(09-28-2016 01:37 PM)JRsec Wrote: Now if you assume that the it isn't likely that any conference lands both Oklahoma and Texas then the SEC can logically hope to land one of them. The question then becomes who else do we take. It sure as crap isn't going to be West Virginia who tugs us down from all of our means including attendance. If the conference penchant for wanting academic upgrades is to be followed it will either be (all from the Big 12) and assuming that team #1 selected is either OU or UT, Kansas, Iowa State, or T.C.U./O.S.U. T.C.U. isn't needed if #1 is either OU or UT. O.S.U. may be required for OU but isn't wanted on its own. Between I.S.U. and Kansas we have Missouri's interest to consider and ESPN's emphasis in finishing realignment will likely be the restoration of split rivalries. That favors Kansas. Since OU will insist on OU and since Texas is grumbling about placement for minor sports, I'm leaning toward Texas and Kansas as a possible pairing for the SEC. OU's Boren will select the Big 10 & Nebraska if he can't get OSU in anywhere.
But whether I'm wrong or right about this the SEC will land either Texas or Oklahoma or we won't expand. If we land one then Kansas has a good shot.
Cincinnati is not AAU, is below the mean in attendance and athletic spending, and doesn't offer all the requisite sports. Neither did W.V.U. Iowa State would have to add baseball back. But they don't have a natural tie in with the SEC unless Kansas is here and since Kansas would be taking that slot, oh well. If the choice is OU you may as well bet OSU will be the tag-along. So if the SEC wants DFW and a new market Texas and Kansas has appeal.
There was actually an internet rumor a few months back that proclaimed Texas and Kansas were the top targets.
The SEC makes all the sense in the world for Texas. Not sure their ego will allow it, but who knows.
Kansas is a solid addition. They multiply our basketball content immensely. They along with Kentucky would be the only true basketball schools in the league. I know basketball makes up a minority of the revenue, but that's several months out of the year in which the SEC lags in exposure.
It may be true that some of our schools are capable of fielding greater basketball programs, but I honestly don't expect that to happen. I know the league has focused on it the last couple of years and there have certainly been some upgrades when it comes to coaching, but iron sharpens iron. With that said, it's hard for fans to get excited when they are not watching excellent competition. The thing that a Kentucky gives us is an excellent competitor for fans to get excited about when their team gets matched up.
We obviously don't have very many of those, but Kansas would be another. Honestly, I'd feel better about having a couple more in addition to that, but that's unlikely.
My favorite scenario involving solely Big 12 schools is this...Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, and Iowa State. Cecil Hurt once told me that the SEC would bide its time and pick apart the Big 12. So are those 4 likely? Maybe not, but I don't think it's outside the realm of possibility.
You could throw in Texas Tech and Oklahoma State for political reasons and I think the alignment still works.
West: Texas, Texas Tech, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Kansas
Central: Texas A&M, LSU, Arkansas, Missouri, Iowa State
South: Ole Miss, Mississippi State, Alabama, Tennessee, Vanderbilt
East: Auburn, Florida, Georgia, South Carolina, Kentucky
Think of this in terms of broadcast rights and time slots...
East Coast league...ACC
Southern/Midwestern league...SEC
Midwestern/Eastern league...Big Ten
Western league...PAC
Now there are numerous decent brands across the country that are good enough to form the core of 2 additional leagues that could overlap the other time zones and fill out broadcast schedules.
Western/Central league...
San Diego State, Fresno State, UNLV, BYU, Boise State, Colorado State, Air Force, New Mexico, TCU, Baylor, Houston, Kansas State
Eastern/Southern league...
UCF, USF, Tulane, SMU, Rice, Memphis, Cincinnati, West Virginia, East Carolina, Navy, Temple, UConn
If ESPN were to own the majority share of the P4 and essentially all of the latter 2 then they would pretty much have all the content that any decent number of people in this country are interested in watching.