RE: My take on the bowl situation
Here's my update that I posted on the BRZ.
A few games went our way, and a few teams keep their bowl hopes alive. It really is going to be down to the wire on whether or not all eligible Sun Belt teams get a game.
ACC - 8 slot
Four teams are in. Miami is likely in. VA Tech, GA Tech, and Wake Forest all still have a chance, but looking at their schedules, it's probably unlikely that any of them make it. Maryland and Virginia are pretty much toast. Worst case scenario is they are one short, best case 3 short.
Open - Military, Independence
Big 12 - 8 slots
They'll have 8 teams on the dot. With a BCS at large bid, they'll be one short.
Open - Heart of Dallas
Big East - 6 slots
Three teams are in, and that could potentially be it. Syracuse looks good after an upset over Louisville. After that, Pitt, UConn, and USF all have 6 slots and USF/Pitt play each other. They have a max of 6 eligible, but likely 4. I'll say that one of Pitt/UConn/USF sneaks in.
Open - Beef O' Brady's
Big Ten - 8 slots
Lots of help here this week. Five are in, with four teams still alive. Michigan State, Indiana, Purdue, and Iowa all face uphill climbs to eligibility. One of Indiana/Purdue is definitely out as they play each other. Two probably get in.
Open - Little Caesar's
CUSA - 6 slots
Three teams are in. SMU is likely. Loser of Marshall/Houston next week is out. Rice is likely out. They could very well leave two slots open, but I think the winner of Marshall/Houston sneaks in.
Open - Military
Independents
Navy and BYU make their respective bowl games. Notre Dame gets a BCS at large. Army/CUSA leaves the Military slot open as mentioned above.
MAC - 3 slots
Six teams are eligible with a chance for one more. Miami/CMU play next week, and the loser is out. They will have either 3 or 4 extra teams.
Open - none
Mountain West - 5 slots
Nothing crazy here. They'll hit 5 on the button unless Air Force finds a way to lose to Hawaii.
Open - none
Pac 12 - 7 slots
Seven teams are in with Arizona State and Utah fighting for eligibility. Arizona State should beat Wazzu to get in, but Utah needs to win out against Arizona and Colorado. They get an at large bid to BCS, so they'll hit 8 on the money. If Utah makes it in, they have an extra team.
Open - none
SEC - 9 slots
Eight teams are in. Vandy's comeback win over Ole Miss was huge, as Ole Miss now has to beat Miss State or LSU to get eligible. Missouri has the easiest road, while Tennessee must beat Vandy to stay alive. Arkansas is likely out. I think one of Ole Miss/Tennessee makes it, making them even with an extra BCS slot. If Ole Miss / Tennessee doesn't they leave one open.
Open - none
Sun Belt - 2 slots
Four teams are in with a shot at six. Louisiana is certainly in and Troy has a chance.
Open - none
WAC - 1 slot
LA Tech, Utah State, and San Jose State are in. That's it.
Open - none
Extra teams
MAC - 4
SBC - 3 maybe 4
WAC - 2
PAC 12 - maybe 1
Open slots
Independence
Military (x2)
Heart of Dallas
Beef O' Brady's
Little Caesar's
There are plenty of scenarios where more slots could be open, or teams could fill them up. I think that as of right now, six slots will be open for 9 extra teams. LA Tech takes the Heart of Dallas spot, and the MAC has a backup agreement for Beef O Brady's, so they take that. That leaves Independence, Military (x2), and Little Caesar's for 3 Sun Belt teams, 3 MAC teams, and 1 WAC team. The Military takes one from MAC and SBC, and Little Caesar's takes SBC since it's already a MAC tie in. That leaves one SBC team, 2 MAC teams, and 1 WAC team fighting for Independence, which would certainly go Sun Belt.
(This post was last modified: 11-11-2012 06:58 PM by MTowho.)
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