Compu-Picks 2011 Preview: Sun Belt

By Matthew Smith
Mr Pac Ten
Posted Jul 24, 2011



Below is the preview for the Sun Belt, consisting of three tables.

The first table outlines the projected rankings for each Sun Belt team, sorted from best to worst, and then presents the following selected key stats:
Rank - Projected 2011 ranking, from 1 to 120
2010 Rank - 2010 ranking using the current compu-picks model
Prev 4 yr - ranking of the average rating from 2006-2009
Recruit Rank - ranking of past 4 years of recruiting (each year equally weighted), from scout.com
Recruit Trend - the difference between the past 3 years of recruiting and the previous 3, ranked from best to worst
...
...
...

(07-27-2011 09:39 AM)trojanbrutha Wrote:  Compu-Picks 2011 Preview: Sun Belt

By Matthew Smith
Mr Pac Ten
Posted Jul 24, 2011



Below is the preview for the Sun Belt, consisting of three tables.

The first table outlines the projected rankings for each Sun Belt team, sorted from best to worst, and then presents the following selected key stats:
Rank - Projected 2011 ranking, from 1 to 120
2010 Rank - 2010 ranking using the current compu-picks model
Prev 4 yr - ranking of the average rating from 2006-2009
Recruit Rank - ranking of past 4 years of recruiting (each year equally weighted), from scout.com
Recruit Trend - the difference between the past 3 years of recruiting and the previous 3, ranked from best to worst
...
...
...

Garbage.

The worse projections I ever seen.

why is it every time i go to CFN's site I get two pop up windows for weight loss gimicks? how busch league.

(07-27-2011 09:39 AM)trojanbrutha Wrote:  Compu-Picks 2011 Preview: Sun Belt

By Matthew Smith
Mr Pac Ten
Posted Jul 24, 2011



Below is the preview for the Sun Belt, consisting of three tables.

The first table outlines the projected rankings for each Sun Belt team, sorted from best to worst, and then presents the following selected key stats:
Rank - Projected 2011 ranking, from 1 to 120
2010 Rank - 2010 ranking using the current compu-picks model
Prev 4 yr - ranking of the average rating from 2006-2009
Recruit Rank - ranking of past 4 years of recruiting (each year equally weighted), from scout.com
Recruit Trend - the difference between the past 3 years of recruiting and the previous 3, ranked from best to worst
...
...
...

Absolute garbage.

Relies too heavily on past results which is no predictor of future performance. With the exception of Troy and FAU every school has had a coaching change within the last 4 years. So why should results and recruiting that are not of the current administration have any bearing?

And that's really the tip of the iceberg of what's wrong with this goop.

(07-27-2011 11:53 AM)Burn the Horse Wrote:  why is it every time i go to CFN's site I get two pop up windows for weight loss gimicks? how busch league.

Download AdBlock Plus. (It's free).

Thank me later.

(07-27-2011 02:18 PM)AstroCajun Wrote:  

(07-27-2011 09:39 AM)trojanbrutha Wrote:  Compu-Picks 2011 Preview: Sun Belt

By Matthew Smith
Mr Pac Ten
Posted Jul 24, 2011



Below is the preview for the Sun Belt, consisting of three tables.

The first table outlines the projected rankings for each Sun Belt team, sorted from best to worst, and then presents the following selected key stats:
Rank - Projected 2011 ranking, from 1 to 120
2010 Rank - 2010 ranking using the current compu-picks model
Prev 4 yr - ranking of the average rating from 2006-2009
Recruit Rank - ranking of past 4 years of recruiting (each year equally weighted), from scout.com
Recruit Trend - the difference between the past 3 years of recruiting and the previous 3, ranked from best to worst
...
...
...

Absolute garbage.

Relies too heavily on past results which is no predictor of future performance. With the exception of Troy and FAU every school has had a coaching change within the last 4 years. So why should results and recruiting that are not of the current administration have any bearing?

And that's really the tip of the iceberg of what's wrong with this goop.

The one significant number in these charts to look at is the number of starts missed by UL athletes, 48. That is the one number that pre-season predictions have not considered and that leaves me with some hope that the Cajuns will be better then advertised. Remember, we had to listen to a number UNT fans complain about their injuries last season. The Cajuns actually had more lost starters then anyone in the SBC and still beat ULM in Monroe. In my opinion, their talent has been way over valued.

