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Last regional projections before the Sunbelt tournament!
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Artemis Silver Bow Offline
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Question Last regional projections before the Sunbelt tournament!
Think we may have 2 teams this years

Coastal
Troy

3 if some of the beside Troy or Coastal wins the Sunbelt tournament
05-20-2018 11:27 AM
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warhawk09 Offline
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RE: Last regional projections before the Sunbelt tournament!
Might be tough to get three in
05-20-2018 12:46 PM
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BirdofParadise Offline
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RE: Last regional projections before the Sunbelt tournament!
(05-20-2018 11:27 AM)Artemis Silver Bow Wrote:  Think we may have 2 teams this years

Coastal
Troy

3 if some of the beside Troy or Coastal wins the Sunbelt tournament

If the Cajuns get to the finals, beating Troy twice in the process, they'll move ahead of the Trojans in the pecking order.

But that's a pretty tall task.
05-20-2018 01:11 PM
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warhawk09 Offline
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RE: Last regional projections before the Sunbelt tournament!
(05-20-2018 01:11 PM)BirdofParadise Wrote:  
(05-20-2018 11:27 AM)Artemis Silver Bow Wrote:  Think we may have 2 teams this years

Coastal
Troy

3 if some of the beside Troy or Coastal wins the Sunbelt tournament

If the Cajuns get to the finals, beating Troy twice in the process, they'll move ahead of the Trojans in the pecking order.

But that's a pretty tall task.

Finishing fifth in the league might be hard for the Cajuns to overcome. I believe it would take an 0-2 for Troy to get passed in the league. A second place finish and series win at the Cajuns still matters more than straight RPI.
05-20-2018 01:22 PM
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chiefsfan Offline
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RE: Last regional projections before the Sunbelt tournament!
(05-20-2018 11:27 AM)Artemis Silver Bow Wrote:  Think we may have 2 teams this years

Coastal
Troy

3 if some of the beside Troy or Coastal wins the Sunbelt tournament

Troy is not guaranteed a bid. They are in very good shape, but they can't afford a 2 and Q.

Getting 3 teams depends on how Troy did. If Troy makes the finals only to lose, they should be good. But If Troy has a bad tournament, I think they easily could get left out.
05-20-2018 01:24 PM
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Atlanta Trojan Online
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RE: Last regional projections before the Sunbelt tournament!
(05-20-2018 01:24 PM)chiefsfan Wrote:  
(05-20-2018 11:27 AM)Artemis Silver Bow Wrote:  Think we may have 2 teams this years

Coastal
Troy

3 if some of the beside Troy or Coastal wins the Sunbelt tournament

Troy is not guaranteed a bid. They are in very good shape, but they can't afford a 2 and Q.

Getting 3 teams depends on how Troy did. If Troy makes the finals only to lose, they should be good. But If Troy has a bad tournament, I think they easily could get left out.

Yep.
05-20-2018 01:25 PM
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CardinalBlackTrojan Offline
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RE: Last regional projections before the Sunbelt tournament!
No one in their right mind can comfortably say Troy gets an at-large bid. If Troy goes 0-2, they're done for the season. I think if Troy even goes 1-2, they're done.

If Troy gets two wins in the SBC Tournament, then that helps things.
05-20-2018 01:42 PM
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Atlanta Trojan Online
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RE: Last regional projections before the Sunbelt tournament!
Would be a shame if we didn’t make a regional tho. We are a very good team just coastal is coastal
05-20-2018 01:45 PM
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chiefsfan Offline
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RE: Last regional projections before the Sunbelt tournament!
(05-20-2018 01:42 PM)CardinalBlackTrojan Wrote:  No one in their right mind can comfortably say Troy gets an at-large bid. If Troy goes 0-2, they're done for the season. I think if Troy even goes 1-2, they're done.

If Troy gets two wins in the SBC Tournament, then that helps things.

I think the bracket helps Troy a bit. They had the 2nd best record, but rather than getting the play in team, they get a decent Texas State team that's not going to kill their RPI.

Georgia State and Arkansas State both have really low RPI's. if either of them get through to the DE Portion, they could hurt the RPI's of the opponents at that stage.

