(11-16-2022 05:29 AM)emu steve Wrote:  

(11-16-2022 02:43 AM)emu79 Wrote:  

(11-15-2022 05:55 PM)Jerry Weaver Wrote:  

(11-15-2022 04:33 AM)emu steve Wrote:  https://twitter.com/JonRothstein/status/...uRzYr0qSWA

Solid analysis. NIL appears to have produced a small change, while the portal has been seismic.

NIL has cemented the Power conference advantage and I thought the portal would as well and I was clearly wrong. It has re-arranged the recruiting strategies of coaches as I don't know why a MAC coach would ever offer a scholarship to a HS kid. If the kid proves to be great, he is a risk to enter the portal so why not snag Acuff, Farrakhan, Geeter and Billingsley off the portal instead?

I do think the low-star HS recruit will not attract the attention he once did, and many will have to settle for D2 and D3 offers instead. I lament that but then again, I see what happened with Colin Golson. He is a MAC player that would have been stuck at Sienna Hts.

I will give it to Dan, the portal has indeed worked out and created opportunities for more young men. I also kind of wonder how Murph and Keno would have fared in today's environment. Both were horrible at player development but were reasonably adept at procuring talented JUCO guys available to play immediately. Today they would be able to not only hit the JUCOs but P5 rosters as well.

Sienna Hts? Sienna is a D1 program. That's where Golson transferred from.

Jerry was confused. Siena Heights and THE Siena, a D-I school in N.Y.

Think we need to think more clearer on D-I transfers and effect on high school players.

If 1,500 seniors leave D-I ball each year they must be replaced by 1,500 other players. The only two real 'inputs' to D-I ball are h.s. players (including prep schools, etc.) and JUCO (plus some foreign).

JUCO transferring seems way down.

So it seems that the primary input is still h.s. talent as a transfer player is one who was formerly (usually) was a h.s. recruit.

What we are seeing is some schools are taking the cream of the crop from h.s. and sometimes they transfer (e.g., Emoni). Other players achieve higher than expected and may transfer up. In both cases, they were still h.s. recruits but have gone through transfer.

The last two years many MAC teams have gone the true freshmen route it appears and then fill in from there.