ASOR: "ESPN’s Football Power Index has ranked Liberty as #114 out of 130 FBS programs entering the 2019 season"
ASOR: "The FPI projection has Liberty winning 5.6 games in 2019, despite having a greater than 50% chance of winning 7 games."
(07-08-2019 03:43 PM)WesternSkillet Wrote: ASOR: "ESPN’s Football Power Index has ranked Liberty as #114 out of 130 FBS programs entering the 2019 season"
ASOR: "The FPI projection has Liberty winning 5.6 games in 2019, despite having a greater than 50% chance of winning 7 games."
...I'm sory, but how do you give us a greater than 50% chance to win in seven games yet have us under 6? I'm saying some bias helped adjust that projected win total.
(07-08-2019 03:43 PM)WesternSkillet Wrote: ASOR: "ESPN’s Football Power Index has ranked Liberty as #114 out of 130 FBS programs entering the 2019 season"
ASOR: "The FPI projection has Liberty winning 5.6 games in 2019, despite having a greater than 50% chance of winning 7 games."
...I'm sory, but how do you give us a greater than 50% chance to win in seven games yet have us under 6? I'm saying some bias helped adjust that projected win total.
I don't know how they got their win total and it doesn't make sense on the surface. Maybe there are more factors over a season than on a per game basis. A new coaching staff may take awhile to get their system implemented or our depth may not last over a full season.
As Liberty is a product of ESPN's media offering, it is not in their best interest to make us look weak or unappealing. Look at how they treat the SEC: when a top team gets upset by a lesser SEC team, they say how underrated the lesser team was but any other conference (except the ACC) they say how overrated the loser was.
(07-08-2019 03:43 PM)WesternSkillet Wrote: ASOR: "ESPN’s Football Power Index has ranked Liberty as #114 out of 130 FBS programs entering the 2019 season"
ASOR: "The FPI projection has Liberty winning 5.6 games in 2019, despite having a greater than 50% chance of winning 7 games."
...I'm sory, but how do you give us a greater than 50% chance to win in seven games yet have us under 6? I'm saying some bias helped adjust that projected win total.
I don't know how they got their win total and it doesn't make sense on the surface. Maybe there are more factors over a season than on a per game basis. A new coaching staff may take awhile to get their system implemented or our depth may not last over a full season.
I'm personally guessing that LU will win 7 games in 2019. I guessed 4 wins for the 2018 team and was pleasantly surprised by the 6-6 record. LU is still upgrading the overall team talent to FBS level. I can see depth as a partial issue but it did not stop this team from winning 6 games last year and this 2019 team has more FBS talent.
The 2019 team is going through adjustments from the coaching change. On the other hand, this coaching staff looks much better, on paper, compared to the previous staff.
(07-08-2019 03:43 PM)WesternSkillet Wrote: ASOR: "ESPN’s Football Power Index has ranked Liberty as #114 out of 130 FBS programs entering the 2019 season"
ASOR: "The FPI projection has Liberty winning 5.6 games in 2019, despite having a greater than 50% chance of winning 7 games."
...I'm sory, but how do you give us a greater than 50% chance to win in seven games yet have us under 6? I'm saying some bias helped adjust that projected win total.
I don't know how they got their win total and it doesn't make sense on the surface. Maybe there are more factors over a season than on a per game basis. A new coaching staff may take awhile to get their system implemented or our depth may not last over a full season.
I'm personally guessing that LU will win 7 games in 2019. I guessed 4 wins for the 2018 team and was pleasantly surprised by the 6-6 record. LU is still upgrading the overall team talent to FBS level. I can see depth as a partial issue but it did not stop this team from winning 6 games last year and this 2019 team has more FBS talent.
The 2019 team is going through adjustments from the coaching change. On the other hand, this coaching staff looks much better, on paper, compared to the previous staff.
2019 Schedule Guess…
Win
Hampton
New Mexico
@ New Mexico State
Maine
New Mexico State
(07-08-2019 03:43 PM)WesternSkillet Wrote: ASOR: "ESPN’s Football Power Index has ranked Liberty as #114 out of 130 FBS programs entering the 2019 season"
ASOR: "The FPI projection has Liberty winning 5.6 games in 2019, despite having a greater than 50% chance of winning 7 games."
...I'm sory, but how do you give us a greater than 50% chance to win in seven games yet have us under 6? I'm saying some bias helped adjust that projected win total.
I don't know how they got their win total and it doesn't make sense on the surface. Maybe there are more factors over a season than on a per game basis. A new coaching staff may take awhile to get their system implemented or our depth may not last over a full season.
