nzmorange
Heisman
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RE: Looking more & more like the Big 12 will have to add at least 2 teams
(03-18-2013 11:34 AM)JRsec Wrote: (03-18-2013 11:26 AM)nzmorange Wrote: (03-18-2013 11:03 AM)JRsec Wrote: (03-18-2013 10:55 AM)nzmorange Wrote: (03-18-2013 10:43 AM)JRsec Wrote: And I can assure you that if neither the ACC or Big 12 is raided and groupings look like they are going to be fixed for a while, and the SEC has a chance to get off of the #14 they would give them a look again. The biggest question would be at 16 who else?
What's changed that would make WVU suddenly valuable to the SEC? My money is on the SEC looking at FSU, Vtech, UNC, Texas, OU, and OSU first. I think that Texas and OU would be targets #1 and #2, because the SEC + Texas + OU = far and away the most profitable conference, B1G included.
Did you not read my premise? I said if the ACC and Big 12 are not raided that West Virginia would get a look again if it appeared that conference numbers would be fixed for a while. I'm sure the SEC would love to have Texas and Oklahoma, but it's not happening. If the ACC sticks together there will be no Virginia Tech, or North Carolina school with which to capture those markets, so therefore a piece of them is better than none at all. I'm sure that Kansas and Florida State would be higher priorities than the Eers, but we are likely not getting those either.
West Virginia is not high on the SEC wish list, but they may be high on the list of obtainable objectives.
Nobody down here is happy with scheduling 14. Both the Big 10 and SEC have made the same tactical blunder. They both should have moved straight to 16. Then the period in which they had to wait for the targets they really desire would be easier to endure. I'll be interested to see how the ACC handles 14 plus a partial.
To be fair, your premise contradicts. WVU is in the Big XII, so for WVU to join the SEC, the SEC would have to either raid the Big XII, or WVU would have to go indy, which won't happen. None the less, point taken. If all the ACC schools stay and all the big fish in the Big XII stay, then the SEC might look at WVU. We agree about that. However, I don't think that the SEC would add them, because I think that the SEC would want to keep two spots open for Texas and OU, unless they were 100% sure that Texas and OU would never consider jumping. If TA&M begins overshadowing Texas, then the odds of Texas jumping jump (sorry I couldn't resist the double jump)
Well, the premise started by suggesting how the Big 12 could add three to consolidate and cut West Virginia loose. But the real difficulty in the SEC taking West Virginia is who the heck do we find to go with them? Under those circumstances the options would be only South Florida, Cincinnati, and Connecticut. I wouldn't have big problems with South Florida, but many down here might since their name isn't big enough yet, Cincinnati is not a cultural fit but would add markets, and Connecticut just doesn't fit at all.
Yeah, but I don't think WVU would leave without an offer. Anyway, I agree about not having a partner. UC isn't going to happen, because they don't make enought money and they are too far, UCONN to the SEC is a joke, and U_F won't happen, because UF doesn't want to elevate either program. I think that the best bet would be to add Houston, but Texas A&M wouldn't be too enthused with the idea of elevating a Texas program. Tulane might be on the table, because they have a history with the SEC (founding member) and are in a talent-rich area, but they are private and small-time. Also, LSU would be less than completely enthused with elevating a LA program. However, I do think that Louisianna has the talent, and LSU is the only BCS school in LA, so they could handle it (FL has 3 BCS schools, TN has 2, SC has 2, KY has 2, GA has 2, AL has 2, MS has 2, and TX has 3)
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