RE: Realignment End Game Scenarios:
Well, lets try a new scenario. In this one DeLoss Dodds and Mack Brown retire at the end of the season and in January a new Texas administration faces some tough issues for the future. Do they go to the PAC where it is tough for their fans to follow (and where no network really owns a percentage of the PACN)? Do they go to the Big 10 where it is just as tough for their fans to follow? Do they stay in Big 12 with just 10 where they really only have 2 peer schools (Oklahoma and Kansas)? Do they stay in the Big 12 with two new weaker additions? Or do they move to the only conference that can offer a division of schools they have long considered to be rivals?
Texas and Oklahoma in the SEC added to Arkansas, Texas A&M, Missouri, and L.S.U. provides each with a very strong schedule to sell. And all of those schools are in a very reasonable distance for all sports travel. So, lets play with this pipe dream for a second and think about what possibilities could open up with such a move.
First, the Big 12 would have to place 6 or more of their other teams for this to work. Oklahoma State and Texas Tech would need profitable and competitive options. Sure the PAC might try to get one or two of these at best, but not enough to make it happen without the two prizes. They aren't academically qualified for the Big 10. So what now? Where is there room or interest enough to help dissolve the Big 12?
An SEC with Texas, Oklahoma, Florida, Vanderbilt, Missouri, and Texas A&M would be a lot more alluring for North Carolina, Duke, Virginia, and Georgia Tech. What if those four could extricate themselves from the ACC without economically damaging the remaining schools. Of those 4 none of them have a world beating football program. So ESPN could actually up their contract to the remaining ACC schools by adding the remaining Big 12 schools to the remaining ACC schools. If there are no monetary losses for the duration of the ACC contract there would be no real damages due to the departures.
Let's assume that Delany takes Kansas, and three of (Syracuse, B.C., UConn, Notre Dame, Pittsburgh, and Iowa State) to get to 18. What would the remaining ACC look like:
North: Conn., Cincinnati, Louisville, Pittsburgh, Virginia T., W. Virginia
South: Clemson, F.S.U., Miami, N.C. State, S. Florida, Wake Forest
West: Baylor, Iowa St., Kansas St., Oklahoma St., T.C.U., Texas Tech
Or,
North: Connecticut, Cincinnati, Louisville, Pittsburgh, West Virginia
East: Clemson, Miami, N.C. State, Virginia Tech, Wake Forest
South: Baylor, Central Florida, Florida State, South Florida, Tulane
West: Iowa St., Kansas St., Oklahoma St., T.C.U., and Texas Tech
So with a Big 10 of:
East: Bos. College, Maryland, Notre Dame, Penn St., Rutgers, Syracuse
Central: Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Michigan St., Northwestern, Purdue
West: Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Nebraska, Ohio State, Wisconsin
We now have a Big 10 of 18, an SEC and ACC of 20 each, and a PAC of 12. That's 70 including Connecticut, Cincinnati, South Florida, Tulane, and Central Florida. You could substitute Houston or S.M.U. for either C. Florida or S. Florida, or Tulane and the results would still be comparable.
Our SEC would then look like this:
North: Duke, Kentucky, North Carolina, South Carolina, Virginia
East: Auburn, Florida, Georgia, Georgia Tech, Vanderbilt
South: Alabama, L.S.U., Mississippi, Mississippi State, Tennessee
West: Arkansas, Missouri, Oklahoma, Texas, Texas A&M
The goals of realignment for the SEC are fairly straightforward: 1. Markets, 2. Enhance Academics for the sake of our version of the CIC, 3. Flagship Universities, 4. Enhance Basketball if possible.
The aforementioned arrangement violates none of these goals with the possible exception of Georgia Tech who is an academic asset. There are suitable replacements for Georgia Tech, but none that fit as well geographically or culturally.
We would have all of Texas without question, all of North Carolina, a viable equal share of Virginia, 9 AAU members, and two more name brand basketball programs and 4 more programs that play basketball at least as well as the middle of the pack in the SEC.
ESPN would have top content in the SEC and compelling football with good basketball in the new ACC with a larger footprint. The two networks could easily be bundled throughout the Southeast and Southwest and sold separately nationally. The ACC should be able to get a bump over what they receive now.
By approaching the problem this way the SEC is maximized in every way, the Big 12 dissolved, and the ACC given a raise and a network.
Like I said a pipe dream, but a great one to shoot for.
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