I'm personally guessing that LU will win 7 games in 2019. I guessed 4 wins for the 2018 team and was pleasantly surprised by the 6-6 record. LU is still upgrading the overall team talent to FBS level. I can see depth as a partial issue but it did not stop this team from winning 6 games last year and this 2019 team has more FBS talent.
The 2019 team is going through adjustments from the coaching change. On the other hand, this coaching staff looks much better, on paper, compared to the previous staff.
2019 Schedule Guess…
Win
Hampton
New Mexico
@ New Mexico State
Maine
New Mexico State
Loss
Syracuse
@ BYU
@ Virginia
Unknown
@ Louisiana
Buffalo
@ Rutgers
@ Umass
I like it
I'd say win against Hampton, Maine (close game), New Mexico, New Mexico State twice (close at their place), UMass, & 2 of 3 against Louisiana, Buffalo, & Rutgers
Lose against Cuse & UVA
Toss up for BYU & 3rd of 3 in previous 2 of 3 list
(07-19-2019 10:15 AM)WesternSkillet Wrote: Odds of Liberty Victory According To ASOR 2019 Preview Articles.
Syracuse 8 percent
Louisiana 30 percent
Buffalo 40 percent
Hampton 95 percent
New Mexico 59 percent
at New Mexico St. 54 percent
Maine 68 percent
Rutgers 41 percent
UMass 58 percent
BYU 10 percent
Virginia 8 percent
New Mexico St. 65 percent
6-6 2019 early odds.
Interesting that we have a higher chance of beating Rutgers at their place than beating Buffalo on our turf. Wonder if that was just coincidental/oversight, or purposeful.
"we’re in the process of working on a new bowl agreement for the new bowl cycle in 2020 through 2025 and we think we’ll get a robust number of bowl tie-ins through that."
“We’ve had just some preliminary discussions with UConn and they’re still working out their arraignment with the AAC and the Big East. That would be a team we would like to play on a regular basis.”
"we’re in the process of working on a new bowl agreement for the new bowl cycle in 2020 through 2025 and we think we’ll get a robust number of bowl tie-ins through that."
“We’ve had just some preliminary discussions with UConn and they’re still working out their arraignment with the AAC and the Big East. That would be a team we would like to play on a regular basis.”
Super excited that we could be hearing about future bowl tie-ins before this season starts!
"we’re in the process of working on a new bowl agreement for the new bowl cycle in 2020 through 2025 and we think we’ll get a robust number of bowl tie-ins through that."
“We’ve had just some preliminary discussions with UConn and they’re still working out their arraignment with the AAC and the Big East. That would be a team we would like to play on a regular basis.”
Super excited that we could be hearing about future bowl tie-ins before this season starts!
Also interesting to hear about UConn & ND
Whenever that game against ND occurs, I wonder if someone will sell t-shirts that states " Catholics vs. Baptists" on them?
"we’re in the process of working on a new bowl agreement for the new bowl cycle in 2020 through 2025 and we think we’ll get a robust number of bowl tie-ins through that."
“We’ve had just some preliminary discussions with UConn and they’re still working out their arraignment with the AAC and the Big East. That would be a team we would like to play on a regular basis.”
I read this earlier and thought it was good. A few thoughts:
I would be surprised if Notre Dame scheduled us in football. We don't offer them anything they can't get from somewhere else. They already get great east coast exposure, especially in Virginia. Their schedule is pretty full with 5 ACC games, Southern Cal, Stanford, and Navy annually and often Army (if not also annually).
Playing UConn annually is good with me. Despite their lack of football success, they still have a brand name. I just wish they were in a geographically diverse location away from UMass. Other than needing late season home games, I don't see a reason for both on the schedule.
I hope our new Liberty Arena is expandable past the 4,000 mentioned in the article. I love building a court/field/stadium/etc. with a designed home field advantage. I hope we grow our attendance and program to fill the new arena. I know a P5/Big East invite is far off but 4,000 attendance would be one of the lowest of each of those conferences.
I hope we have better odds than 68% at beating an FCS at home.
Maine was a very good FCS team last year. They finished the season ranked 14 (FCS coaching). They won their game against FBS Western Kentucky last year and played a competitive game against cmu. If Maine's QB didn't get injured early in that game, Maine may have had 2 FBS wins in 2018.
"Maine at Liberty
The Black Bears were an FCS playoff semifinalist last season while the Flames posted a 6-6 record in their second season of FBS football. Maine had the best rushing defense in all of FCS last year, allowing just 79.2 yards per-game on the ground. On offense, the Black Bears return their starting quarterback, four offensive lineman and gain a solid running back in Buffalo transfer Emmanuel Reed. Liberty will be adjusting to new schemes from first-year head coach Hugh Freeze."
