(08-22-2010 03:10 PM)galojah Wrote: Here is the difference between MWC holding off and SBC holding off. MWC is not low-man on the poll. Anytime they get robbed, they know they can just call up a WAC school. That is their security.
If the C-USA/MAC/whoever takes someone from the SBC, who do we rob? Where is our security? One key advantage of going to 12 is so in 2 years, 5 years, whenever it happens, we can still be at 10!
I think whatever is going to happen, will happen by June 30 next year.
We will know shortly if MWC is going to raid CUSA or finish off the WAC. There is potential for a lot of turmoil and anyone added between now and June 30 isn't entering the league any sooner nor prevented from leaving any sooner (remember Utah State and Idaho had been admitted for all sports and left without playing the other sports).
But if there is a lot of turmoil locking teams in now might mean not having room for teams if things blow up.
For example, let's say BYU stays in the MWC and Houston joins. Then the Big East feels it needs to add depth and takes ECU, UCF, Temple and Memphis for football only to get to 12 in football. Three of those schools need a basketball home and two are worth having. CUSA is down to 8 and at an impasse as the four privates and four publics disagree on who to add or with dramatically reduced income, schools are demanding NMSU be added to soften the expense of going to UTEP.
Maybe USM reaches the conclusion the league isn't any better financially than the Belt and the Belt football is trending better.
Or what if the rumors are building that the Big East is going to act before the current BCS cycle expires and the CUSA members are demanding everyone agree to high departure penalties with long notice periods out of fear that some teams might be taken. Then schools that think they have a shot, might come to a Sun Belt that agrees to no departure penalty for invites to an AQ league.
No real benefit to get in a hurry right now.