(10-21-2017 06:48 PM)Bob Wickersham Wrote: (10-21-2017 05:25 PM)NotAlexGillett Wrote: Creighton's done a bad job at getting his team prepared for a guy who just got a contract extension + raise over the summer. Good teams don't lose five games in a row by one possession.
Very true, yet we have people here who will make excuses about tough schedules. A well prepared coach could have this team undefeated or at worst, with one loss. This is a unique team in the sense that I could envision them winning every remaining game as easy as I could see them losing every game.
I use statistical metaphors or models and like to use playing blackjack (which are ALMOST 50 - 50 propositions, technically player 48% and the 'house' 52%.).
HOWEVER, who believes that Kentucky was a 50 - 50 game? Do you say it was a 50 - 50 game because it could have gone either way? Anyone 3 months ago give us an equal chance in that game???? Did any rating services have us anywhere near Ky in their rankings? KY was coming off a bowl game and is no slouch. Going by memory I believe KY might have been a 14 point favorite.
Ditto with Toledo. Why should we be a 50 - 50 proposition against the top team in the MAC West and ON THE ROAD? Are we in the same class as Toledo????
Quite frankly, we OVER performed in some game, probably Rutgers, probably Kentucky, probably Toledo, and maybe more.
I think most of us would have been happy with a 3 - 4 record to start the season with wins over Charlotte, Rutgers (hopefully), and either Ohio OR Army OR WMU. The assumption is that 3 or 4 more wins would come from the back end of the season.
Some, including myself, expected a 5 - 7 record because of a very unfavorable schedule. Once we got beyond Rutgers the next 5 teams should all be going bowling. Matter of fact, of our opponents, KY and WMU need one win to go bowl while Ohio, Toledo and Army already have 6 wins. Pretty impressive for those schools. [Even lowly Rutgers has 2 B1G wins so far this year.]
Charlotte was the only weak school we've played.