(08-22-2012 09:12 AM)FAUAEPi Wrote:  Any prediction of how bad/good a hurricane season will be is garbage. The media, and all of these organizations do it just for attention. The only thing that can help predict the amount of storms so early into Summer is whether or not the Pacific Ocean is in El Nino or La Nina, which controls the temperature of the water in the Atlantic.

There's actually more to it than that, and the preseason forecasts have proven to have more skill than climatology. Also El Nino/La Nina affect waters temperatures in the Pacific, which affects levels of wind shear in the Atlantic. But what else can I expect from a FAU fan

(08-22-2012 09:49 AM)RaiderDoug Wrote:  

(08-22-2012 09:40 AM)dahbeed Wrote:  watch yourself crossing santa rosa blvd. i'm in ft. walton the 2nd through the 7th.

if i see middle gear i'm flooring the maxima!

Unless your driving on the beach itself, I'm not worried.

lol. well since ft. walton ain't daytona/new smyrna i won't be driving on the beach.....that's why i warned you to watch yourself crossing santa rosa blvd and didn't warn you to watch yourself walking on the beach!!!

the weather should be cleared up by then so i'm not worried about it. if it happens it happens. 6 days in flarda are still better than 6 days at work.

(08-22-2012 09:52 AM)dahbeed Wrote:  

(08-22-2012 09:49 AM)RaiderDoug Wrote:  

(08-22-2012 09:40 AM)dahbeed Wrote:  watch yourself crossing santa rosa blvd. i'm in ft. walton the 2nd through the 7th.

if i see middle gear i'm flooring the maxima!

Unless your driving on the beach itself, I'm not worried.

lol. well since ft. walton ain't daytona/new smyrna i won't be driving on the beach.....that's why i warned you to watch yourself crossing santa rosa blvd and didn't warn you to watch yourself walking on the beach!!!

the weather should be cleared up by then so i'm not worried about it. if it happens it happens. 6 days in flarda are still better than 6 days at work.

Wish I was there with you. That's my hometown.

(08-22-2012 09:52 AM)Fish Wrote:  

(08-22-2012 09:12 AM)FAUAEPi Wrote:  Any prediction of how bad/good a hurricane season will be is garbage. The media, and all of these organizations do it just for attention. The only thing that can help predict the amount of storms so early into Summer is whether or not the Pacific Ocean is in El Nino or La Nina, which controls the temperature of the water in the Atlantic.

There's actually more to it than that, and the preseason forecasts have proven to have more skill than climatology. Also El Nino/La Nina affect waters temperatures in the Pacific, which affects levels of wind shear in the Atlantic. But what else can I expect from a FAU fan

Yep, this time of year one of the major factors in determining hurricane and tropical cyclonic development is wind shear, which is affected through the cycle of El Nino / La Nina. This year's El Nino, which will likely begin in September, may calm the ocean some but storms that do fire up could always break the mold and become very strong... or they could simply fizzle out quickly. That doesn't really help matters now, with Isaac and TD10 currently spinning on the open ocean.

(08-22-2012 09:52 AM)dahbeed Wrote:  

(08-22-2012 09:49 AM)RaiderDoug Wrote:  

(08-22-2012 09:40 AM)dahbeed Wrote:  watch yourself crossing santa rosa blvd. i'm in ft. walton the 2nd through the 7th.

if i see middle gear i'm flooring the maxima!

Unless your driving on the beach itself, I'm not worried.

lol. well since ft. walton ain't daytona/new smyrna i won't be driving on the beach.....that's why i warned you to watch yourself crossing santa rosa blvd and didn't warn you to watch yourself walking on the beach!!!

the weather should be cleared up by then so i'm not worried about it. if it happens it happens. 6 days in flarda are still better than 6 days at work.

If it goes North, Y'all are more than welcome to stay at our fraternity house here in Boca for beer.

(08-22-2012 09:52 AM)dahbeed Wrote:  

(08-22-2012 09:49 AM)RaiderDoug Wrote:  

(08-22-2012 09:40 AM)dahbeed Wrote:  watch yourself crossing santa rosa blvd. i'm in ft. walton the 2nd through the 7th.

if i see middle gear i'm flooring the maxima!

Unless your driving on the beach itself, I'm not worried.

lol. well since ft. walton ain't daytona/new smyrna i won't be driving on the beach.....that's why i warned you to watch yourself crossing santa rosa blvd and didn't warn you to watch yourself walking on the beach!!!

the weather should be cleared up by then so i'm not worried about it. if it happens it happens. 6 days in flarda are still better than 6 days at work.

Duly noted. Either way, feel free to run down anyone you want, I won't be crossing any streets. I don't even see myself leaving my beach chair.