(07-27-2011 02:54 PM)CajunT Wrote:  

(07-27-2011 02:18 PM)AstroCajun Wrote:  

(07-27-2011 09:39 AM)trojanbrutha Wrote:  Compu-Picks 2011 Preview: Sun Belt

By Matthew Smith
Mr Pac Ten
Posted Jul 24, 2011



Below is the preview for the Sun Belt, consisting of three tables.

The first table outlines the projected rankings for each Sun Belt team, sorted from best to worst, and then presents the following selected key stats:
Rank - Projected 2011 ranking, from 1 to 120
2010 Rank - 2010 ranking using the current compu-picks model
Prev 4 yr - ranking of the average rating from 2006-2009
Recruit Rank - ranking of past 4 years of recruiting (each year equally weighted), from scout.com
Recruit Trend - the difference between the past 3 years of recruiting and the previous 3, ranked from best to worst
...
...
...

Absolute garbage.

Relies too heavily on past results which is no predictor of future performance. With the exception of Troy and FAU every school has had a coaching change within the last 4 years. So why should results and recruiting that are not of the current administration have any bearing?

And that's really the tip of the iceberg of what's wrong with this goop.

The one significant number in these charts to look at is the number of starts missed by UL athletes, 48. That is the one number that pre-season predictions have not considered and that leaves me with some hope that the Cajuns will be better then advertised. Remember, we had to listen to a number UNT fans complain about their injuries last season. The Cajuns actually had more lost starters then anyone in the SBC and still beat ULM in Monroe. In my opinion, their talent has been way over valued.

WAY OVERVALUED, plus coaching is marginal! They too will get asses kicked in our crib. We wont be nice about it either.

Z

Yes....we get it CajunT and Zeebart.....ULM sucks.....the players on ULM sucks.....the coaching sucks.....ULL is the greatest....our poor players were all hurt......we got the bestest coaching now, just you folks wait!!!

Fact: Since joining the SBC in 2001, ULM has an overall record of 41-76. That sucks. Been close a couple of times and thought we were turning the corner but hey, I can admit that those aren't good numbers. Let's look at the mighty Cajuns, shall we?! Their overall record for the same period of time?......44-73. Mighty impressive!!

Fact: Since 2002 (too lazy to look for the first year in the conference and ESPN only went back to 2002), ULM has a conference record of 30-32. Again, not too impressive and I am not making excuses. How 'bout dem Cajuns?! 31-33. Steam rollers, I tell ya!!

Fact: Since joining the SBC, ULM and ULL have played 10 times. The record? 5-5.

I understand that you are great supporters of your University. I truly get that but take off your cayenne pepper glasses and look at all these predictions like an outsider does and it isn't hard to see why the predictions are what they are. ULM returns more starters than anyone to a team that beat Troy, lost in double overtime to FIU, and lost a 1 point game to your Cajuns. I have tipped my hat to you on that before. But based on what is coming back and the performance last year, there is sound reason to rank ULM where they are ranking them. Guess what, it all those rankings, they are still saying it is Troy and FIU, with generally ASU, MT, and ULM...with the occasional NT.....as the outside shot of making noise.

You know what they say about opinions....yours, mine, everyone on this board, every prognosticator....."Opinions are like a$$holes, everybody has one and it usually stinks!!"

(07-27-2011 03:58 PM)InjunJohn Wrote:  Yes....we get it CajunT and Zeebart.....ULM sucks.....the players on ULM sucks.....the coaching sucks.....ULL is the greatest....our poor players were all hurt......we got the bestest coaching now, just you folks wait!!!

Fact: Since joining the SBC in 2001, ULM has an overall record of 41-76. That sucks. Been close a couple of times and thought we were turning the corner but hey, I can admit that those aren't good numbers. Let's look at the mighty Cajuns, shall we?! Their overall record for the same period of time?......44-73. Mighty impressive!!

Fact: Since 2002 (too lazy to look for the first year in the conference and ESPN only went back to 2002), ULM has a conference record of 30-32. Again, not too impressive and I am not making excuses. How 'bout dem Cajuns?! 31-33. Steam rollers, I tell ya!!

Fact: Since joining the SBC, ULM and ULL have played 10 times. The record? 5-5.

