(09-11-2017 01:14 PM)riburn3 Wrote: In the current climate, it's probably a smart move if your athletics department isn't dependent on football revenues to function . I'm sure average fans are much more interested in you all playing your traditional rivals in the Big Sky versus playing a bunch of teams they've never heard of in the Southeast (and gate revenue might actually improve with said rivals coming every other week). Plus, it's not like FCS programs still can't schedule money games. I think Idaho's decision to go down to FCS is a smart one.
On the flip side I believe the major reason NMSU decided to stick around as an independent is because their historic rivals remain FBS teams, and they have home and home series locked up with them until the end of time, making scheduling that much easier. I know if UNM and UTEP were to decide to drop down to FCS, NMSU would in a heartbeat.
If anything though, the move might just be temporary if your school wants it to be. A big shake up is looming several years down the road in 2023 when P5 TV contracts are up for renewal, and it will be the larger G5 schools that get plucked away, opening up room in conferences like the MWC and CUSA. Remember, if UAB could completely dismantle its football program and start it again from scratch, Idaho can come back up.
Idaho's historic rivals are WSU, Boise, and Montana. 2 of the three play FBS ball. Yeah NMSU has UNM and UTEP to fall back on. But if you look at what Idaho COULD have done had they not announced that they were giving up a year and a half ago their 2018 schedule would have been:
@ Florida (still scheduled)
@ Fresno State (still scheduled)
@ Northern Illinois (rescheduled after the FCS drop was announced)
vs. Wyoming (game removed after FCS drop was announced)
@ or vs. NMSU (guaranteed collaboration between the two schools)
@ or vs. Liberty (extremely likely)
@ or vs. UMass (likely)
vs. FCS opponent (extremely likely)
vs. Nevada (likely a return trip from the series that was cancelled in 2017 after the FCS drop was announced)
@ BYU (not as likely as those list above, but a good possibility)
Now you're looking at 2-3 games that need scheduled. It's likely a Sun Belt team or two would have added Idaho like they did NMSU. Then you have the possibility of playing teams twice. If we're on NMSU's schedule for instance it removes Liberty once, TSU, Georgia Southern, or ULL from their schedule and allows Idaho to pick up a game.
Then in the future you're looking at an FCS team, NMSU, UMass, and Liberty likely every year. WSU, and BYU every other year most likely plus Idaho already has 2 FBS games scheduled every year for the next 5 years not counting teams like SJSU and Wyoming who pulled out of a series. That's 7-8 a year that were likely good to go for the next 5 years if they wanted it including 2 big money games most years.
I'd disagree with you about Idaho coming back anytime soon. Once they drop down they will be there until a major shift like the P5 breaking away from the G5 completely occurs. That's 10-15 years out IMO.