(01-18-2011 03:34 PM)FIUFan Wrote: (01-18-2011 03:21 PM)bluephi1914 Wrote: That is exactly right. You can't solely look at the here and now, especially when it comes to expansion. Today, UTSA looks like an FBS wanna be. However, their tomorrow looks reasonably bright. As long as they are cultivated, they can be a pretty awsome cog for any conference 5 to 10 years from today.
If the rumors coming out of the WAC and MWC are true, there won't be a WAC for UTSA (or anybody else for that matter) to go to come Monday.
A couple weeks ago, I would've agreed. That was until I heard about Lamar's growing interest in the WAC as their name is being shuffled out the WAC HQ's doors more frequently these days. That could at least buy the WAC some time in the event of losing Utah State as an all-sports member.
I've heard that UTEP is the Texas school being targeted by the folks up in MWC headquarters. Like you said, the loss of UTEP would prompt CUSA to go searching for a member. Most people think it will be Louisiana Tech, but I really don't think so. If CUSA loses UTEP, I have reason to believe that they will go after North Texas.
Remember, the ideal number of members of a league has long been thought to be 9 (4 home, 4 away) or 12 (6-member divisions). If the Sun Belt lost North Texas, it would be down to 8 members, but it would be back to nine once South Alabama comes aboard with football in 2013. The loss of North Texas (wouldn't happen until 2012) would not only regionalize the Sun Belt's footprint even more, but it would make the football schedules more manageable.
I don't think your conference is being too passive. I think your conference has a feeling for exactly what's going on with the realignment. So to put CrushMI's comment in perspective, why invite New Mexico State only to have CUSA turn around and invite UNT? It wouldn't make sense. I think your conference is waiting to see what happens with the Mountain West and UTEP. They know that if CUSA loses one of its members, it will seek another one be it a SBC member or Louisiana Tech.
I believe your conference will look to add some non-football schools though to definitely replace Denver and an out-going SBC team if lost to CUSA. A 10- or 11-member basketball schedule is not as easy to work with. 9 or 12 is the only way to go there.