I understand that you are great supporters of your University. I truly get that but take off your cayenne pepper glasses and look at all these predictions like an outsider does and it isn't hard to see why the predictions are what they are. ULM returns more starters than anyone to a team that beat Troy, lost in double overtime to FIU, and lost a 1 point game to your Cajuns. I have tipped my hat to you on that before. But based on what is coming back and the performance last year, there is sound reason to rank ULM where they are ranking them. Guess what, it all those rankings, they are still saying it is Troy and FIU, with generally ASU, MT, and ULM...with the occasional NT.....as the outside shot of making noise.

You know what they say about opinions....yours, mine, everyone on this board, every prognosticator....."Opinions are like a$$holes, everybody has one and it usually stinks!!"

I have taken my rose colored glasses off and unlike ULM fans I'm not predicting a bowl game for the Cajuns. But perhaps you should consider the following brother, most pre-season publications have stated one constant in concerns with ULM; the number of atheletes returning on both sides of the ball. That's great! The question is how much talent returns in that group of athletes? Is there so much more talent on ULM's roster, then the Cajuns? I'd say no based upon the last two recruiting classes and on the results on the field in Monroe. As I stated before, the Cajuns beat you in Monroe with a ton of athletes missing on defense and two walk-ons playing. Geez, that was really impressive?

I understand the excitment in Monroe, based upon some of these predictions. But I look at how your schedule lays out, recruiting classes and talent in your depth chart. Those three factors don't add up to a 7 win season in my book, nor a bowl game. Is it impossible, of course not!
But I'd say there is a whole lot of people with maroon colored glasses on right now in Monroe.

(07-27-2011 04:17 PM)CajunT Wrote:  

(07-27-2011 03:58 PM)InjunJohn Wrote:  Yes....we get it CajunT and Zeebart.....ULM sucks.....the players on ULM sucks.....the coaching sucks.....ULL is the greatest....our poor players were all hurt......we got the bestest coaching now, just you folks wait!!!

Fact: Since joining the SBC in 2001, ULM has an overall record of 41-76. That sucks. Been close a couple of times and thought we were turning the corner but hey, I can admit that those aren't good numbers. Let's look at the mighty Cajuns, shall we?! Their overall record for the same period of time?......44-73. Mighty impressive!!

Fact: Since 2002 (too lazy to look for the first year in the conference and ESPN only went back to 2002), ULM has a conference record of 30-32. Again, not too impressive and I am not making excuses. How 'bout dem Cajuns?! 31-33. Steam rollers, I tell ya!!

Fact: Since joining the SBC, ULM and ULL have played 10 times. The record? 5-5.

I understand that you are great supporters of your University. I truly get that but take off your cayenne pepper glasses and look at all these predictions like an outsider does and it isn't hard to see why the predictions are what they are. ULM returns more starters than anyone to a team that beat Troy, lost in double overtime to FIU, and lost a 1 point game to your Cajuns. I have tipped my hat to you on that before. But based on what is coming back and the performance last year, there is sound reason to rank ULM where they are ranking them. Guess what, it all those rankings, they are still saying it is Troy and FIU, with generally ASU, MT, and ULM...with the occasional NT.....as the outside shot of making noise.

You know what they say about opinions....yours, mine, everyone on this board, every prognosticator....."Opinions are like a$$holes, everybody has one and it usually stinks!!"

I have taken my rose colored glasses off and unlike ULM fans I'm not predicting a bowl game for the Cajuns. But perhaps you should consider the following brother, most pre-season publications have stated one constant in concerns with ULM; the number of atheletes returning on both sides of the ball. That's great! The question is how much talent returns in that group of athletes? Is there so much more talent on ULM's roster, then the Cajuns? I'd say no based upon the last two recruiting classes and on the results on the field in Monroe. As I stated before, the Cajuns beat you in Monroe with a ton of athletes missing on defense and two walk-ons playing. Geez, that was really impressive?

I understand the excitment in Monroe, based upon some of these predictions. But I look at how your schedule lays out, recruiting classes and talent in your depth chart. Those three factors don't add up to a 7 win season in my book, nor a bowl game. Is it impossible, of course not!
But I'd say there is a whole lot of people with maroon colored glasses on right now in Monroe.

