(05-20-2018 01:22 PM)warhawk09 Wrote: (05-20-2018 01:11 PM)BirdofParadise Wrote: (05-20-2018 11:27 AM)Artemis Silver Bow Wrote: Think we may have 2 teams this years
Coastal
Troy
3 if some of the beside Troy or Coastal wins the Sunbelt tournament
If the Cajuns get to the finals, beating Troy twice in the process, they'll move ahead of the Trojans in the pecking order.
But that's a pretty tall task.
Finishing fifth in the league might be hard for the Cajuns to overcome. I believe it would take an 0-2 for Troy to get passed in the league. A second place finish and series win at the Cajuns still matters more than straight RPI.
5th in the league is small potatoes when you consider what the committee would look at. The Cajuns RPI is 54, just outside of what is considered to be the minimum.
If the Cajuns should go through and get to the finals unbeaten (and I think that's the ONLY way they have a shot), then the comparisons begin.
Cajuns vs Troy:
Head to Head: Cajuns 3-2
RPI: Pretty close. Troy is 11 slots better right now
NC SOS: LA: 3, TROY: 50
OVERALL SOS: LA: 48 Troy 91
Record vs. Top 50 teams: LA: 10-8, Troy 4-10
Record vs. Top 100 teams: LA 19-17, Troy 10-17
The committee could penalize the Cajuns for their conference finish, but these numbers help overcome that.
One thing is certain: Under my scenario, if it comes down to Troy and the Cajuns to represent the Sun Belt as the second team, it won't be all that close.