(03-26-2018 09:58 PM)AllTideUp Wrote: ...I read what you both said and the notion that a road game is more difficult than any neutral site game is an opinion. The level of competition is what determines the difficulty. Playing Florida State in Atlanta was much more difficult last season than Vanderbilt on the road. For that matter, playing a neutral site game is more difficult than playing a home game so is it really an empirical demonstration of quality to schedule a home and home? Only one of the two games is "on the road."
Comparing FSU to Vanderbilt is a straw-man argument. Let's look at the last 10 years (wherein the road opponents are nearly all SEC, so therefore balanced home/away):
Year Loss(es)
2017 at Auburn (road)
2016 Clemson (at Tampa)
2015 Ole Miss (home)
2014 at Ole Miss (road)
---- Ohio State (at New Orleans)
2013 at Auburn (road)
---- Oklahoma (at New Orleans)
2012 Texas A&M (home)
2011 LSU (home)
2010 at S Carolina (road)
---- at LSU (road)
---- Auburn (home)
2009 (none)
2008 Florida (at Atlanta)
---- Utah (at New Orleans)
Last 10 years, Alabama has
4 losses at home (in 70 home games, or 5.7%)
5 losses on the road (in 41 away games, or 12.2%)
5 losses at neutral sites (in 27 games, or 18.5%)
8-0 in the regular season, under conditions that Alabama controls (i.e. 1st game of the season, choose the opponent, etc.)
14-5 in the post-season, out of Alabama's control, vs. good competition. This is a different animal, so let's put these aside. Obviously Bama is good or they wouldn't put up such gaudy numbers... but don't discount the advantage of having the opposition come to you!
Based on regular season games, the Tide are more than TWICE as likely to lose on the road versus at home. That's not an opinion, it's a fact - and it holds for nearly every P5 team, not just Bama. Road games ARE tougher, given the same level of competition both home and away (which is what we are talking about - home and home SERIES).