I think if you looked at what people in Monroe are saying, they see a 7 win season and that isn't out of the question. ULM was/is young. A ton of players saw the college field for the first time last year. We had injuries just like ya'll did....an O line that moved guys all around due to injuries, a true freshman center. Everything we are hearing is that these guys are in better shape than every before (hope that is true), there is more depth, and they are in the second year of the system which was scaled back last year due to the youth of the team.

Here is the thing....we are all tied for first right now. Let's see how it all shakes out!! That is why the play the game!!!

(07-27-2011 03:58 PM)InjunJohn Wrote:  Yes....we get it CajunT and Zeebart.....ULM sucks.....the players on ULM sucks.....the coaching sucks.....ULL is the greatest....our poor players were all hurt......we got the bestest coaching now, just you folks wait!!!

Fact: Since joining the SBC in 2001, ULM has an overall record of 41-76. That sucks. Been close a couple of times and thought we were turning the corner but hey, I can admit that those aren't good numbers. Let's look at the mighty Cajuns, shall we?! Their overall record for the same period of time?......44-73. Mighty impressive!!

Fact: Since 2002 (too lazy to look for the first year in the conference and ESPN only went back to 2002), ULM has a conference record of 30-32. Again, not too impressive and I am not making excuses. How 'bout dem Cajuns?! 31-33. Steam rollers, I tell ya!!

Fact: Since joining the SBC, ULM and ULL have played 10 times. The record? 5-5.

I understand that you are great supporters of your University. I truly get that but take off your cayenne pepper glasses and look at all these predictions like an outsider does and it isn't hard to see why the predictions are what they are. ULM returns more starters than anyone to a team that beat Troy, lost in double overtime to FIU, and lost a 1 point game to your Cajuns. I have tipped my hat to you on that before. But based on what is coming back and the performance last year, there is sound reason to rank ULM where they are ranking them. Guess what, it all those rankings, they are still saying it is Troy and FIU, with generally ASU, MT, and ULM...with the occasional NT.....as the outside shot of making noise.

You know what they say about opinions....yours, mine, everyone on this board, every prognosticator....."Opinions are like a$$holes, everybody has one and it usually stinks!!"

So, hows your summer been?

Z

(07-27-2011 04:43 PM)zeebart21 Wrote:  

(07-27-2011 03:58 PM)InjunJohn Wrote:  Yes....we get it CajunT and Zeebart.....ULM sucks.....the players on ULM sucks.....the coaching sucks.....ULL is the greatest....our poor players were all hurt......we got the bestest coaching now, just you folks wait!!!

Fact: Since joining the SBC in 2001, ULM has an overall record of 41-76. That sucks. Been close a couple of times and thought we were turning the corner but hey, I can admit that those aren't good numbers. Let's look at the mighty Cajuns, shall we?! Their overall record for the same period of time?......44-73. Mighty impressive!!

Fact: Since 2002 (too lazy to look for the first year in the conference and ESPN only went back to 2002), ULM has a conference record of 30-32. Again, not too impressive and I am not making excuses. How 'bout dem Cajuns?! 31-33. Steam rollers, I tell ya!!

Fact: Since joining the SBC, ULM and ULL have played 10 times. The record? 5-5.

I understand that you are great supporters of your University. I truly get that but take off your cayenne pepper glasses and look at all these predictions like an outsider does and it isn't hard to see why the predictions are what they are. ULM returns more starters than anyone to a team that beat Troy, lost in double overtime to FIU, and lost a 1 point game to your Cajuns. I have tipped my hat to you on that before. But based on what is coming back and the performance last year, there is sound reason to rank ULM where they are ranking them. Guess what, it all those rankings, they are still saying it is Troy and FIU, with generally ASU, MT, and ULM...with the occasional NT.....as the outside shot of making noise.

You know what they say about opinions....yours, mine, everyone on this board, every prognosticator....."Opinions are like a$$holes, everybody has one and it usually stinks!!"

So, hows your summer been?

Z

summer hasn't been bad....starting to get afternoon rains here at the foot of the Rockies. Cool evenings in the 50s which is real pleasant. Got up to see the Braves play the Rockies. Coors field is a nice stadium. Working a plan to fly down to see ULM play TCU and then catch an early morning flight down to New Orleans to watch the Saints whup Chicago.

