(02-12-2016 08:21 AM)TribeInTheBurg Wrote: (02-12-2016 07:54 AM)Tribe4Life Wrote: Match ups will be key in Bmore, but we still have a great shot as frustrating as yesterday was. It'd be nice to have both UNCW and Hofstra on the other side of the bracket, but we shall see. It might be us and Hofstra as the 2/3 in some order and we will have to win a tough semi game. The good news there is that Hofstra will have had to play the night before.
Unfortunately, unless Hofstra falters down the stretch, they're likely to be in the 2/3 spot. At this point, UNCW all but has the top seed locked up, and will definitely have it if they beat us next week. That puts those two teams on opposite sides of the bracket and means we'll probably have to beat them both to cut the nets down. On the other hand, both of those teams are hoping we end up on the other side of the bracket for the same reasons. JMU is good, Towson is good, NE is good, but I think there's a top 3 and a next 3.
Remaining schedule for the teams who are 9-4 in the CAA:
Hofstra: at Delaware, Towson, Northeastern, at UNC Wilmington, and College of Charleston. I would think Hofstra would be favored for 4 of those, with the exception being at UNC Wilmington.
William & Mary: at Towson, UNC Wilmington, Drexel, at Elon, and at James Madison. Drexel is the only easy game there. I could see the other four games all have betting lines of 5 points or fewer. I think your remaining schedule is harder than Hofstra's.
James Madison: at UNC Wilmington, Northeastern, Delaware, at Towson, and William & Mary.
William & Mary at James Madison will be big. If William & Mary loses, they will have a head-to-head split with James Madison, but would come out last in a three-way tiebreaker with James Madison and Hofstra. In that case, head-to-head would be 3-1 for James Madison, 2-2 for Hofstra, and 1-3 for William & Mary. If William & Mary finish in a two-way tie with James Madison with a head-to-head split, the tiebreakers would be record vs. first, record vs. second, and so on, and William & Mary would lose a record vs. Hofstra tiebreaker.