the middle of the ACC.

Seriously, why is the AAC so bad in bowl games???

Success in bowl games is correlated the perception of your conference and individual teams' under/over achievement during the regular season.

The AAC when the current bowl alignment was set was perceived as a stronger conference and thus received better bowls and matchups.

2020 everything will be reset and the AAC will play more G5 opponents and their bowl record will improve.

(01-02-2019 04:02 PM)Saint3333 Wrote:  Success in bowl games is correlated the perception of your conference and individual teams' under/over achievement during the regular season.

The AAC when the current bowl alignment was set was perceived as a stronger conference and thus received better bowls and matchups.

2020 everything will be reset and the AAC will play more G5 opponents and their bowl record will improve.

Good point, explains why the horrible CUSA was so successful in the bowls, ... they had the weakest of all opponents.

Sae a tweet with this info:

Quote:Final winning percentages of Group of Five conferences in all non-conference games for 2018


1 SunBelt - 0.545
2 MWC - 0.537
3 American - 0.491
4 CUSA - 0.419
5 MAC - 0.352

https://twitter.com/sunbeltjohn/status/1...5412112384

(01-02-2019 10:21 PM)Yosef Himself Wrote:  Sae a tweet with this info:

Quote:Final winning percentages of Group of Five conferences in all non-conference games for 2018


1 SunBelt - 0.545
2 MWC - 0.537
3 American - 0.491
4 CUSA - 0.419
5 MAC - 0.352

https://twitter.com/sunbeltjohn/status/1...5412112384

Hmm. But how did our OOC strength of schedule compare as a conference? I'd wanna know that alongside this information. Though I'm pretty sure the SBC had the hardest OOC game with ULL vs Bama

LOL. No, stAte didn't play Alabama. Nothing to see here.

(01-02-2019 10:35 PM)FTE_rawr Wrote:  

(01-02-2019 10:21 PM)Yosef Himself Wrote:  Sae a tweet with this info:

Quote:Final winning percentages of Group of Five conferences in all non-conference games for 2018


1 SunBelt - 0.545
2 MWC - 0.537
3 American - 0.491
4 CUSA - 0.419
5 MAC - 0.352

https://twitter.com/sunbeltjohn/status/1...5412112384

Hmm. But how did our OOC strength of schedule compare as a conference? I'd wanna know that alongside this information. Though I'm pretty sure the SBC had the hardest OOC game with ULL vs Bama

League had 3 games against teams playing in the National title this year

AState and UL vs Bama
Georgia Southern vs Clemson

(01-02-2019 08:33 PM)CoachWillRob Wrote:  

(01-02-2019 04:02 PM)Saint3333 Wrote:  Success in bowl games is correlated the perception of your conference and individual teams' under/over achievement during the regular season.

The AAC when the current bowl alignment was set was perceived as a stronger conference and thus received better bowls and matchups.

2020 everything will be reset and the AAC will play more G5 opponents and their bowl record will improve.

Good point, explains why the horrible CUSA was so successful in the bowls, ... they had the weakest of all opponents.

CUSA played more difficult games on average according to Massey. Not gonna go in and add up the exact means.

Average opponent rankings for bowls.

AAC 53.6 (includes #9 LSU)
CUSA 61
MAC 62.5
MWC 63.6
SB 71.4

Sent from my SM-G900T using Tapatalk

(01-03-2019 02:27 AM)Shrack Wrote:  

(01-02-2019 08:33 PM)CoachWillRob Wrote:  

(01-02-2019 04:02 PM)Saint3333 Wrote:  Success in bowl games is correlated the perception of your conference and individual teams' under/over achievement during the regular season.

The AAC when the current bowl alignment was set was perceived as a stronger conference and thus received better bowls and matchups.

2020 everything will be reset and the AAC will play more G5 opponents and their bowl record will improve.

Good point, explains why the horrible CUSA was so successful in the bowls, ... they had the weakest of all opponents.

CUSA played more difficult games on average according to Massey. Not gonna go in and add up the exact means.

Average opponent rankings for bowls.

AAC 53.6 (includes #9 LSU)
CUSA 61
MAC 62.5
MWC 63.6
SB 71.4

Sent from my SM-G900T using Tapatalk

That would be accurate, our opponents were from the MAC and CUSA.