Players report soon.....everything will be right with the world once September gets here!!

(07-27-2011 05:19 PM)InjunJohn Wrote:  

(07-27-2011 04:43 PM)zeebart21 Wrote:  

(07-27-2011 03:58 PM)InjunJohn Wrote:  Yes....we get it CajunT and Zeebart.....ULM sucks.....the players on ULM sucks.....the coaching sucks.....ULL is the greatest....our poor players were all hurt......we got the bestest coaching now, just you folks wait!!!

Fact: Since joining the SBC in 2001, ULM has an overall record of 41-76. That sucks. Been close a couple of times and thought we were turning the corner but hey, I can admit that those aren't good numbers. Let's look at the mighty Cajuns, shall we?! Their overall record for the same period of time?......44-73. Mighty impressive!!

Fact: Since 2002 (too lazy to look for the first year in the conference and ESPN only went back to 2002), ULM has a conference record of 30-32. Again, not too impressive and I am not making excuses. How 'bout dem Cajuns?! 31-33. Steam rollers, I tell ya!!

Fact: Since joining the SBC, ULM and ULL have played 10 times. The record? 5-5.

I understand that you are great supporters of your University. I truly get that but take off your cayenne pepper glasses and look at all these predictions like an outsider does and it isn't hard to see why the predictions are what they are. ULM returns more starters than anyone to a team that beat Troy, lost in double overtime to FIU, and lost a 1 point game to your Cajuns. I have tipped my hat to you on that before. But based on what is coming back and the performance last year, there is sound reason to rank ULM where they are ranking them. Guess what, it all those rankings, they are still saying it is Troy and FIU, with generally ASU, MT, and ULM...with the occasional NT.....as the outside shot of making noise.

You know what they say about opinions....yours, mine, everyone on this board, every prognosticator....."Opinions are like a$$holes, everybody has one and it usually stinks!!"

So, hows your summer been?

Z

summer hasn't been bad....starting to get afternoon rains here at the foot of the Rockies. Cool evenings in the 50s which is real pleasant. Got up to see the Braves play the Rockies. Coors field is a nice stadium. Working a plan to fly down to see ULM play TCU and then catch an early morning flight down to New Orleans to watch the Saints whup Chicago.

Players report soon.....everything will be right with the world once September gets here!!

Those temps sound awesome. I spent some time working in W Va in 09...same thing. Never got above 72 in August. It was tremendous. Your ULM/TCU/Saints/Bears trip sounds like a winner!

Stay cool.

Z

(07-27-2011 03:58 PM)InjunJohn Wrote:  Yes....we get it CajunT and Zeebart.....ULM sucks.....the players on ULM sucks.....the coaching sucks.....ULL is the greatest....our poor players were all hurt......we got the bestest coaching now, just you folks wait!!!

Fact: Since joining the SBC in 2001, ULM has an overall record of 41-76. That sucks. Been close a couple of times and thought we were turning the corner but hey, I can admit that those aren't good numbers. Let's look at the mighty Cajuns, shall we?! Their overall record for the same period of time?......44-73. Mighty impressive!!

Fact: Since 2002 (too lazy to look for the first year in the conference and ESPN only went back to 2002), ULM has a conference record of 30-32. Again, not too impressive and I am not making excuses. How 'bout dem Cajuns?! 31-33. Steam rollers, I tell ya!!

Fact: Since joining the SBC, ULM and ULL have played 10 times. The record? 5-5.

I understand that you are great supporters of your University. I truly get that but take off your cayenne pepper glasses and look at all these predictions like an outsider does and it isn't hard to see why the predictions are what they are. ULM returns more starters than anyone to a team that beat Troy, lost in double overtime to FIU, and lost a 1 point game to your Cajuns. I have tipped my hat to you on that before. But based on what is coming back and the performance last year, there is sound reason to rank ULM where they are ranking them. Guess what, it all those rankings, they are still saying it is Troy and FIU, with generally ASU, MT, and ULM...with the occasional NT.....as the outside shot of making noise.

You know what they say about opinions....yours, mine, everyone on this board, every prognosticator....."Opinions are like a$$holes, everybody has one and it usually stinks!!"

You had some really crappy teams and still beat Troy in Monroe. That is not a big feat, considering that they HAVE NEVER WON IN MONROE!