.
05-20-2018 03:03 PM
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GaSoEagle Offline
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RE: Last regional projections before the Sunbelt tournament!
I want 3 in — Coastal Troy and a 3rd team winning the tourney— I vote for the Eagles to win the tourney. haha
05-21-2018 11:52 AM
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chiefsfan Offline
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RE: Last regional projections before the Sunbelt tournament!
D1 baseball has only coastal in. Cajuns first 5 out. Troy nowhere to be seen
05-21-2018 08:39 PM
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warhawk09 Offline
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RE: Last regional projections before the Sunbelt tournament!
(05-21-2018 08:39 PM)chiefsfan Wrote:  D1 baseball has only coastal in. Cajuns first 5 out. Troy nowhere to be seen

You don’t read so well.
05-21-2018 08:40 PM
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chiefsfan Offline
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RE: Last regional projections before the Sunbelt tournament!
(05-21-2018 08:40 PM)warhawk09 Wrote:  
(05-21-2018 08:39 PM)chiefsfan Wrote:  D1 baseball has only coastal in. Cajuns first 5 out. Troy nowhere to be seen

You don’t read so well.

Sorry, I was going to by what was said on radio here. Apparently the guy was so frustrated that there was only 1 team in the field, he sort of glossed over Troy sitting in the first 5 out as well.
05-21-2018 10:23 PM
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BirdofParadise Offline
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RE: Last regional projections before the Sunbelt tournament!
(05-20-2018 01:22 PM)warhawk09 Wrote:  
(05-20-2018 01:11 PM)BirdofParadise Wrote:  
(05-20-2018 11:27 AM)Artemis Silver Bow Wrote:  Think we may have 2 teams this years

Coastal
Troy

3 if some of the beside Troy or Coastal wins the Sunbelt tournament

If the Cajuns get to the finals, beating Troy twice in the process, they'll move ahead of the Trojans in the pecking order.

But that's a pretty tall task.

Finishing fifth in the league might be hard for the Cajuns to overcome. I believe it would take an 0-2 for Troy to get passed in the league. A second place finish and series win at the Cajuns still matters more than straight RPI.

5th in the league is small potatoes when you consider what the committee would look at. The Cajuns RPI is 54, just outside of what is considered to be the minimum.

If the Cajuns should go through and get to the finals unbeaten (and I think that's the ONLY way they have a shot), then the comparisons begin.

Cajuns vs Troy:
Head to Head: Cajuns 3-2
RPI: Pretty close. Troy is 11 slots better right now
NC SOS: LA: 3, TROY: 50
OVERALL SOS: LA: 48 Troy 91
Record vs. Top 50 teams: LA: 10-8, Troy 4-10
Record vs. Top 100 teams: LA 19-17, Troy 10-17

The committee could penalize the Cajuns for their conference finish, but these numbers help overcome that.

One thing is certain: Under my scenario, if it comes down to Troy and the Cajuns to represent the Sun Belt as the second team, it won't be all that close.
(This post was last modified: 05-22-2018 08:47 AM by BirdofParadise.)
05-22-2018 08:45 AM
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Saint3333 Offline
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RE: Last regional projections before the Sunbelt tournament!
ULL certainly looks like a tournament team with those records against top 50 and 100 teams. Hard to imagine ULL's RPI isn't higher than Troy's at first glance.

They probably should have canceled the Ark St. and Texas St. series to help those guys out.
05-22-2018 09:31 AM
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CajunAmos Offline
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RE: Last regional projections before the Sunbelt tournament!
(05-22-2018 09:31 AM)Saint3333 Wrote:  ULL certainly looks like a tournament team with those records against top 50 and 100 teams. Hard to imagine ULL's RPI isn't higher than Troy's at first glance.

They probably should have canceled the Ark St. and Texas St. series to help those guys out.

The Texas State series I think hurt more as it was last. A sweep there or even a series win has the Cajuns at worst in the lower 50's (50-53). I still think they'd be in the same situation with regard to wins needed in the tournament but it would have been a little better margin for error. Our first half of the season put us in the situation where we are right now. We performed much better against high ranked OOC teams than we did against the early conference teams where we should have been much more competitive. When you hit 0.200 as a team and don't get any hits with runner in scoring position it's tough to win games. We'll have to see if we can continue the trend of better hitting or not.
05-22-2018 10:53 AM
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