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Joe Lunardi Ranked 36th Most Accurate Bracket Predictor
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NJRedMan Offline
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Joe Lunardi Ranked 36th Most Accurate Bracket Predictor
Just posted this in the C7 board.

http://bracketproject.50webs.com/rankings.html

Joe Lunardi ranked 36th best predictor of the NCAA brackets. 1 spot above Bleacher Report. Wow.

Jerry Palm was 34th. Yeeesh
03-17-2013 01:44 PM
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hoops22 Offline
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RE: Joe Lunardi Ranked 36th Most Accurate Bracket Predictor
Lunardi got 68 out of 68 right this year. Not bad in my book.
03-17-2013 09:24 PM
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RE: Joe Lunardi Ranked 36th Most Accurate Bracket Predictor
(03-17-2013 09:24 PM)hoops22 Wrote:  Lunardi got 68 out of 68 right this year. Not bad in my book.

Yeah, that's what matters, correctly predicting who is in and out of the field. The rest is just for entertainment. Not that there's any achievement in predicting most of those teams that make it, given that half are autobids and more than half of the at-large teams are stone-cold locks.

Lunardi's S-curve was pretty good. This selection committee did some goofy things in building the bracket and moving teams up or down, and no one outside the room could have predicted many of those things.
03-17-2013 10:21 PM
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SubGod22 Offline
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RE: Joe Lunardi Ranked 36th Most Accurate Bracket Predictor
This just shows that Lunardi and Palm aren't near as accurate as they try to claim to be. Getting all the teams that are in isn't that big of a deal. I'm more impressed with the guys who are better at the seed lines. Aren't they trying to predict what the committee will do? If so, seed lines count.
03-18-2013 08:50 AM
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mlb Offline
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RE: Joe Lunardi Ranked 36th Most Accurate Bracket Predictor
(03-18-2013 08:50 AM)SubGod22 Wrote:  This just shows that Lunardi and Palm aren't near as accurate as they try to claim to be. Getting all the teams that are in isn't that big of a deal. I'm more impressed with the guys who are better at the seed lines. Aren't they trying to predict what the committee will do? If so, seed lines count.

Seed lines are hard to predict because they move teams up or down based on location. I think getting the correct teams into the tourney is the most impressive.
03-18-2013 11:56 AM
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RE: Joe Lunardi Ranked 36th Most Accurate Bracket Predictor
(03-18-2013 11:56 AM)mlb Wrote:  
(03-18-2013 08:50 AM)SubGod22 Wrote:  This just shows that Lunardi and Palm aren't near as accurate as they try to claim to be. Getting all the teams that are in isn't that big of a deal. I'm more impressed with the guys who are better at the seed lines. Aren't they trying to predict what the committee will do? If so, seed lines count.

Seed lines are hard to predict because they move teams up or down based on location. I think getting the correct teams into the tourney is the most impressive.

Great but 35 other people do a better job every year of predicting the seed lines. Also it seems everyone got the field right this year. Seems like it was a pretty easy year for that.
03-18-2013 01:31 PM
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SubGod22 Offline
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RE: Joe Lunardi Ranked 36th Most Accurate Bracket Predictor
(03-18-2013 01:31 PM)NJRedMan Wrote:  
(03-18-2013 11:56 AM)mlb Wrote:  
(03-18-2013 08:50 AM)SubGod22 Wrote:  This just shows that Lunardi and Palm aren't near as accurate as they try to claim to be. Getting all the teams that are in isn't that big of a deal. I'm more impressed with the guys who are better at the seed lines. Aren't they trying to predict what the committee will do? If so, seed lines count.

Seed lines are hard to predict because they move teams up or down based on location. I think getting the correct teams into the tourney is the most impressive.

Great but 35 other people do a better job every year of predicting the seed lines. Also it seems everyone got the field right this year. Seems like it was a pretty easy year for that.

Bingo
03-18-2013 01:51 PM
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RE: Joe Lunardi Ranked 36th Most Accurate Bracket Predictor
(03-18-2013 01:31 PM)NJRedMan Wrote:  Great but 35 other people do a better job every year of predicting the seed lines. Also it seems everyone got the field right this year. Seems like it was a pretty easy year for that.

I'd like them to just compare, in general, to whom got the most right in terms of actually being in the tourney.

Like I said before, and the committee has admitted to this in the past, they will move a team up or down a slot in order to get a more local game in the 1st weekend. The seeds don't mean that much to me due to this... but, to be perfectly honest, I don't really care about any of the "bracketologists" anyway.
03-18-2013 03:18 PM
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RE: Joe Lunardi Ranked 36th Most Accurate Bracket Predictor
(03-18-2013 03:18 PM)mlb Wrote:  
(03-18-2013 01:31 PM)NJRedMan Wrote:  Great but 35 other people do a better job every year of predicting the seed lines. Also it seems everyone got the field right this year. Seems like it was a pretty easy year for that.

I'd like them to just compare, in general, to whom got the most right in terms of actually being in the tourney.

Like I said before, and the committee has admitted to this in the past, they will move a team up or down a slot in order to get a more local game in the 1st weekend. The seeds don't mean that much to me due to this... but, to be perfectly honest, I don't really care about any of the "bracketologists" anyway.

Eh...getting the correct tourney teams usually comes down to going 5 for 5. This year almost everyone agreed on every team except the last team which people were split between MTSU and TN. Really a good argument could be made either way.

I think being accurate is much more impressive than the 68/68. Really 68/68 is more like 5/5... or this year more like 2/2
03-19-2013 08:56 AM
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RE: Joe Lunardi Ranked 36th Most Accurate Bracket Predictor
How can you be accurate when it is a moving target thanks to the "pod" system? Overrated.
03-19-2013 09:54 AM
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RE: Joe Lunardi Ranked 36th Most Accurate Bracket Predictor
(03-19-2013 09:54 AM)mlb Wrote:  How can you be accurate when it is a moving target thanks to the "pod" system? Overrated.

Being within 1 seed line is the Big thing. You can be pretty accurate with the first 16 teams on where they go and what region they go, because they give location priority via the S-Curve. After that it is more difficult...so the key is having teams within one seed line.
03-19-2013 12:20 PM
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