(09-01-2016 11:17 PM)arkstfan Wrote: (09-01-2016 08:09 PM)JMU2004 Wrote: EMU will be saved by geography. Either they drop football altogether, or they stay FBS. There is no FCS conference that will save EMU money.
The NMSU scenario.
New Mexico State is so far away from Big Sky and Southland schools that FCS isn't viable.
I can't see any way FCS works for EMU unless it is non-scholie football.
In the hypothetical scenario that EMU drops to FCS in football, the MAC could take a MVC team ... Wichita State, Northern Iowa or Illinois State being the most likely. That would free up a spot in the MVC for EMU (Youngstown State is in the league for football, so not like EMU would be completely out on an island like Idaho or New Mexico State).
Actually, since we are talking about crazy scenarios. How about giving Northern Illinois the boot, since gauging the fans who post on these sites, they seem to already think they are in the AAC. Then, replacing them with Wichita State.
After that, we trade EMU and Kent State for Northern Iowa and Illinois State.
The "new" MAC:
East: Buffalo, Akron, Ohio, Miami, Toledo, Bowling Green
West: Central Michigan, Western Michigan, Ball State, Illinois State, Wichita State, Northern Iowa
Football, the power then shifts to the East, but the MAC rids itself of some duplication in Ohio and Michigan, and still retains a presence in Illinois.
In basketball, the West moves to the top with the MVC additions. But the East would still have its "Big 3" in Akron, Ohio and Buffalo. Plus, Toledo seems to be on the upswing and maybe Miami gets its **** back together. To me, that is easily a 2-3 bid league. ... And maybe strong enough to land some sort of national TV deal that sees a payment. That would make up for losing NIU in football.
And in football, I doubt losing NIU (especially if the league retains a presence in Illinois), would affect the TV deal. In fact, ESPN would probably like getting rid of the duplication in Cleveland and getting rid of a third team in Michigan, and replacing them with schools who, despite smaller populations, at least get the league into new areas.
For the MVC, getting Kent State (which has announced it is going to focus on basketball) and EMU (another school that has basketball potential ... and according to a couple of fans on here, should be coming up in the top 70 overall on this 144 countdown we've been tracking) isn't a horrible consolation, especially since it would get them into the talent-rich basketball markets of Cleveland/Akron/Canton and Detroit. If they can add another solid basketball school to replace the loss of Wichita State, it obviously won't be what it is now, but it still could patch together a 10-team league that would be at least on par with the current MAC.
More I think about it, it's not that far-fetched... OK, the MAC won't boot NIU, but NIU (going off of fan sentiment) seems to already think they are in the AAC.
I doubt Kent or EMU would voluntarily drop to FCS to join this version of the MVC. But if spots in the A10 open up, which realistically could happen, I think both schools would be foolish not to consider dropping to FCS to get basketball in that league. UMass (for whatever reason ... personally don't see the allure of a dogshit football program and a school that is 90 something miles from Boston being all that attractive) seems to be a popular choice for the AAC. Dayton, eventually, will land in the Big East for basketball.
If two spots open up, I think Kent would be in for sure. EMU would also have a good shot (unless they take Detroit Mercy instead). I think getting into the Detroit market would be high on the priority list of a Eastern-based, basketball-focused league.
Whatever, this is all crazy hypotheticals, but lets say the MAC is looking to add schools (for whatever reason). After thinking about it, I'm all in favor of going west, and raiding the MVC, in that scenario.
I know Buffalo fans won't like to hear that, but going west brings Toledo to the East. Culturally, Toledo and Buffalo are pretty much mirror images. Hell, just look at the industrial cities that dot southern Lake Erie about every 30 or so miles (big and small) ... Toledo/Sandusky/Lorain/Cleveland/Painesville/Ashtabula/Erie/Dunkirk/Buffalo ... pretty much all the same culture, and all are more similar to Buffalo than East Coast/Mid-Atlantic cities like Norfolk (ODU) or even Stony Brook (despite it being in the same state and in the same university system). Buffalo would be in the same division with three of those Lake Erie schools ... Toledo/Bowling Green/Akron .. with Ohio and Miami (two schools already in the same divisions) as the cultural outliers. And while Miami is definitely a cultural outlier, it is Buffalo's MAC peer as far as academics. .. and OU isn't a slouch, either.