(04-09-2014 02:35 PM)Gravy Owl Wrote: (04-09-2014 10:23 AM)Caelligh Wrote: I say we set our standards higher: Big 12, at a minimum. Maybe we don't have the records or attendance in football and basketball to get in right now, but we can already show progress in making the investments needed to get there. The Big 12 geographic footprint, level of competition, etc. are more attractive than what the AAC offers, and the Big 12 does not include a Houston-area school in its membership.
Ultimately, yes, but I expect the Big 12 to look much more favorably on a school from the top of the AAC than one from the top of C-USA or the Sun Belt.
I don't agree with this, because Rice has some intrinsic qualities as a university that still make it more attractive than, say, UH or UCF. All else being equal, universities are going to choose to athletically associate with the more distinguished schools, especially schools with deeper pockets. Assuming Rice gets its ship in order, Rice can put together an attractive case for why its academics, Houston location, and long historical tradition in D1 make it more appealing than commuter schools like UH and UCF. Rice has to get its athletics act together, but Rice's academic reputation still matters for something. TCU's admission into the Big 12 was based on a personal relationship between CDC and DeLoss Dodds. Rice can still get a foot in the door as a distinguished academic school, but it has to then offer an organized and promising athletics program.
Shot-calling conferences like the PAC-12, Big Ten, and SEC are going to demand that any new entrant be distinguished academically, either as a flagship public university or a good private school. Boise State and Fresno State will never get into the PAC-12. I just don't see the PAC-12, Big Ten, or SEC bringing in any commuter schools, because they can afford to be very choosy. The big conferences consider Rice as disorganized athletically, but if Rice can get its act together, Rice would offer some appeal, especially with the Houston market. It's the more iffy conferences like the AAC that have to micro-manage TV market-share, etc. The big boy conferences still think they can shape the TV market.
PS: I think Rice should focus its attention on getting into a P5 conference, where the big money is, rather than worrying about positioning itself with the AAC and MWC, etc. Rice should look for favorably match-ups within the non-P5 (ie, Texas schools and schools that are easy to travel to, even by flying), but the prize is definitely P5 admittance.